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The American Health Care System Explained at Last!

YourDoctorintheFamily.com 

The American Health Care System Explained at Last!


 

* The Grand Unification Theory of Health Care *

By Dr. Rich

Introduction

Whenever you bring up the subject of health care today, whether to doctors or to patients, you  immediately get an earful. You'll hear about the greedy, heartless HMOs; the growing difficulty in getting health insurance (whether you’re employed or not); the distracted, money-grubbing doctors; and the overly demanding and increasingly litigious patients.  

Yet, despite this litany of grievances, you will find it strangely difficult to put your finger on what, exactly, the real problem is.  For underlying these more concrete complaints you will perceive something else – the stirrings, expressed in vaguely wistful tones, of a more fundamental problem.  And if you listen carefully, what you’ll hear is the expression of a deep, if poorly defined, sense of loss.

The sense of loss is genuine.  Because something is being lost, and it’s something important, something vital, something necessary to the integrity of any health care system.  It’s far more than just a patient’s freedom to choose his own physician, or to see a specialist when he wants to.  And it’s far more than just a doctor’s freedom to practice medicine as she sees fit.  

What we’re losing, we doctors and patients, is the sanctity of our relationship with one another.  

Wait - don't go.

I promise I'm not going to get all warm and fuzzy about the importance of relationships.  For, while the relationship between patients and their doctors can be warm and fuzzy, it usually isn’t, doesn’t need to be, and is often stronger if it’s not.  It’s not a relationship based on feelings of affection, like those between friends or lovers.  Instead, it’s a relationship more like that between allies fighting a war.  It’s a relationship based on mutual dependence and trust – on mutual survival, in fact.  We, doctors and patients, allow this relationship to weaken only at our own peril.

And that, it turns out, is the heart of the problem. The traditional doctor-patient relationship, so vitally important to all of us, is being systematically and methodically destroyed. 

When you understand why and how this is so, then all the pieces of the health care puzzle instantly fall into place. Previously inexplicable events become not only logical, but predictable.  And potential solutions to our health care crisis, both long term and short term, immediately begin to materialize. 

This synthesis is laid out in what I humbly call the Grand Unification Theory of Health Care - the theory that explains everything.

The Grand Unification Theory rests on a simple, 5-step chain of logic:  

  1. The rationing of health care is an economic imperative, and cannot be avoided. 

  2. Since the very notion of rationing health care is taboo on our society, the necessary rationing must be done, and is being done, covertly - that is, without acknowledging that any rationing is occurring.

  3. Covert rationing fundamentally works by applying coercive pressure to the focal point of all health care spending, namely, the physician-patient encounter. Thus, the final common pathway for all covert rationing must be - can only be - destruction of the doctor-patient relationship.

  4. Loss of the doctor-patient relationship is fatal to the medical profession, life-threatening to patients, and debilitating to society. 

  5. The key to defeating covert rationing, and all the evils that flow from it, is to restore the doctor-patient relationship.

In the sections that follow, we'll see how the Grand Theory explains everything going on in the health care system todayWe'll also see how it points us toward long-term solutions to our growing health care crisis, and toward actions we can take to protect ourselves in the meantime, until such long-term solutions can take hold.

Next: SECTION 1: The importance of the doctor-patient relationship, and why we can't have it anymore

Why the doctor-patient relationship is so important


A. 

Whose rights does society guard more jealously -

 A or B? 

B.


Let’s say that one-day, down on your luck and in need of some quick cash, you decide to rob a Seven-Eleven.  You rush in brandishing a .38, and order the clerk to hand over all the cash.  He turns out to be a wise guy, so you shoot him. You quickly clean out the register and head for the door – where you run smack into two burly police officers who happen to be entering the store right then for some of that good Seven-Eleven coffee.  You are quickly and none-too-gently disarmed and arrested.

So there you are – caught red-handed, money in one hand, gun in the other, the blood of the clerk on your shirt, and the whole thing recorded, in living color, by a hidden video camera.

Now, here’s the question: What rights are you entitled to?

Despite the fact that anybody can see how guilty you are, you have many rights.  You have the right to a fair trial.  You have the right to be considered innocent until a jury of your peers declares you guilty.  And you have the right to appeal the verdict (assuming, of course, that you won’t like it).

But most importantly and above all else, you have the right to counsel, an advocate, an individual who is obligated to defend you against all odds, to the best of his or her abilities, and to protect your interests against the world.

Many physicians find themselves envious of the unbending resolve with which lawyers are able to embrace their most basic role of advocacy.  Lawyers retain this luxury because society recognizes the legal system to be a morass of rules and regulations which ordinary citizens cannot hope to navigate on their own.  Any citizen who becomes embroiled in this morass is universally acknowledged to have the right to a lawyer who is expected to hold that citizen’s interests above all others (within, of course, the constraints of the law).  Even those accused of the most heinous of crimes are entitled to legal representation, and even if the evidence against them seems overwhelming, their lawyers are expected to jealously guard their rights.  While the rest of us may become frustrated and angry when we observe the rights that accrue to (in our eyes) an obviously guilty party, on an objective level most of us understand the wisdom of such a system.  And we shudder to think of the abuses that would occur if these protections were removed.

When you are sick, shouldn't you be entitled to the same protections as when you rob a 7-eleven?

Most of us think so. And the doctor-patient relationship is supposed to see that you are.

Doctors are expected to fill for their patients the very same role that lawyers fill for their clients.  This role is necessary, because sick people are no more capable of navigating the complex health care system than are accused felons the complex legal system, and are no less in peril if they run afoul of that system.  And a patient’s need of an advocate, a professional whose job it is to protect the patient’s own best interests, is no less vital than that of the felon.

Over the ages the doctor-patient relationship has been defined, through rules of ethics and rules of law, as a fiduciary one, as a relationship founded in trust.  When a patient seeks a physician’s help and the physician agrees to give that help, a special covenant is made.  The patient agrees to take the physician into her confidence, to reveal to him even the most secret and intimate information related to her health.  The physician, in turn, agrees to honor that trust, and to become the patient’s advocate in all matters related to her health, placing her interests above all others – including his own personal or financial concerns.

Now, to be sure, the doctor-patient relationship was never completely pure in actual practice, even in “the good old days.”  But a strong fiduciary relationship has been what patients have expected, what most doctors have striven for, and what everyone else (the medical ethicists, professional societies, and those who write and enforce the laws of the land) have traditionally agreed – and even demanded – should be the standard.  It represents the fundamental expectation of how doctors and patients are supposed to behave toward one another.

Whenever you are a patient, the traditional doctor-patient relationship guarantees there is at least one knowledgeable professional who is looking out, above all, for your interests – not the interests of the insurance plan you’re in, or of your demographic group, or even of society at large, but the interests of the individual, you.  The loss of such an advocate, especially at a time when the interests of all the other parties within the health care system are centered on cutting costs (and therefore have never been less likely to coincide with your own needs), would be catastrophic.

Physicians, too, rely totally on the integrity of the doctor-patient relationship, since their role as their patients’ advocate is the foundation of their profession.  This role is far more than just an ethical and a legal obligation.  It is their duty as advocates that imparts any and all claims physicians may have to the title “professional,” and to the perquisites and considerations that flow from that title.  Without this role, physicians are no longer professionals.  They truly are reduced to mere commodities in a vast healthcare marketplace. 

Thus, the traditional doctor-patient relationship is vital to the professional survival of the physician, and to the physical survival of the patient.  If we lose this relationship, we lose everything.

Next: Why we can't have it anymore.  

Why we can't have it anymore

A deadly wedge is being driven today between patients and their doctors, destroying the sanctity of their time-honored relationship, leaving each to fend for themselves in an increasingly hostile health care environment, and placing each at the mercy of powerful interests whose only real concerns are costs, profit and power.  As a result, both doctors and patients are being shunted aside, separated from one another, marginalized, and reduced to mere ciphers.

This assertion may very will resonate with many of you. It certainly will if you’re a doctor with a reasonably well-developed sense of professional purpose.  And it probably will if you’re a patient who has had a significant encounter with the health care system within the past few years.  What may not immediately resonate is the reason for it.  Why is the doctor-patient relationship being undermined?

It would be natural to assume that erosion of this relationship is merely one of the unpleasant side effects of the radical changes we are now seeing in our health care system.  But that assumption would be wrong.  Destruction of the doctor-patient relationship is not merely a side effect of these changes – rather, it is their centerpiece.  It is necessary.

“Necessary?” You may be asking, eyebrows raised.

Yes, I reply, and wait ‘till you hear why

Destroying the doctor-patient relationship is necessary because doing so is central to – and indeed, is the fundamental mechanism by which we accomplish – covert rationing.  And in the United States today, doctors, hospitals, health insurers, HMOs, and the government, with the subconscious collusion of us all, are fully committed to and vigorously engaged in the covert rationing of our health care.

Now, be assured that I don’t expect you to simply take my word for any of this.  I intend to demonstrate fully that these assertions – that we’re covertly rationing health care, and that this covert rationing requires destruction of the doctor-patient relationship – are true, and then to suggest what we ought to be doing about it.

In Section 2, I will show how rationing health care has become an absolute economic imperative.  While public officials and health care providers do not (and cannot) admit it, the need to ration is accepted as an axiom by health care economists.  We must ration health care and are doing so, economists agree, simply as a matter of demographics and mathematics.  The only question, then, is not whether to ration, but how to ration.

The most straightforward way to ration health care would be to openly establish a set of rules for determining how health care services should be distributed, and to apply those rules equally and fairly, across the board.  Such a process would be called open rationing.  But we cannot conduct open rationing in our society because, well, that would be rationing.  And the notion of rationing health care is anathema in the United States.

If we cannot ration health care openly, the only other choice (since ration we must) is to ration covertly, that is, to ration while denying that we are rationing at all.  And that is what we are doing today.

To see how covert rationing works, consider the problem faced by the CEO of an HMO, (or by a Medicare administrator, or by one of the other individuals we have deputized to reduce our health care costs).  When such an individual looks out over the landscape of medicine as it is traditionally practiced, he beholds a frightening sight: over two million times each day, individual physicians and individual patients – just the two of them, alone in a room – make millions of individual decisions about which health care resources should be called upon for the sake of that individual patient at that particular time.  And when each of these decisions is finally reached, and the doctor places pen to paper and signs her name, the entire medical-industrial complex immediately bends to her will.  

Our CEO, witnessing all this in a cold sweat, is thinking, “They’re spending my money.”

Actually, they’re spending society’s money.  But whoever has dibs on the money, the fact remains that we can no longer allow such spending decisions to be made in a vacuum, as if the cumulative effect of those decisions on society are irrelevant. Since we cannot affect those individual spending decisions through an open system of rules – again, that would be rationing – we must affect them in some other way.  

To both the HMO executive and the governmental regulator, the answer is quite simple.  Coercive pressure must be applied at the focal point of all health care spending – the physician-patient encounter to force spending decisions to be made on the basis of something other than what is best for the patient.  

Covert rationing requires that decisions made at the bedside be made with society’s priorities in mind, and not the patient’s.  Indeed, covert rationing demands that the doctor forego his primary duty to his patient, in favor of “the greater good.”The demand is non-negotiable.  If doctors are reluctant to give up their traditional role as their patients’ advocates, they must be coerced into doing so, and the ones who still refuse need to be weeded out. Thus, an essential truth is revealed. The engine that drives covert rationing must be - can only be - destruction of the traditional doctor-patient relationship.

There is no denying that the needs of society are important.  In fact, if the proportion of the gross national product we spend on health care is not soon limited, we will find our society becoming dangerously unstable.  But by choosing to limit our health care spending surreptitiously, by rationing at the bedside, by making our physicians the agents of rationing instead of the agents of their patients, we choose a particularly deadly approach to this problem.

Doctors, as imperfect as they are, are the only thing standing between patients and the growing lust for cost-cutting displayed by HMOs, insurers, hospitals, the government, and the majority of citizens who are not seriously ill at any given time.  When we permit the erosion of the traditional doctor-patient relationship, not only do we abandon patients to their own devices in this hostile environment, we do so in their very hour of need, and at the very time they are least capable of fending for themselves.  The doctors, too, are grievously wounded by the loss of this relationship.  For when doctors turn away from their obligations to their patients, even if only because they are coerced, they betray the first principle of medicine, and devalue their profession to the point of worthlessness.

But covert rationing does far more than just cause harm to the medical profession and to the lives of patients.  For covert rationing also requires that we compromise the founding principle of our culture – our ideal of the primacy of the individual.  Destruction of the doctor-patient relationship is merely the most direct and visible manifestation of this compromise.  Covert rationing, and all it entails, ultimately threaten to leave us a fundamentally changed people. 

We will soon examine in some detail just how covert rationing works, and how subversion of the doctor-patient relationship harms us as individuals and as a society. But first, we ought to look a little more closely at our first premise - that health care rationing is a given, whether we choose to admit it or not.

Next: Section 2: The truth about health care rationing

The limits of cost reduction

There are only two potential methods of bringing down the cost of health care:

1) Reducing inefficiencies in the system (reducing wasted expenditures)

2) Rationing care (reducing useful expenditures)

The entire public discussion on health care spending in the United States to date has rested on the notion that the high cost of health care can be explained almost entirely by the inefficiencies in the health care delivery system, such as administrative overhead and suboptimal utilization of resources (i.e., waste and fraud). This argument, which allows us to imagine that we can control health care costs simply by eliminating unneeded expenditures, is the only politically feasible one that can be made (since, if this argument were not true, our only remaining alternative would be to ration health care). Therefore, virtually all the methods proposed for dealing with the high cost of health care have been based on the assumption that improving inefficiencies in the system is all that is needed.  (It is worth noting here, once again, that such an argument is only for public consumption.  Experts in the field of health care economics, in their scholarly writings, start with the premise that rationing is the only choice we have.) 

Nobody denies that there are plenty of inefficiencies in the health care system.  And nobody disagrees with the notion that we should make every effort to eliminate unneeded expenditures.  The problem with relying on a reduction in inefficiencies as the primary means of controlling the rising cost of health care, however, is that it won’t work.

David Eddy, in his book Clinical Decision Making (Jones and Bartlett Publishers, 1996), examines the feasibility of reducing inefficiencies as a means of controlling the cost of health care. Assume, he says, that in 1970 (around the time a health care crisis was first declared) a severe austerity program had been initiated within the health care system that accomplished all the following things:

Eddy's Austerity Program for Health Care
1. cut all administrative costs by 50%
2. cut costs of all prescription and nonprescription drugs, plus costs of all other non-durable medical goods, by 50%
3. cut physician services by 20%
4. eliminate all government public health programs
5. eliminate construction of all health care facilities
6. eliminate all medical research

Further, assume that these cuts had been maintained, at the same levels, for the next 21 years - from 1970 through 1991.

Obviously, one would expect such a drastic program of cuts to significantly reduce national health care expenditures.  And in fact, it would.  The following table compares actual U.S. health care expenditures for that 21-year period to the expenditures that would have occurred under Eddy’s austerity program (values are reported in billions of dollars):
Year Actual spending Austerity spending
1970 74.4 59.2
1980 250.1 206.4
1989 604.3 499.5
1991 751.8 623.6*

*values in billions of dollars; derived from Eddy, pp 270-274.

Note that the austerity program saves a lot of money right away. In 1970, the first year of the cuts, only $59.2 billion would have been spent, compared to the actual expenditures of $74.4 billion.  Further, the significant savings persist over time.  In 1991, only $623.6 billion would have been spent under the austerity program compared to $751.8 billion in actual spending.         

Note, however, that the amount of money actually spent in 1989 is roughly the same as the amount that would have been spent under the austerity program only two years later, in 1991. In other words, all one ultimately gains after 21 years of an austerity program even as improbable and severe as this one is a little time; in this example, a little less than 2 years.

Why is this?  It is because the rate of increase in health care expenditures is largely unrelated to anything that was cut under Eddy’s austerity program.  So when the cuts were made, health care costs continued rising at the same rate as before – they simply started at a lower baseline.  The only thing that was saved with this Draconian effort was time, and not all that much time, at that.

This phenomenon is not just theoretical.  It is being experienced by all western countries, even those like Canada and Great Britain, that have tightly-controlled, single-payer health care systems with overt rationing measures in full view.  In general, while health care spending in such countries is significantly lower than in the United States, the rate of growth of that spending is very similar to the double-digit rate of health care inflation seen in the U.S.  The economic crisis we are experiencing is shared, and recognized, by most developed countries around the world, despite tightly managed health care systems in many of those countries. 

In the U.S. itself, the “reforms” in health care that have been instituted since 1994 brought the annual rate of growth in health care to below 5% for a few years.  However, latest indications are (now that we have made the “easy” cuts) the rate of growth is rising again.  In the state of Pennsylvania, by 1999 the increase in insurance premiums paid by companies for their employees was back to 10 – 15% per year.  Managed care and administrative reforms can significantly reduce the cost of health care, but the rate of growth is ultimately unchanged.  Ultimately, in fact, the only thing gained by reducing waste and increasing efficiency is a bit of time. The basic assumption made by virtually every party in the great health care debate (i.e., that reducing inefficiencies is all that is needed), is demonstrably wrong.

There are finite limits to how much money we can spend by instituting systematic efficiencies in the health care system, even "efficiencies" as drastic and as unacceptable as the ones postulated in Eddy's thought experiment.

The bottom line on rationing

To reiterate, the essential problem is not that a substantial proportion of health care spending is wasted due to inefficiencies in the system (though there are plenty of inefficiencies).  The essential problem, the one we cannot escape, is that the rate of growth of health care spending is too high, is unrelenting, and is unrelated to those systematic inefficiencies. If we are to gain control of health care costs, somehow we must deal with this rate of growth.

What is responsible for this unrelenting growth in the cost of health care?  Since it is not due to waste and inefficiency, the only possible answer is that it is due to an increasing volume of actual health care being delivered per capita.  And this, as we have seen, is due both to advancing technologies (which is potentially controllable, but, practically speaking, only with rationing), and to an ever-aging population (which is not potentially controllable, save by completely uncivilized methods).

To cut into that growth rate, then, we have to find ways to reduce not just waste and inefficiency, but more importantly, ways to reduce the volume of health care services being delivered per capita – even though many of those health care services are apparently useful.  In other words, to reduce the rate of increase in health care spending, we have to ration care.

And as we have seen, we must reduce the growth in health care spending, and not just because we have a present-day health care crisis. The economic pressures that will predictably occur in the next few decades will dwarf any pressures we are experiencing today. We need to gain control of these costs not just for our own near-term economic health, and not just to be fair to our children and grandchildren.  Controlling health care costs is what we must do in order to avoid societal chaos. And since rationing is the only way to truly gain that control, rationing is what we must do.  It is an economic imperative.  It will happen (and is happening) whether we accept its necessity or not.

The only real choice we have, then, is whether to ration openly, or whether to do it covertly. In the next part we’ll consider why we have opted, so far, for the latter method.

Why covertly? What choice is there?

Even on the surface it is easy to understand why our society, faced with the prospect of having to ration health care, might opt to do it covertly.  Simply put, rationing is unacceptable. No politician with a brain in his or her head would stand up in public and admit that rationing is necessary.  To do so would become their last public act.  To a politician, and to every policy maker with an ounce of common sense, covert rationing looks far less onerous than the alternative. 

In fact, just trying to visualize how we would do it might be enough to convince most reasonable people that open rationing would be insurmountably awful. Just imagine. There, on C-SPAN, in some Congressional meeting room, the American Heart Association is squaring off against the American Cancer Society in the battle for dollars. Tune in at 2 PM to watch a group of women with breast cancer testify as to why they should get funding priority over those children with leukemia sitting at the next table.  It’s hideous to contemplate.

But, aside from the fact that figuring out how to do it doesn't necessarily have to be quite that bad, open rationing actually turns out to be the lesser of the two evils.  To see why, it is necessary to consider the real reasons behind our decision to ration our health care covertly, and where covert rationing inevitably leads us.

The American health care myth

A culture is largely defined by its myths. 

I use the term “myth” here not in its vernacular form (i.e., not to imply lies or untruths), but in its classic form.  A myth is a story that describes how a people came to be, and why things are as they are.  So, while myths are simply stories, they carry extraordinary power. Myths largely determine how a culture interprets the world around it, and provide a set of guiding principles by which that culture behaves, shapes itself, and responds to events. Myths impart vitality. Cultures that forget their myths, or allow them to become sterile, themselves become barren, impotent, and doomed.

Throughout history, the greatest leaders have been those who have understood the power of myths.  Such individuals often arise in times of great change, chaos, or turmoil – times when the old myths are losing their relevance – and offer a new interpretation. Here is what is happening, and why, they say.  Here is who we are, and here is what we must do. One thinks of Jefferson, Lincoln, both Roosevelts, and Churchill. Essentially, great leaders are great storytellers.  They offer new and compelling stories that explain things, that give order to chaos, impart a sense of purpose, and redefine and redirect a culture. With such myths great leaders can galvanize a people, and compel them to act in concert to achieve great things.

Myths can be extremely beneficial.  The ultimate American myth, laid out succinctly by Jefferson in the Declaration of Independence, celebrates the autonomy of the individual – all of us are created equal, and we all have the self-evident rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. The power of this myth is manifest in many ways. Consider that at the time of the Declaration and for decades afterwards, slavery was legal in America; Jefferson himself was a notorious slaveholder.  Some have claimed from this fact that the founding fathers, and the myth they promulgated, were cruelly hypocritical. Yet, the power of this American myth - reconfirmed in the Gettysburg Address - ultimately helped bring about the abolition of slavery. While largely untrue at the time it was first stated, the cardinal American myth to a great extent was responsible for shaping subsequent events.  Ultimately, the reality of American culture came more nearly to resemble its myth.

Myths can also be extremely destructive. Adolph Hitler rose from obscurity by telling a story about the German people that, in that time of great national turmoil, had resonance. The subsequent atrocities committed by the Germans were horribly logical in the context of that myth. Recently, it has been argued that the holocaust could not have happened without at least the complicity of the majority of the German people, and that therefore, perhaps the German culture is essentially flawed in some way.  The problem with this facile synthesis is that similar atrocities have been committed innumerable times throughout history by many different peoples – the atrocities inflicted upon Native Americans by white Americans is just one example.  In virtually every case, the culture committing these atrocities felt it was acting on the side of justice, righting a terrible wrong. In every case these cultures were behaving in concert with a powerful cultural myth. It is likely that the actions of the German people in World War II also stemmed from the myth to which they subscribed, and that therefore their actions are less reflective of a specific truth about a specific culture than they are of a general truth about the power of myths to influence the behavior of any culture.

To a large extent, how we think about health care in America is defined by a myth. This myth is a recent one, having taken shape during the last half of the twentieth century, coincident with the rise of modern high-tech health care, and with the soaring optimism that came with America’s emergence as the world’s greatest power. The myth goes something like this: In America we have and will continue to have the best health care in the world, the best doctors, the best hospitals, the best technology. Every American citizen deserves – indeed, has a right to – access to that best medical care. Since one cannot place a price on human life, everything that can be done for a sick person must be done, as long as there is some small hope of a beneficial outcome. Finally, every disease is potentially curable, and as a matter of policy we will strive to learn how to cure every disease.

The myth of American health care can be summarized thusly: where health care is concerned, there are no limits.

This health care myth is entirely consistent with the cardinal American myth as articulated by Jefferson, specifically the self-evident right to “life”.  What better way is there of guaranteeing such a right than to insist on superb health care? (And, since the rights to liberty and the pursuit of happiness are also given, self-indulgence that results in disease does not abrogate one’s right to the very best health care.)

For the most part this myth has been an extraordinarily useful one.  The essential optimism of our health care myth, and the single-minded efforts it has engendered, have led to amazing advances in the treatment of many formerly devastating diseases. Hospitals in almost every major American city are on a par with the world’s best, our physicians are the best trained in the world, and our biomedical industry is the envy of every other country. While no one can argue that all Americans receive the very best care, on the whole all but our most disadvantaged citizens have access to some of the best medical care in the world.

While the effect of this myth has been largely salutary so far, a new question now arises: how can you square the need to ration health care with such a myth?

And there’s the problem. You can’t. The need to ration health care is simply incompatible with a myth whose basic notion is that there are no limits.

The cold fear of going up against that myth is what freezes politicians and other policymakers in their tracks at the very thought of rationing. Rationing becomes unthinkable.  Our health care myth leaves us no choice but to do that rationing covertly.

How we make rationing compatible with our health care myth

On the surface it might seem impossible to conduct widespread rationing in a vast industry like health care, which consumes more than 13% of the GDP and directly affects the lives of most citizens at one time or another, and to do it covertly, in secret.  Wouldn’t the rationing of such a highly visible commodity be apparent to everybody? 

Actually, it is quite apparent if you look for it.  It’s just that all of us have more-or-less agreed not to look. 

To a very large extent, those who are doing the rationing – the doctors, the hospitals, the HMOs, the pharmaceutical houses, the biotechnology companies, the scientists, and the governmental agencies – subscribe to the same myth of American health care as the general public.  They carry out their activities openly and proudly.  Most, in fact, would find the very notion of rationing to be repugnant, and would no doubt take great offense to hear they are being accused of doing so. 

Thus, covert rationing is not the result of some vast conspiracy to deceive the American public. (In fact, I don't believe that large, sustained conspiracies - anything more complicated than, say, cheating at bridge - are even possible.)

The covert rationing of health care is, in fact, a textbook case of subconscious collusion.  In the case of health care rationing, subconscious collusion operates thusly: First, the irresistible economic forces that require rationing line up to foster a certain attitude, a certain way of looking at things. Then, within every entity in the health care system, those who embrace such an attitude become ascendant, not by conspiracy or plot, but by natural market forces.

That certain correct attitude, the new “right stuff,” is defined by the ability to suggest actions that have the effect of limiting health care services, while couching those suggestions in the language of the American health care myth.  In essence, this kind of thinking allows organizations to direct the rationing of health care, while at the same time advancing the notion that rationing is unnecessary.

Note that there is surprisingly little hypocrisy under this scenario. While undoubtedly some of the individuals who are directing the rationing behavior understand exactly what they are doing, most continue to subscribe to the myth of “no limits.”  Most honestly believe (or at least, want very badly to believe) that their actions are not reducing useful services, that instead, they are reducing waste and improving the efficiency of the system.  Those who do understand the true nature of their actions generally shield themselves from having to communicate that knowledge.  They are more likely to become the quiet, private CEO’s whose spokespersons and PR directors (individuals who are entirely sincere about what they are telling the public) do their speaking for them.

So there is no conspiracy.  The covert rationing of health care is conducted by a myriad of organizations, all acting quite independently, all simply responding to economic imperatives.  The key for organizations that want to flourish within the health care system is to identify leaders who can respond both to the irresistible need to ration health care, and to the equally irresistible need to rationalize such behavior in terms acceptable to the rest of us.  Those individuals, men and women of vision, are presently the Most Valuable Players in the health care system.

The enabling visions advanced by such individuals – visions that permit covert rationing activities to go forward openly, freely, and often profitably – can be categorized into two general schools of thought.  We will be spending some time with both schools of thought in coming sections, and will be getting to know them well.  A brief introduction for now will suffice.

Battle of the Titans - Clintonians v. Gekkonians

As noted, there are two enabling visions - two general schools of thought - that promote the covert rationing of health care. Both allow rationing activities to go forward openly, freely, and often profitably, while maintaining a cloak of  "no limits." 

School of Thought # 1 - The Clintonians

This school of thought is the one most commonly espoused by government officials, politicians, public health officials, and other health care policy makers, as well as most liberals. I have taken the liberty of naming this school of thought after the individuals who have, thus far, done the most to advance its basic premises.

Clintonians believe that the root cause for all the problems in our health care system lies in human weaknesses (specifically, you will recall, in too many greedy doctors using too much expensive technology).  The fix for these problems therefore rests in setting public policy and promulgating governmental regulations to hold that greed in check.  From a philosophical point of view Clintonians believe in Original Sin, in the essential evil in man – if you give a fellow too much freedom, he’ll probably do something bad.

The Clintonians’ point of view is amply supported by the undeniable fact that that the traditional fee-for-service health care system has institutionalized the natural human greed of physicians. Under that system, the more technology doctors use and the more procedures they order, the more money they make.  Indeed, it simply cannot be denied that this system fosters profligacy, waste and the overutilization of expensive resources. 

According to the Clintonian school, the greed inherent in our health care system is only underscored by the fact that millions of Americans have been shut out of the system altogether. Where is the cry of outrage from our “compassionate” physicians over the high number of uninsured?  The lack of quality in our present health care system is further underscored by the embarrassingly high infant mortality rate in the U.S., and our lagging life-expectancy rate compared to some other developed countries.  Again, where is the professional outrage?  Clearly there is a fundamental problem with our health care system, a problem that stems from the misguided incentives and maladjusted motivations of health care practitioners and other profiteers. 

Politicians and public policymakers naturally gravitate toward the Clintonian school of thought, since its basic premise is that the problem with health care results from misguided incentives coupled with human greed. This premise obviously places the solution squarely in the hands of policymakers, who can do the job with new, stricter regulations and more enforcement muscle.

School of thought # 2 - The Gekkonians

This school of thought is usually espoused by the insurance industry, health care executives, many physicians, and most proponents of a free-enterprise economy, including most conservatives. I have named it after Gordon Gekko, the character in the movie Wall Street, whose chief operating philosophy was that greed is good.

Its basic premise is that the open marketplace generally offers the best solution to society’s problems.  Philosophically speaking, Gekkonians believe in the essential goodness of man – give a fellow his freedom, and just watch the good things flow.

 Gekkonians assert that the health care crisis stems directly from the fact that, while doctors may be good at practicing medicine (or maybe they’re not), they’re no businessmen. And health care is simply a business, like any other economic enterprise. 

Leave it up to the doctors, and they’ll forever practice medicine the way they did in 1910 – hundreds of thousands of independent guildsmen, each running their own shop, duplicating expensive services, multiplying inefficiencies, and shutting out the competition. No wonder the health care system is such an inefficient, wasteful mess. Instead, the health care industry should be treated as a market, just like any other market, and not as some sacred, protected economic sphere.

Let those who know how to run a business run the business of health care, and let the doctors practice medicine (under the guidance, of course, of the fiscally adept). Bring the efficiencies of the for-profit, free enterprise system to the health care industry, and the health care crisis will take care of itself.

Clintonians v. Gekkonians

At first glance, the Clintonians and the Gekkonians would seem to have little in common. The Clintonians believe that too much greed is the problem, so the health care crisis can only be solved by regulations to hold that greed in check.  The Gekkonians, on the other hand, propose to allow market incentives (or, if you will, greed) to solve the health care crisis by reducing artificial constraints on the market (i.e., by reducing governmental regulations). 

A closer look, however, reveals that these two schools of thought actually have very much in common; certainly enough to explain why Clintonians and Gekkonians can often be seen forming alliances with one another in their efforts to reform the system.

First, both schools of thought are based firmly on the American myth of health care.  There ought to be no limits on what Americans should ultimately expect from their health care system.  Thus, our health care crisis is due solely to too much waste and fraud within the health care system.  While one school tends to blame the waste and fraud on greed and the other on incompetence, the basic problem according to both schools is the inefficient use of resources.  We’ve already seen the fatal limitations of the “waste and fraud” hypothesis.  But still (as we’ve noted several times already), it is attractive to suppose that enough waste exists in the system to make rationing unnecessary.

As a direct result of the “waste and fraud” hypothesis, both schools of thought are able to assert that the underlying problem with health care is one of “system.”  For the Clintonians, the traditional health care system allows, and even encourages, greedy health care workers to rip off the public.  For the Gekkonians, our medieval, guild-like health care system discourages competition and stifles efficiency.  Either way, the problem is in the system, so the solution is simply to fix the system (either through regulatory means, or market-based means). Since the problem is merely systematic, there is no reason to question our underlying premises, and thus no reason to question our American health care myth.  Both schools of thought leave the myth entirely unchallenged and intact.

These two schools of thought have one more common feature that deserves prominent mention.  In each, the primary solution to the health care crisis requires limiting the capacity of doctors to behave as independent agents.  In one case this is to be done by regulatory means in order to stifle physician greed; in the other it is to be done by the marketplace in order to eliminate physician inefficiency.  But either way the primary goal, the number one priority, is to control physician behavior.  To the extent that controlling physicians’ behavior prevents them from being greedy or inefficient, that’s good. But to the extent that controlling their behavior prevents them from fulfilling their role as advocates for their patients, that’s very, very bad.

Thus does each school of thought provide a serviceable “cover” for activities that, if subconscious collusion were not the operational imperative, would quickly be seen for what they are – rationing activities.  Indeed, understanding these two schools of thought allows us to comprehend the secret language of covert rationing.  For rationing behavior is virtually always couched in terms of one school of thought or the other.

So far in the race to control our hearts and minds, neither school of thought has clearly predominated.  In 1993 and 1994, the “heyday” of the Clintons’ health care reform efforts, the Clintonians were clearly in the driver’s seat.  Then, when the Clinton plan went down to overwhelming defeat, the Gekkonians rapidly took the fore.  Now it would appear that the public is beginning to sour on health care run by the ostensible “free market,” and the Clintonians are making a strong comeback. It isn’t likely that either school of thought will be vanquished in the near future.

But such a “horse race” scenario is a gross oversimplification.  As we will see, many forms of covert rationing are supported by both schools of thought, and the “race” has been characterized more by collusion than collision.  In any case, for doctors and patients struggling in the trenches, it doesn’t much matter which school of thought represents the paradigm of the day.  And whichever one is providing the “cover” at any given point in time, covert rationing in any guise renders the pursuit of health care exceedingly difficult, frustrating and dangerous.

The consequences of covert rationing

We’ve agreed that rationing in any form is bad.  But, while there’s no doubt that devising a fair system of open rationing would be difficult and painful, the ultimate consequences of covert rationing are even more terrible.  

Consider just the most obvious result when health care has to be rationed tacitly. Human nature being what it is, the special interests (the doctors, hospitals, insurers, the biomedical industry, and the government) proclaim, apparently sincerely, that the changes in health care occurring today are good, and represent their single-minded efforts to become more efficient, patient-oriented and quality-driven.  Meanwhile (again, human nature being what it is) those same special interests become embroiled in a bloody competition, between and among themselves, for what they realize is a limited health care dollar.  

This competition is incredibly fierce because it is driven not merely by greed, but perhaps more importantly by the threat to professional and corporate survival. Next to an all-consuming threat like this, the health care being provided to the general public (the entity for which the health care system ostensibly exists in the first place), becomes almost an afterthought. Consequently, that limited health care dollar, instead of being used to bring about the greatest good for the greatest number, ends up in the hands of whichever special interests are best at “playing the game.”

“Oh,” you may be thinking, “those evil special interests!”  But before calling out the posse, consider the role you yourself play in all this ("you," that is, the well-informed health care consumer).  For the sad fact is, covertly rationing health care simply wouldn’t be possible without your collusion as well, subconscious though it may be.  Indeed, in the covert rationing scheme of things, you and those like you simply constitute another special interest.

To illustrate, assume for a moment that, having taken a long look at some of the goings on in the health care industry, you’ve come to smell a rat.  Perhaps, let’s say, you’ve even begun to suspect there are forces within the health care system that have lined up to direct the limited health care dollar their own way, to the detriment of the general public.  This being the case, what would you do?  Would you cry foul, try to instigate change, attempt to stem the unfair influence of the special interests, and insist that limited funds be spent to do the greatest good for the greatest number?  Perhaps.  But by doing so, if you insisted that funds be spent evenly and fairly among the population, you might personally have a lot to lose. Even if you happen to be living under a managed care plan with particularly restrictive rules, for instance, you know that those rules can be bent for the occasional, vociferously savvy consumer in exchange for silence – silence that keeps the insurer from having to change the rules for the masses.  So, as long as rationing remains covert, you personally have a very good chance of getting the health care you need, or, at least, that you think you need.  It makes as much sense for educated, well-informed patients to silently collude with rationing as it does for their physicians or their insurance carriers.

A cynic might ask: if covert rationing is okay with the health care industry, okay with well-informed patients, and is truly (as opposed to tacitly) unnoticed by everybody else, why make a big deal about it? 

The answer is, the covert rationing of health care is more than just selfish, unfair and deceptive; in the end it is highly destructive not only to each of us individually, but to our entire society. 

For one thing, by pretending that we are not rationing (and indeed, that there is no need to ration), we are bequeathing to our children and grandchildren an enormous and highly destabilizing fiscal burden.

Even more important than the fiscal burden we are creating for our children is the political and social burden we are creating for them.  For in order to keep the rationing of health care covert, we are engaged in a disastrous cascade of compromise and self-deception that threatens the basic underpinnings of not only our health care system, but also our American culture.  Such self-deception can be recognized today in every aspect of health care: in the broad-based restructuring in the business side of health care; in the sweeping and stultifying changes in the legal and regulatory climate; in the design, justification, and interpretation of medical research; and ironically, in the growing call for expanded “patients’ rights.”  These compromises will have destructive effects that range far beyond merely withholding useful health care from some of those who need it. Taken together, these compromises constitute a powerful attack on the most essential ideal of our American society, namely, the autonomy of the individual.

This ideal is never completely secure; it always requires a vigorous and ongoing defense. In fact, we have spent most of the 20th century defending the rights of the individual over those of society.  The defeat of fascism and of communism (two social orders that each awarded primacy to society, in the guise of the state), along with the nearly universal acceptance of the ethical principles embodied in the Nuremburg Code, was thought by many to have settled the question, once and for all, in favor of the individual.  But this is a question that can never be answered once and for all.

This question is deeply challenged by the issue of health care rationing itself.  For if we ration, whether overtly or covertly, we must withhold from individuals for the benefit of society.  Under even the best of circumstances then, rationing of any kind poses a serious challenge to the notion of primacy of the individual. 

But while it is at least possible to construct a system of open rationing that maintains the autonomy of the individual, such autonomy is always sacrificed under covert rationing. Covert rationing abandons the individual often as the very first step, and does so without any discussion whatsoever, and often without any realization as to what is being thrown away.  If we lose the principle of individual autonomy, we lose everything that is inherently American. This is the ultimate price we pay as a society when we quietly, subconsciously collude with the covert rationing of health care. 

It is ironic that our American health care myth, a myth that derives from our principled commitment to the primacy of the individual, leads us to actions that attack that first principle, and virtually guarantee its destruction.  The destruction of the doctor-patient relationship is merely the earliest, most direct, and most personal manifestation of this attack.

     A brief history of American Health Care
A brief history of health care

The present state of affairs is difficult to understand for many physicians and patients who view the last 50 years as a golden era in health care, and who view the rise of HMOs as an abomination.  But when viewed from the systems level, it becomes apparent that for much of the 20th century, our health care system actually has functioned in a completely unnatural and unsustainable way.  HMOs turn out not to be an abomination to the natural laws governing the sacred practice of medicine, but a predictable correction to a way of doing business that was ultimately doomed from the beginning. To see why this is so, we need to briefly consider how the “traditional” American health care system came to be as it is.

The guild-building era

It is interesting to note that such “modern” ideas as capitation (the providing of medical care for a fixed annual fee) and the corporate practice of medicine (medical practices controlled by companies, not by doctors), are actually much older than we might think.  American companies pioneered the contracting of medical services even before the beginning of the 20th century.  This innovation came from industries such as railroad and lumber, whose operations often took place in isolated areas, and for whose employees medical care would otherwise be unavailable.  Some companies went so far as to build and operate their own hospitals, and staffed those hospitals with physicians who were paid out of the company payroll.  By the early 1900s, contract medicine was commonplace in the United States, and was conducted by many kinds of organizations – not only by companies (both large and small), but also by multitudes of fraternal orders and lodges, which began offering subscription medical services to their members.  Soon the federal and local governments were also contracting for physician services on behalf of their employees, prisoners, and wards of the state. 

It should not be surprising to learn that organized medicine looked upon these developments with alarm. The mission of organized medicine was to foster an environment under which their physician members could practice their profession scientifically and ethically, while, of course, maintaining favorable fees. Contract health care placed too much control in the hands of third party payers, thus threatening all three goals of profit, quality and ethical standards.

In response, in the early 1900s organized medicine went on the offensive, claiming both the scientific and the moral high ground.  The practice of medicine, it was asserted, was based in the sciences.  Therefore, the allegedly poor working conditions suffered by contract practitioners precluded their upholding the high scientific standards to which physicians aspired.  And thus, contract medicine was bad medicine. 

Further, it was asserted, contract medicine violated the sacred fiduciary relationship between physicians and their patients. Such a relationship required patients and physicians to “contract” directly with one another, without intermediaries.  Any other party (such as a contractor or the state) inserting itself into this relationship would end up dividing the loyalties of the physician, and thus violating the nature of this sacred trust. Contract medicine (and state-controlled medicine) was therefore unethical.

Medical organizations strongly lobbied both the general public and state legislators with the notion that it was in society’s best interest to prevent middlemen from inserting themselves between physicians and their patients. Physicians who practiced contract medicine were held out as being something less than true physicians.  Such unfortunates began to find it difficult to join their local medical societies, which at the time made it difficult for them to purchase malpractice insurance and to gain hospital privileges.  In addition, many state legislatures were persuaded to pass laws actually making most contract medicine illegal. 

By the 1920s the medical establishment had largely vanquished contract medicine. In essence, the medical profession had successfully created a classic “guild” – physicians had established a monopoly over an economic realm, allowing competition to occur only within that protected sphere. Outsiders had little or nothing to say about how the practice of medicine was conducted.

Next: The economic golden era

 

The two "golden eras" of American health care

The "economic" golden era

Any health care economist worth his or her salt will tell you that from an economic standpoint, an ideal health care system is one in which patients pay directly for their medical care.  In such a system, patients freely choose their own physicians, and together with their physicians make all medical decisions, mindful that any costs incurred thereby are theirs to pay.  Cost controls are therefore automatic. During the 1920s and for the next few decades, this “ideal” system existed in the United States.  Inasmuch as doctors at the time had very little to offer in terms of expensive (or effective) therapies, and since patients’ expectations were (appropriately) low, this system worked extremely well from an economic point of view.

The "medical" golden era

This economic equilibrium began to falter in the 1930s, and the disequilibrium rapidly accelerated in the years following World War II.  The first kink in the armor of direct contracting between physicians and their patients occurred during the Great Depression, when hospitals began to suffer from patients’ inability to pay their bills.  Over the initial objections of physicians, financially stressed hospitals prevailed on state legislatures to legalize the insurance schemes that became known as Blue Cross.  In order to assuage the moral indignation of physicians, however, the Blues were created as non-profit, provider-oriented insurance organizations. 

“Provider-oriented” meant two things.  First, Blue Cross (and later, Blue Shield) did not try to tell physicians how to practice medicine.  Physicians were free to practice as they saw fit, and the Blues would simply pay the bills on a fee-for-service basis.  Second, the boards of trustees of local Blue Cross and Blue Shield organizations were loaded with prominent local physicians and hospital administrators. 

Not only did such a system preserve the direct physician-patient relationship, it also paid the bills more reliably than did patients themselves. The system worked to so well that soon physicians became willing to countenance the formation of private health insurance companies, as long as those companies followed the same general guidelines set by the Blues. 

Health insurance proved to be so popular that, during the wage and price controls of World War II, companies began offering it to their employees in lieu of higher wages.  After the war, American labor unions began to demand that employers provide health insurance as a benefit of employment.  The government liked this idea, too, and in order to encourage it, tax laws were changed to make the provision of this benefit extremely attractive to employers.

It is important to note that this new tax policy created a fundamental change in how health care was paid for.  In effect, it shifted a huge chunk of the fiscal burden for health insurance from consumers and employers to the government, where it remains to this day. Within a few years, the majority of American workers had employer-provided health care insurance, heavily subsidized by the federal government.

Then in the 1960s, the federal government became directly involved in paying for American health care on a large scale with the institution of Medicare, and then Medicaid.  Since that moment, the proportion of health care spending directly attributable to the government has steadily grown – from 24% of all dollars spent on health care in the 1960s, to 40% by 1990.  Today, when you include tax subsidies for health insurance, fully 51% of America’s health care spending is accounted for by the government, and paid for by taxpayers.

Since politicians can tax the people only so much, a lot of this spending has been piling up in the form of the national debt, awaiting our children and grandchildren.

But for physicians and their patients in the second half of the 20th century, the resultant system seemed nearly perfect.  While patients retained complete freedom of choice regarding which doctors and hospitals they used, and while the physician-patient relationship remained largely free of outside influence, somebody else was paying the bills. There arose an almost complete dissociation between providing (and consuming) health care, and paying for it.

This economic arrangement did at least two things that would ultimately spell its own doom.  First, it allowed the American health care myth to flourish – the notion that the best possible care should be provided to everybody, and that where health care is concerned, there are no limits.  It created expectations that ultimately could not be met.

Second, this system fostered the development of the medical-industrial complex.  Since any medical advance that seemed useful would be paid for, powerful corporations arose dedicated to meeting the bottomless demand for medical advances. The pharmaceutical companies, hospital suppliers, and medical device companies began turning out a steady stream of improved and expensive technology.  Ironically (given that this whole system had evolved largely due to physicians’ attempts to shield themselves from corporate influence), these corporations used their considerable marketing clout to influence the decisions, the practice patterns, and even the demographic distribution (such as patterns of specialization) of the medical profession.

The bottomless expectations of patients and physicians, coupled with the never-ending meeting (and flaming) of those expectations by industry, created a rapidly spinning positive feedback loop. The more health care the doctors and patients got, the more they wanted.  The more they wanted, the more the medical-industrial complex was happy to provide.  It was inevitable that those paying the ever-mounting health care costs (i.e., employers and the government) would eventually reach the breaking point.  While the system that prevailed during this “golden era” came to be regarded as the norm by (if not the birthright of) American physicians and their patients, from a broader perspective that system is clearly an unsustainable aberrancy.  At some point the mounting costs of “no limit” health care had to generate its own backlash. The system had to implode.

Era of Reform - the Clintonians have a go at the health care system

Recognition that such a health care system could not be sustained did not begin with the Clintons.  Employers and the government initially became alarmed with rapidly rising health care expenditures as far back as the 1960s and 1970s.  During our more recent national debate on health care reform, few seemed to remember that President Nixon had first proposed a sweeping national health care plan more than twenty years earlier. (Yes, Nixon was a Clintonian.) Nixon’s plan, as did the Clintons’ 20 years later, fell victim to the efforts of the groups most entrenched in the medical-industrial complex: hospitals, doctors, medical device and pharmaceutical companies, and the insurance industry. 

The failure of Nixon’s reform plan was followed by two decades of more gradual, stepwise efforts to bring health care spending under control.  Many of these changes were driven by Congress, whose efforts to regulate health care were now considered legitimate, since it directly provided health care funding via Medicare.  By forcing regional planning for expensive medical facilities and by more carefully reviewing the practices of physicians, Congress hoped to slow the increase in health care spending.  In the meantime, actions were taken by both the courts and by Congress to increase competition within the medical marketplace, on the theory that competition reduces costs (and it does – in almost any other economic realm).  Thus, such things as legal barriers to advertising, and more importantly, barriers to the creation of HMOs, were gradually withdrawn.  While doctors chafed over and complained about these efforts (grumbling, among other things, about the interposition of middlemen between themselves and their patients), they still got paid, so their complaints were muffled. 

But such stepwise reform efforts had little if any effect. From 1970 until the early 1990s, as we have seen, health care spending increased from 7.3% of the GDP to approximately 13%, from $74.4 billion to nearly $752 billion annually.

By the 1990s, health care spending had reached the crisis level.  Things were so bad that when the Clintons came into office and went about launching their comprehensive plan for health care reform, they initially found an enthusiastic ally in what, one would think, would be their natural enemy – the Gekkonian insurance industry. 

The dynamics of this uneasy alliance are fascinating.  The insurance industry supported the Clintons’ wide-ranging reforms because those reforms promised them a vast new market – the millions of heretofore uninsured Americans whose premiums would be paid, presumably, by the government. The Clintons, in turn, needed the support of the insurance industry in order to have any prayer of passing their vast reform plan.  So the Clintonians and the Gekkonians allied themselves in the name of health care reform, each with entirely different agendas (the Clintonians: comprehensive regulations; the Gekkonians: profit), and each meaning two entirely different things by “managed care.” 

In this light, the etymology of the new term they invented for their joint endeavor is instructive.  “Managed competition” is actually a hybrid that embodies the chief concerns of both camps. “Managed,” ostensibly from the term “managed care,” actually carries the connotation the Clintonians attach to the word – here, managed means regulated.  The word “competition” represents the interests of the Gekkonians – it implies a for-profit, market-driven sort of health care.  So “managed competition” actually means something like “regulated free markets.”  The contradiction inherent in this term reflected the unnatural alliance between Clintonians and Gekkonians, and predicted that the alliance would not hold.

And of course, it didn’t.  It fell apart when the insurance industry began reading the appallingly massive book of regulations the Clintons at last produced, and found much in it they didn’t like. (Essentially, they found regulations that would plug many of the more productive loopholes traditionally enjoyed by that industry.)  They suddenly turned on the Clintons, spent millions introducing the rest of us to Harry and Louise in their extremely effective series of television spots, and the rest is history.

Rise of the Gekkonians

While the collapse of the Clintons’ reform plan in 1994 caused a sudden deflation of expectations, the severe fiscal crisis in health care remained. In fact, awareness of that crisis had been significantly heightened by the Clintons’ campaign to reform health care, and nobody (except, of course, some of the doctors) entertained the delusion that we could simply go back to business as usual.

But as it turned out, a savior awaited.  That savior was, naturally, that same insurance industry that had first built up then scuttled national health care reform.  Only now the insurance companies had reformulated themselves into HMOs, had decked themselves out in Gekkonian raiment, and had fully assimilated the language of managed care.  And here is what they said: “Citizens!  We all – employers, patients, physicians, hospitals, manufacturers and insurers – have just dodged a bullet.  Thanks to us, the frightening socialist reforms of the Clintons have been soundly defeated.

“But where does this leave us? We stand now between Scylla and Charybdis, between the specter of nationalized health care on one hand, and the continued profligacy of traditional fee-for-service medicine on the other.  And we cannot countenance either. 

“But here,” the Gekkonians continued, “is a third way.  A painless way, based on the sound principles of open markets and free enterprise.  Let health care become a business like any other business, and the market forces will find ways not only to cut costs but also to improve quality, etc., etc., and with no government intervention.” 

The offer, in other words, was to turn health care over to the marketplace, and let the efficiencies of the marketplace solve our problems.  Because we’re Americans and we know the benefits of capitalism, and because the other choices we faced looked even worse, we all said: go for it.

The result has been, over the past few years, perhaps the most rapid change our health care system has ever seen.  While most of the changes have been real, palpable and material, the biggest transformation of all has been a philosophical one.

For all their faults, the Clintonians have always held to the age-old notion that the basic underlying purpose of health care is to maximize the public good.  Indeed, they believe, this fact is what gives government the ultimate authority to regulate health care. Only the government can guarantee that the special interests will act in a manner appropriate to public benefit.  (The flaw in this argument, for those of us who are suspicious of Clintonians, is that regulatory bureaucracies often wind up behaving as the biggest, meanest special interest of all.)

What the Gekkonians have given us is a brand new first premise.  The primary purpose of health care, they say, is not to increase public benefit.  How could it be, when health care is merely a business like any other business?  What we should be striving for is to build a well-run business. Since well-run businesses are beneficial to the community, in the end we can expect plenty of benefits to go around. But the fact remains that health care is a business. And the primary purpose of business is to make money.

In Section 4 we will closely examine the methodologies the Gekkonians have used in bringing this striking new vision to fruition over the past six years. 

What is managed care, anyway?

In Section 2 we saw why it is necessary for us to ration our health care, and why we’ve undertaken to conduct that rationing covertly.  Armed with that understanding, we now embark on a quest.  Like Dorothy trying to find her way home to Kansas, we begin a journey through a very strange land, where clues are given in riddles and things are not as they seem. 

Our goal is to learn how covert rationing works, how it threatens us, and particularly, how it destroys the trust between doctors and patients.  To do this, first we need to understand the machinery of covert rationing - which means we need to figure out managed care.

Unfortunately, even trying to define “managed care” presents a problem, because while everyone seems to know what it means, it means different things to different people.  It means one thing to health care theorists, another to government regulators; one thing to corporate purchasers of health care, another to corporate directors of health care plans; one thing to doctors, another to patients.  It even means one thing to the healthy and another to the sick.

If you were going to design a system for covertly rationing health care it would be very useful to have a central concept like managed care, about which everybody could communicate using the same terminology, but while meaning entirely different things. It should not surprising, therefore, that virtually all our covert rationing activities are being conducted under the commodious umbrella of managed care.

If we are Dorothy, then “managed care” is the all-knowing, all-powerful, all-wonderful, and completely enigmatic Wizard of Oz.  To get to Kansas, we’re going to have to pull down all those curtains and get a good look at that little fellow back there, desperately working those buttons and levers and knobs and handles.

First, we should clear up one of the most common points of confusion about managed care.  “Managed care” itself is different and distinct from “managed care organizations”. Managed care in its purest form simply refers to an administrative philosophy, under which certain management principles that have become standard in other industries are now applied to the health care industry. In contrast, a managed care organization is the bureaucratic entity that purports to apply the techniques of managed care to a population of actual patients. Health maintenance organizations (HMOs) and preferred provider organizations (PPOs), for instance, are two types of managed care organizations. To keep things simple, from now on I will arbitrarily use the term “HMO” as a synonym for “managed care organization.”

Since it is only an administrative philosophy – a technique, a tool – managed care is value-neutral. It is neither “good” nor “bad,” any more than any other tool is good or bad.  What is important is how the tool is used.

"Pure" managed care

Managed care is not a recent idea. It is a concept that has been around for decades, developed largely in academic circles by health care policy experts, economists, governmental commissions and industrial management experts. In its purest form the idea behind managed care is a simple one – it is to bring organization and accountability to what traditionally has been a chaotic system of delivering health care.

Managed care aims to organize, coordinate, and control the chaotic health care system, thus achieving the twin goals of producing the best possible outcomes of care, while at the same time eliminating waste and inefficiency.  This can be done, it is proposed, by applying to the health care industry some of the basic management principles that have been used successfully in other industries.  Of course, there are many theories of industrial management, and hence many industry-derived principles that could be applied to health care.  But the unifying idea behind virtually all industrial management principles can be boiled down to one word: standardization. Standardization of process is what defines the difference between a factory worker and an artisan.  In fact, standardization can be considered a synonym for industry.

The Axiom of Industry

It is an axiom of industry that standardization is good. It is good because it provides the mechanism for optimizing the two essential factors in any industrial process: quality and cost.  Stated formally as the Axiom of Industry: The standardization of any industrial process will both improve the outcome and reduce the cost of that process.

If you had a widget-making factory, you would standardize the widget-making process by breaking that process down into discrete, reproducible and repetitive steps, then optimizing the procedures and materials necessary to accomplish each step.  Later, if you wanted to improve the quality of your finished product (or to reduce the cost of producing it), all you would have to do is improve that process.  You would re-examine each step of the process, one by one, looking for opportunities for improvement.  To do this, of course, you would need to understand the process very well, and you would also need to collect data about how the process works. But with such an understanding and with the right information, you would probably be able to identify a few minor changes, often involving only one or two steps, that would allow you to make your widget better – or cheaper. The beauty in such a system is that you have only to make one change – to the process itself – and every single widget that comes off the line after you make that change will be improved.

So: standardization is good.  It leads to higher quality and lower cost.  Conversely, variation is bad.  It reduces quality and raises cost.

Proponents of managed care argue that there is no reason that standardization should not be just as useful in the health care industry.  In fact, since medical care traditionally has been completely individualized, highly variable, and without any semblance of standardization, there must be a huge opportunity to improve the processes of care, and to make them both cheaper and more effective.  Without a doubt, there is merit in this idea.

Critical pathways

The best illustration of how industry-derived principles have been applied to clinical medicine is in the use of “critical pathways.”  Critical pathways were developed as a means of helping those in the health care system to study the process of delivering health care, to standardize that process as much as possible, and to use that standardized process to improve outcomes and reduce cost.

In practice, critical pathways are blueprints for delivering care to patients with certain specific medical problems

Consider, for instance, a critical pathway for patients having hip replacement surgery. A surgeon following such a critical pathway would have a blueprint of what services he or she is to provide for the patient from the date of admission until the date of discharge (which is, of course, predetermined). The surgeon will have a checklist telling which laboratory tests to order and when, what medications to administer at which times, and what complications to watch for. The nurse and all other health care workers involved in the patient’s care will have their own checklists.  They will know from the moment of admission, for instance, when to take vital signs, when to get the patient out of bed, when to begin physical therapy, and what sort of instructions to provide to the patient before discharge. All this is pre-determined by the critical pathway.

All the while, the care each patient receives under the critical pathway is being monitored by a “case manager.”  The job of the case manager (usually a nurse), is to track how well the doctors, nurses and other health care workers involved in the patient’s care are sticking to the prescribed pathway.  Every deviation from the pathway (for instance, the patient with a hip replacement might begin physical therapy on Day 3 instead of Day 2), is tabulated as a “variance.”  The idea of tracking variances is not to mete out punishment, but to identify areas within the process of care that need improvement.  If too many instances of a particular variance are seen within a critical pathway, then either medical personnel need to be given further instruction on following the pathway appropriately, or the pathway itself should be changed to reflect more realistic expectations. 

The case manager is also responsible for tracking the medical outcomes of patients cared for under the guidance of a critical pathway. If a pathway is shown to be leading to suboptimal outcomes of care, that pathway needs to be revised.  It is said, therefore, that a critical pathway is never static.  It is a “living” document, constantly being monitored and revised in order to produce an ever-improving process of care.

Critical pathways thus do at least three things that traditionally have been beneficial in industry. First, the mere act of developing a pathway requires one to develop an understanding of the process being managed.  Prior to managed care, insights into the processes of care were rare.  Often when developing a pathway, one or more “routine” clinical practices are immediately identified as being obviously wasteful.  So the very act of creating a critical pathway often leads to a rapid improvement in the efficiency of medical care.

Second, critical pathways provide a means of standardizing the processes of care. To the extent that health care is like other industries, standardization can be very effective in improving outcomes and reducing cost – mainly by assuring that all patients enrolled in a critical pathway receive all necessary items of care, and do not receive any unnecessary ones.

Third, critical pathways provide an organized means of defining, acquiring and tracking data related to the process of care.  As we have seen, data collection and data analysis are the keys to improving any repeatable process. Critical pathways thus illustrate how vital to good managed care is the science of information management, and the sound, logical application of well-formulated information.

For many kinds of medical processes, critical pathways have helped hospitals and physicians to achieve the twin goals of managed care – improving outcomes, and doing it more cheaply. While critical pathways are only a small part of “managed care” itself, they can, in fact, be seen as the embodiment of the main principles by which managed care aims to organize, coordinate and tame the health care system.  It quickly becomes obvious to most individuals participating in the development of managed care procedures that much can be gained by applying these principles. In fact, it is largely due to the success of critical pathways that many within the health care field have come to embrace managed care with enthusiasm.  The ability to systematically reduce the cost of care without worsening the quality of care is a very attractive proposition in these difficult economic times.

Two limitations of managed care

Unfortunately, there are at least two inherent limitations to the use of industrial management principles in medicine.  The first is that not all medical processes are suitable for standardization. The second is that the Axiom of Industry simply does not hold true when you are treating patients.

Not all medical processes are suitable for standardization

The methodologies of managed care work best – indeed, they only work at all – when you’re dealing with a process that can be broken down into a predictable series of reproducible tasks that will generate reproducible results.  In other words, industrial management tools work best when the process of care is similar to the process of making widgets. And to the extent that the health care “task” being managed is widget-like, managed care tools such as critical pathways can be highly effective.

Hip replacement surgery, for instance, tends to be reasonably widget-like.  To a large extent it is standardizable.  We know, for instance, that on Day 1 the hip replacement operation itself will take place.  We also know that since hip replacement is usually an elective procedure, the patient’s other medical conditions will have been stabilized prior to surgery, and so should not present unexpected problems during the hospitalization.  Thus the critical pathway can concentrate on steps (such as early ambulation) to minimize the risk of complications of surgery, and to maximize rapid recovery. For hip replacement and many other elective surgical procedures, the use of critical pathways has resulted in reduced lengths of hospital stays, less cost, and more rapid (or at least, no worsening in the time of) recovery.

In contrast, developing critical pathways for many medical illnesses (as opposed to surgical procedures) has proven extremely problematic.  For medical illnesses, both diagnostic procedures and treatments can be difficult, if not impossible, to standardize.  For instance, consider what happens when we try to develop a critical pathway for congestive heart failure (CHF). CHF can be caused by a multitude of underlying conditions (such as coronary artery disease, valvular heart disease, or a viral infection of the heart muscle), and each underlying cause can produce a unique set of potential diagnostic and therapeutic options.  Patients presenting with CHF also display a wide range of severity of illness (from being mildly ill to moribund), and often have related complicating disorders of one or more additional organ systems (such as kidney failure or peripheral vascular disease).  These factors, along with a multitude of others, ultimately determine what diagnostic and therapeutic maneuvers one will need to perform.

Knowing only that a patient has CHF tells you nothing about whether that patient will require cardiac catheterization, angioplasty, bypass surgery, valve replacement, a pacemaker, an implantable defibrillator, a mechanical ventilator, a prolonged and complicated stay in the intensive care unit, or just a couple of diuretic tablets and overnight observation.  No two patients with CHF are alike; and there is no such thing as a “standardized” patient.

For medical conditions like this, in which every patient tends to be unique (that is, in which they are very un-widget-like), managed care techniques tend not to be very useful.  Unfortunately, the majority of medical illnesses fall into this category. 

The Axiom of Industry does not apply to people

The second inherent limitation in applying the principles of managed care, and the one that is more pertinent to our discussion of covert rationing, is that the Axiom of Industry simply does not hold true in medicine.  In health care, standardization does not always both improve outcomes and reduce cost.

It is inarguable that in health care, better is not always cheaper. Sometimes, highly effective treatments are extraordinarily expensive, and applying such treatments to every patient who needs them can be extraordinarily costly. Other times, the cheaper of two acceptable medical therapies will be measurably less effective than the other. Therefore, standardizing medical processes in order to optimize outcomes will sometimes increase overall costs; and standardizing medical processes in order to optimize cost will sometimes lead to diminished outcomes.  Like it or not, at least occasionally you will have to choose one goal over the other.

It is instructive to consider just why this is so. What makes the Axiom of Industry apply to other businesses, but not to health care?  The answer is: patients are not widgets.  While this fact is obvious to everybody, its implications, apparently, are not.

If you’re a widget maker, deciding between two manufacturing processes is purely a matter of economics. Nobody expects you to consider the widget itself.  Thus, if a new process will mean that an extra 15% of the widgets coming off the line will fail to pass quality inspection, that’s okay – discarding 15% of your widgets is not a problem – as long as your bottom line is more favorable as a result.  The outcome by which you are judged is not the individual widget itself – it’s that bottom line. So for a widget maker, the outcome always moves in concert with cost (or rather, with profit), because the two are identical.

If you’re running an HMO, on the other hand, the outcomes in which you’re supposed to be interested concern how things turn out for the patient. Thus, an extremely expensive process of care that yields a significantly better outcome is one you’re supposed to use, even though it only gets you a healthier patient; it doesn’t make your money back for you.  Furthermore, a process that increases patients’ mortality rate by 15% is one you should disregard, even if it is substantially cheaper than the alternative. The outcomes with which you’re supposed to be concerned may move in the same direction as costs, or in opposite directions.  But because you’re dealing with patients, the Axiom of Industry doesn’t hold.

In summary, “pure” managed care has given us some very useful ideas about how to make health care delivery more efficient without diminishing medical outcomes.  The principles of managed care are being widely and profitably used in most large hospitals in America today, and without a doubt have the potential of even broader applicability. However, contrary to the dogma, these principles are not always applicable in health care and do not always yield favorable results.

Managed care - two faced?

Actually, it has many faces.  By which I mean there are several variations in what the many entities within the health care system mean by the term “managed care.” All the variations are based, more or less, on the “pure” ideas we’ve just discussed, but none conceive of, promote, or apply managed care in its purest form. “Pure” managed care does not exist in the wild.

Fortunately, the most prominent variations in managed care fall into two major schools of thought, which, as it turns out, happen to be those same schools we’ve already had the pleasure of meeting – the Clintonians and the Gekkonians. 

Clintonian managed care

As you will recall, the Clintonians believe that the problems in our health care system can be traced to human weaknesses (specifically, physician greed).  Thus, fixing these problems depends on setting public policy and promulgating governmental regulations. One can readily see how a theoretical construct like managed care might appeal to such an outlook, since managed care offers to remove some of the choices humans have to make in delivering health care (choices which are easily colored by greed), and to replace them with externally-generated processes and procedures. Philosophically, it’s a good fit. 

Because Clintonians genuinely like the ideas behind managed care, the people who conceived of and developed those ideas – the academics, health care experts, government commissions, economists and editorialists –– tend to gravitate to the Clintonian camp.  Thus fortified, Clintonians espousing the ideals of managed care tend to sound like very much like purists.  They are proselytizers, who truly believe in applying continuous quality improvement, critical pathways, information management, and other efficiencies of industrial management to health care. Because of their obvious sincerity, and because many of their ideas have considerable merit, it is easy for right-minded folks to fall in with this crowd.

What differentiates the Clintonians from true managed care “purists” is in what they mean by the word “managed.”  In classic managed care, “manage” merely refers to the application of management principles such as standardization. To Clintonians, manage means “regulate.”  Managed care is, to a large extent, simply a convenient tool for advancing their basic belief in policies and regulations to control human behavior.  Invariably the specific recommendations put forth by Clintonians have much more to do with establishing a centralized regulatory structure for health care than they do with classic managed care principles.  To them, an envisioned system of regulations has become synonymous with managed care.

Gekkonian managed care

The Gekkonians come at managed care from an entirely different direction.  The chief problem with health care, they believe, has always been that it is treated as something other than the business it is.  The solution, therefore, is to open up health care to the marketplace, to let competition and the free market solve its problems.        

Historically, the Gekkonians have little claim to the managed care peerage. In fact, Gekkonians spent decades decrying managed care as socialist heresy.  Freedom and competition is their battle cry, and managed care smacks too much of social engineering.

In recent years, however, the Gekkonians have co-opted the term “managed care” to their own ends, and in so doing have utterly changed its meaning.  Their tie-in to managed care is quite tenuous; indeed, it is almost brazen.  Since managed care techniques derive from industrial management principles, they hold, managed care is actually a child of the open marketplace.  Thus, Gekkonians seem to be saying, what managed care is really all about is applying the principles of free enterprise to the business of health care. Managed care to Gekkonians means managing the finances of health care.  It means dog-eat-dog, compete until you die, for-profit health care.  Any actual relationship between Gekkonian managed care and classic managed care is purely incidental (i.e., sometimes standard managed care techniques can be useful, but only if they give you a competitive advantage.)

What we really mean by "managed care"

Both faces of managed care, then, have co-opted the terminology of “pure” managed care in order to advance their own goals. Managed care is a means of establishing a stronger system of regulation on one hand, and a means of seeking profit on the other.  Both schools of thought are prominent today, and both are actively and loudly advancing their respective points of view.  A lot of the turmoil we have seen over the past decade, in fact, can be explained by the competition and interplay between these two schools of thought as they each try to advance their visions for American health care.

In Section 3 we saw how the Clintonians took a stab, in the early 1990's, at promulgating their version of managed care, and how, as a result, for the rest of the decade the Gekkonians have had nearly free reign to advance their version.  

In the next section, we will paint a portrait of the modern Gekkonian HMO, as it operated for the latter half of the 1990s.

The chief aim of capitalism

The chief aim of capitalism, as we all know, is to increase capital. Of course, needing to make money isn’t really new for any health care organization, whether it’s for-profit or not-for-profit.  Both varieties have always had to be vitally concerned about where the money is coming from.  Forget that, for even a moment, and you’re lost forever, no matter what sort of good works you may perform.

What’s new for contemporary HMOs is that making money is no longer something to be whispered about, or a topic unsuitable for public discussion, or a necessary evil. Making money is now more than okay. It’s expected, celebrated and rewarded; it’s become why HMOs exist in the first place.  In fact, making money is the means by which HMOs will save the American health care system. And the better they are at making money, the better they are for society.

This new paradigm is uniquely American.  Every other western nation has bent the market to accommodate the needs of health care.  We are bending health care to accommodate the needs of market.  And it’s drastically affecting the way HMOs operate.

To see how, let’s create a portrait of an imaginary, modern-day HMO called “For the Patient” (FTP).

For The Patient (FTP) - 1995

It’s 1995.  The Clinton health care reform plan has just gone down in flames, and it’s a new era for HMOs – HMOs like FTP. 

FTP, established in 1993, has already gained a foothold in eight cities along the eastern seaboard.  Following the original business plan, FTP was taken public last year.

But FTP is in trouble. Earnings, and consequently stock prices, have been stagnant.  Enrollments have not grown to expectations; the physicians on FTP’s panel (most of whom are new to managed care) have been reluctant to change their inefficient patterns of practice; and it’s been difficult to get hospitals in the FTP system (some of which have been rivals for decades) to cooperate with one another. The shareholders are restless, and in response the board has just fired the old CEO (a physician and one of the FTP’s founders) to bring in a hard-nosed businessman who will know how to put things right.

That new CEO is Gregory Gekko (no relation to Gordon). He doesn’t know much about health care – but then, the last CEO knew plenty about health care, and look where it got him.  Besides, Gekko didn’t know anything about greeting cards either before he developed a tiny greeting card company called Greetings-Schmeetings into a multibillon dollar corporation that’s giving Hallmark a run for its money.  What Gekko does know is business.  And health care, everyone now recognizes, is just a business like any other business.

Gekko immediately sizes things up. He begins with the three fundamental steps that must always be taken when building a business: First, define your customers.  Second, define the scope of your business (i.e., decide what it is you do to make your customers happy).  Third, figure out how to maximize your revenues and minimize your expenditures, while applying your scope of business to your customer base.  

Defining the customers

To Gekko, making money is everything – but not because conservative Republicans have recently swept Congress, or because it’s the new paradigm for health care. Making money is everything to Gekko because that’s what the stockholders of FTP have put him on this earth to do.

Thus, Gekko is acutely aware that, from the his own personal standpoint, his primary customers are, and can only be, the shareholders of FTP.  Every last decision he makes must be geared toward pleasing those shareholders.

Gekko knows this is where FTP's original CEO had made his big mistake. The poor man had considered his primary customers to be the patients enrolled in FTP, and the doctors who took care of them. It wasn’t until his final shareholders’ meeting that the old fool had finally got it.  Of course, it had been too late for him by then.

The shareholders are always the ultimate customer for any corporation, Gekko realized. At the same time, to keep those shareholders happy, Gekko also had to identify the business customers - the ones who purchase the product sold by FTP. 

Gekko’s predecessor had blown this one, too, because he had thought the patients who enrolled in FTP were the purchasers.  But patients don’t really choose health insurance. They just sign up for whatever insurance product is chosen by their employers.

The people who actually make the decision to buy FTP, Gekko knows, are the V.P.s in charge of benefits - the corporate officers who negotiate the employee health insurance contracts for their companies.  Gekko fully understands how important this relatively small and easily identified core of people is to FTP, and he will do whatever is necessary to convince them to offer FTP to their employees as one of their insurance options – or better yet, as their only insurance option.  Gekko is not worried.  He knows these people - they're corporate executives, like him.  He knows what he needs to do to get their business. 

At some level, Gekko supposes, the doctors and patients of FTP also have to be considered his customers.  But this feels wrong to him.  The doctors and patients, after all, are the ones who spend his money.  Keeping them happy implies that he’s letting them spend more money than they might otherwise get to spend.  Keeping them happy therefore feels counterproductive.  As he learns more about the business of health care, Gekko tells himself, he’ll have to figure out ways to make it matter as little as possible about keeping doctors and patients happy.

Defining the scope of business

This is also pretty straightforward for Gekko.  FTP’s main business is to take in money in the form of health insurance premiums, and in return, to arrange for the provision of health care to the individuals for whom the insurance is paid.  How FTP should go about providing that health care is a completely open question for Gekko.  There are a lot of ways to do it, and he’s not married to any one of them.  The only criterion is that whatever method he uses needs to satisfy his customers (i.e., the shareholders and the corporate V.P.s). 

Since his main goal is to make money for the shareholders, Gekko also understands that he needs to be alert to any other opportunities that may present themselves for increasing the value of FTP.  Focusing only on providing health care may prove to be a disservice to his ultimate customers.

Deciding how FTP will make its money

Having identified his customers and his scope of business, Gekko is now ready to decide how FTP is going to make its money.  There being nothing unique about the business of health care, Gekko again returns to the fundamentals.  In any business, maximizing your profits requires you to a) charge as high a price as possible for your product; and b) minimize the cost of producing that product. 

Charging what the market will bear

This is the easy part of the profit-making formula. Gekko needs to set the price of his health insurance premiums as high as he can get away with. And that’s whatever price is low enough to induce employers to switch to FTP, but not a penny lower.  

Since high-priced indemnity insurance plans are still active in all the cities in which FTP operates, all he has to do is to beat their prices by a little bit.  So Gekko sets his rates to a fixed proportion – 90%, in fact - of the indemnity rates, and he’s in business. The beauty of this methodology is that, since FTP’s rates are fixed to the highest rates in the market, whenever the indemnities are forced to increase their rates, FTP automatically gets a raise, too.

Gekko understands, of course, that the reason everybody’s pushing HMOs in the first place is that they’re supposed to reduce the cost of health care.  And most people assume that what HMOs charge for their premiums are tied somehow to that lower cost of delivering care.  Gekko just shakes his head.  Why would people assume that?  Why would anyone expect Gekko, a businessperson, to pass his savings on to the consumer (unless doing so results in a clear-cut competitive advantage)?  Businesses are supposed to make as much profit as they can. That’s how it works. To do anything else would be unfair to FTP’s shareholders; indeed, it would be unethical in Gekko's frame of reference - not to mention fatal to his job.

Gekko’s insight here deserves some elaboration.  Despite the aggressive cost-cutting measures taken by HMOs (which now enroll over 80% of insured Americans), the health insurance premiums paid by employers haven’t really fallen.  In fact, after a few years during the mid-1990s in which the inflation rate for insurance premiums dropped to below 5%, the rate of inflation has reached double digits again.  This resumption in health care inflation is inevitable, of course, due to the demographic considerations described in Section 2.   But with the drastic cuts in services being made by HMOs and the resultant lowered costs, we should have seen, at least, a rather sizeable one-time savings in health care spending.  Where did it go?

Gekko has already answered our question.  The dollars that HMOs squeeze out of the system are not returned to the payer in the form of reduced premiums; nor are they plowed back into the health care system in the form of improved or widened services; rather, they are pocketed by the HMOs in the form of administrative costs, huge bonuses for top HMO executives, and profit for the shareholders.  In fact, the best estimates suggest that an average of 25% of all health insurance premiums paid to HMOs goes for administrative overhead and profit. 

In contrast, by the way, only 20% goes to doctors.

But I’m not complaining.

Minimizing the cost of doing business

When you bring in the bucks, how do you keep them?

This is the hard part.  Gekko knows the health care crisis has persisted despite the strong efforts that have been made for decades to reduce health care spending. But he is confident.  The key element that was missing from those prior efforts has now been supplied – the profit motive.  Gekko – or rather, FTP – gets to keep whatever money it saves.  What a wonderful way to concentrate the mind!  He is sure he can find ways to cut costs.

Furthermore, the health care crisis itself will be very helpful to him, in that it provides him with some very useful cover.  The need to trim the cost of health care gives him an acceptable reason to make cuts that might otherwise be unacceptable.  And the mandate not to reduce the quality of care gives him an excuse to keep his premiums as high as he can.  (If we cut our premiums too much, he can say, quality will suffer.)  Confident that he has a lot of latitude, Gekko develops a strategy for minimizing his cost of doing business.

Right off the bat, Gekko can think of three general strategies for keeping the money he collects.  He can grow FTP in order to take advantage of the economies of scale; he can act to avoid as much financial risk as possible; and he can act to gain control of the behavior of the physicians on FTP's physician panel.

Using economies of scale

Gekko resolves to grow FTP rapidly by acquiring major health care facilities (hospitals and nursing homes) in all its key cities of operation. Then, using the clout that goes along with being big, he will negotiate very favorable purchasing agreements with all his major vendors.  He will be able to reduce pharmacy costs, for instance, by having the major pharmaceutical houses “bid” to have their drugs included on the limited FTP drug formulary (a list of drugs approved by FTP).  And, he will be able to save on management costs by firing the layers and layers of old-fashioned administrators in FTP hospitals, and replacing them with streamlined management teams made up of his own people, using standard FTP operating policies and procedures. There are so many advantages to being big that Gekko resolves to expend a lot of energy in becoming as big as possible as quickly as possible.

Acquiring community assets

Along the road to becoming big, Gekko stumbles upon a gold mine.  It is a gold mine not directly related to FTP’s scope of business, but it’s close enough.

The first time Gekko acquires a community hospital for FTP, he notices that within a week of the transaction the price of FTP’s stock rises by 5%.  What he has just done, he realizes, is to cash in on a publicly-owned asset. So Gekko tries it again, and this time the stock rises by 7%.  Gekko’s head spins.  This scheme threatens to become such a windfall that Gekko momentarily worries that it might overwhelm the real business of FTP.  The profits promise to be so astounding, however, that he decides not to worry about it.

Gekko is right.  It’s a great scam, and completely legal to boot. 

Non-profit hospitals exist in the first place because their communities decided they were needed for the public good.   Accordingly, these hospitals were established under the nonprofit laws, which required them to be used solely for charitable purposes.  Over the decades and in return for their service to the community, these hospitals have operated under the public largesse, in the form of their blanket tax-free status, their ability to raise tax-free bonds, and their ability to raise tax-free charitable contributions. Their boards of trustees, made up of prominent members of the community, were charged with guarding the accumulated public value represented by those institutions.

The widespread transfer of not-for-profit public assets (such as a community hospital) to for-profit corporations (such as an HMO) is a relatively recent phenomenon, fueled by the Gekkonian notion that for-profits are inherently more efficient.  Such transfers only occur at the urging of the community hospital’s board of trustees, and must be overseen by either the state insurance commissioner or the state Attorney General.  That state official, if he or she approves the conversion, is expected to put a formal dollar value on the hospital.  The HMO then must reimburse the community for that amount, usually by establishing a charitable foundation.

It is a procedure that might be acceptable in theory.  In practice, however, all too often the hospital’s board (the entity that recommends the transfer in the first place) might permit, or even encourage, a low valuation for their hospital.  Also, state insurance commissioners seem congenitally unable to establish an accurate value for non-profit hospitals. In doing those valuations, for instance, they consider only the tangible property values.  They ignore (and neither the hospital’s board nor the HMO insists on pointing out to them) the value of many of the assets owned by the hospital such as trademarks, reputation and name recognition, provider contracts and subscriber lists.  The commissioners don’t insist on going through a competitive bidding process or conducting a formal market valuation. In fact, only the hospital’s value as a charity, and not as a business, is considered.  And for some reason insurance commissioners often also seem quite happy to do the negotiations behind closed doors, and with no public disclosure.

Within six months Gekko establishes a routine for acquiring community hospitals, and it works like this.  First, the hospital’s board of directors see fit (often induced by stock options or offers of directorships with FTP) to severely underrepresent the value of their institution to the insurance commissioner.  The insurance commissioner then approves the transfer to FTP at a low valuation rate. Then, after the hospital becomes a hard asset of FTP, its true value is established by the open market as reflected in the price of FTP’s stock.  Almost invariably, that value is orders of magnitude greater than the value set by the insurance commissioner.  So, without doing a thing to improve the quality of care or to reduce the cost of care, FTP’s market value soars – and all at the expense of the public. 

It’s a win-win.  During Gekko’s first 12 months at the helm of FTP, not only does the company’s stock go through the roof, but also Gekko acquires key medical facilities in all his cities of operation (which he’s now expanded to 15). He is able to begin instituting all his efficiencies of scale.  More importantly, he finds he is able to begin significantly influencing the health care markets in most of those cities, and consequently controlling the behavior of even the most recalcitrant of physicians (who find they now have to deal with FTP whether they want to or not).

Avoiding risk

While risk-taking is a fundamental activity of any aggressive business, that risk taking must be measured, and must be accompanied by a reasonable probability of paying off.  A tenet of any business is to avoid any unnecessary financial risk, that is, risk that offers little or no likelihood of increasing revenue.

A glance at the dynamics of the HMO industry is enough to convince Gekko that the biggest risk he faces is sick patients.  They are extremely expensive these days. The sickest 10% of the population, in fact, account for over 70% of all health care spending, and one really sick subscriber can wipe out the potential profit from twenty, thirty, or even fifty healthy subscribers.  Sick patients are to be avoided like the plague. 

There are two obvious ways of avoiding the sick.  First, don’t sign them up.  Second, if you do have to sign them up, make it unpleasant for them to stay with you.

Fortunately, the system Gekko has inherited helps immensely.  Since FTP’s coverage is only available through employers, only employed people can sign up for FTP.  And employed people are, on average, far healthier than unemployed people.  There are good reasons for this. In most of the cities in which FTP is active, a substantial proportion of the unemployed do not have jobs precisely because of some chronic illness, disability, or addiction. And because employers are loath to employ the obviously ill, there’s an invaluable screening process that takes place before anyone even becomes eligible for FTP. You can’t buy prescreening like that at any price, and Gekko’s getting it for free. 

Not all of Gekko’s options in this regard are purely passive. He notes that several of FTP’s new hospitals run specialty centers that are clearly counterproductive – two hospitals, for instance have Congestive Heart Failure Centers, and five have Cancer Centers.  Why should he support clinical programs that go out of their way to attract patients with chronic (and therefore expensive) illnesses? Gekko orders his Medical Director to shut these programs down immediately.

In addition, FTP’s new size gives Gekko some clout where it counts.  When he learns that Congress is considering legislation that would require insurers to make health insurance available to people who are “between” jobs, he directs FTP’s high-paid lobbyists to keep any such bill from even reaching the floor.

Despite his best efforts, Gekko realizes, FTP will get its share of patients with chronic illnesses.  He’ll deal with these simply by allowing layers of obstacles to form between those patients and the care they want.  Gekko realizes he doesn’t have to ask anyone to create such barriers – they’ll form naturally within FTP’s bureaucracy.  What he needs to do is to let the system bog down in red tape for the ill, while, at the same time, work hard to keep the system squeaky clean for healthy subscribers. 

It won’t be long before the chronically ill begin switching to another plan out of sheer frustration.  Even better, the healthy (who are receiving benefits like free memberships to health clubs) won’t know what the malcontents are complaining about – FTP seems pretty good to them. And as a result, when FTP does its periodic consumer surveys, at least 70-80% of its subscribers (i.e., a proportion representing a large majority of its healthy subscribers,) will rate its service as excellent.

The practice of attracting only healthy patients to one’s HMO is called “skimming” or “cherry-picking,” and it’s a true art form.  HMOs make a lot of money by enrolling healthy young families and avoiding the old or chronically ill – especially since their revenues are not based on the cost of delivering care, but instead on a fixed proportion of the premiums of higher-priced insurance plans.  So skimming actually makes money for the HMOs twice – once by enrolling only patients who probably will not need medical care; and again by driving the sick into high-risk plans – causing the premiums of those plans to rise, and thus pulling up the HMO’s premiums automatically.

The practice of discouraging usage of expensive services, and thus making health care particularly inconvenient for the ill, is openly discussed as a legitimate technique among health care managers.  A 1994 article in Journal of Health Care Marketing is particularly interesting in this regard. This article praises several useful techniques that HMOs have developed for discouraging the use of (or “demarketing”) costly health care services.  To quote:

“Decreasing accessibility to services . . . . can be accomplished by “managing” the information distributed to patients regarding services available and how to access them.  For example, an organization might excessively promote less-costly preventive procedures . . . .and repress information about other elective and/or expensive services.  In addition, providers can strategically locate and number specific services to make them easy (e.g., primary care) or difficult (e.g., specialists) to utilize.  Furthermore, lag periods . .  . . also serve as containment strategies.  Lags may be affected by the need for referrals, limited number of contracted specialists, restricted or inconvenient appointment availability, and increased office-visit waiting periods.” Borkowski NM. Demarketing of health services. Journal of Health Care Marketing 1994;14:12.

So as you can see, the professional literature has laid out a roadmap for Gekko.

Nowhere has the practice of skimming been more profitable for HMOs than in the government’s push to get Medicare patients into HMOs.  A Medicare HMO gets paid a flat amount per enrollee. If it spends less in delivering health care than it takes in, the HMO keeps the difference.  The amount Medicare HMOs receive is set at 95% of what it costs to care for a Medicare patient on a fee-for-service basis, which currently is about $5000 per year.

HMOs are plenty smart enough to figure out what Congress apparently can’t – cherry-picking is especially profitable with Medicare patients.  If HMOs can recruit from the healthiest 75% of Medicare patients (who use only 9% of the Medicare health dollar), the sickest 25% of patients then continue using fee-for-service plans, thus driving cost for those plans through the roof.  The HMOs continue to receive 95% of those higher premiums.

HMOs have to work a little harder to cherry-pick Medicare patients (since employers don’t do the dirty work for them), but they’re more than up to the task, and it’s especially worth the effort.  Watch how your local Medicare HMOs do their recruiting.  It’s likely you’ll see them advertising recruiting drives in affluent suburbs, or at country clubs, or on the third floor of a building without elevators.  They want the active, vibrant, "youthful" oldsters, like the ones who frequent the denture commercials. Medicare HMOs assiduously avoid the less affluent parts of town.  They not only avoid recruiting patients in such locations, they (and non-Medicare HMOs for that matter) also avoid contracting with doctors whose offices are located within two bus transfers of those areas.  As an added benefit, this practice punishes doctors who choose to work in such economically deprived areas.

Shedding risk

In early 1996, one of Gekko’s vice presidents hands him a report entitled “Risk Sharing – the ultimate means of reducing FTP’s fiscal risk.”  The report details the practice of risk sharing, recently taken up by several HMOs, whereby the HMOs’ patients are “assigned” to a specific consortium of doctors and hospitals (called a Physician Hospital Organization, or PHO) which agrees to go “at-risk” for those patients.  Thus, for a fixed payment, the PHO will provide all medical care for those patients, and assume the financial risk of doing so.

“It’s beautiful,” says the V.P. “We keep, say, 27% of the premium off the top and give the rest to the PHO, along with the risk. I mean, we dump all the risk. We’d actually make more money than we are now, and we wouldn’t have to worry at all about those pesky details of health care management.  The PHO worries about all that.”

Gekko likes the idea.  A lot.  The name is wrong, of course, since it’s not sharing risk at all – it’s shedding the risk.  It would remove any uncertainty about FTP’s earnings – all Gekko would have to know is how many subscribers he had, and automatically he’d know FTP’s earnings to the penny a year ahead of time.  FTP’s shareholders would like that very much.  And since it wouldn’t matter any more how sick his subscribers were (since the risk of caring for them would no longer be his), he could stop his expensive cherry-picking practices and just sign up anybody who could pay the premiums.  And if he encouraged the formation of competing PHOs, then he could let them bid against each other for the patients FTP signed up.  If he played his cards right, FTP could walk away with as much as 30 or 31% of the premium dollar.

But it’s still risky.  It would reduce FTP to a mere middleman.  It’s not likely that employers or the government would let a practice like that continue forever.  Sooner or later they’d catch on and cut FTP out altogether. Risk sharing is attractive, but it’s attractive as an end game.

Gekko thanks his vice president and promises him a small bonus for his fine work, but says, “Not yet.”  He puts the report in his top desk drawer, where he can find it when he needs it.

Doctors and their patients

One night shortly after becoming CEO, Gekko has a nightmare. A doctor and a patient are sitting together in the privacy of the doctor’s office, and just between the two of them are deciding how much of Gekko’s money to spend on the patient’s medical problem. Nobody is in the room with them.  They are alone.  And all they talk about, as they ponder their options, is what the patient wants or needs.  Then, the decision at last made, the doctor takes out his pen, and with a few strokes bends the will of the vast medical-industrial complex to suit his patient’s needs.

Gekko awakens in a sweat, and considers his dream. He suddenly realizes that all you have to do is to multiply the one encounter he’d dreamed about by the millions of similar encounters that take place every day, and you’d know why health care is so expensive.

It frightens Gekko to think that this is how his money is being spent.  But the fear motivates him powerfully, and focuses him on what he has to do to control his expenses. 

Simply, he has to control the behavior of his physicians. There is no way he can allow them to carry on as if the patient is their only concern. When FTP physicians are counseling their patients, deciding how much of FTP’s money to spend, they’ve got to consider something other than the patient. They’ve got to consider the needs of FTP.

Gekko knows there are many, many ways to do this.  Some involve making the physicians loyal to FTP; others making physicians frightened of FTP.  Some involve subtle intimidation; others heavy-handedness.  Gekko needs to pull out all the stops on this one.  This, he knows, is where the money is.  He decides to use every means at his disposal to become an unseen presence in that office with that doctor and that patient.

Controlling the flow of patients

Physicians are nothing without their patients. So Gekko’s number one priority is to rapidly gain control of a substantial proportion of patients in each of his cities of operation.  Purchasing key community hospitals is a major step toward this goal, but Gekko leaves nothing to chance. 

So he institutes his “18 Month Plan,” aimed at nothing short of bringing the physicians to heel within 18 months:

THE FTP 18 MONTH PLAN

Phase 1 (Months 1- 6): Open the gates. Allow any willing licensed physician in the area to join FTP’s physician panel. Actively and aggressively recruit all the largest and best known physician practices.  Purchase a few key practices, if necessary, to break physician resistance to joining FTP.

Phase 2 (Months 7 - 12): Get control of the patients.  Armed with an impressive physician panel that promises not to limit the choice of any patient, aggressively market FTP to all large and moderate-sized businesses in the area.  By the end of month 12, FTP should be offered to every employee of every company in the area employing 250 or more. Undercut prices of every other insurer in the market, if necessary, to achieve this goal.  On Day 1 of month 13, FTP should control at least 30% of all insured patients in key medical practices.

Phase 3 (Months 13 – 18): Collect the data, make the first cuts. Track every FTP dollar spent by every FTP physician.  Drop at least several prominent and highly-visible physicians from the FTP panel – these physicians will have spent more than the threshold value (threshold to be determined). (Note: The letter sent to the dropped physicians should not give cause for termination.  It should simply thank them for their services, and say those services will no longer be required.)  (Note: This step will be most effective if those physicians dropped from the panel are not only well-known to their colleagues, but also lose a substantial proportion of their long-time patients as a result of their being dropped.)

 

Thus, Gekko’s 18 month plan is designed to rapidly and efficiently assume control of the physicians’ very means of livelihood – their patients – and most often accomplishes this goal even before the doctors even realize what is going on. The plan is vital to the mission of FTP, and fortunately, it works well (although in three cities it takes up to 24 months to complete). 

Once the 18 month plan has achieved its goals, Gekko institutes Phase 4. Phase 4 lasts forever.

Phase 4 (Month 19 and beyond): Turn the screws.  Let the FTP physicians know what is expected of them.  A) Revise the terms of their contracts with FTP.  New contracts will lay out terms of capitation and associated incentives and disincentives, and will add nondisclosure language.  B) Begin a quarterly “review” of each practice, showing physicians in detail where they are spending dollars, and comparing their expenditures to target values and to those of their colleagues.  C) It will be necessary to continuously reinforce who is in charge.  Periodic issuance of without-cause termination notices to selected physicians will be important. Handing out rare but highly-visible performance awards will also be helpful in this regard.

In other words, now that Gekko “owns” the physicians, it’s time to let them know what their new boss wants.

Controlling the flow of dollars

Before beginning Phase 4 of his plan, Gekko continues paying his physicians on a discounted fee-for-service basis (i.e., they get paid for every service they provide, at a somewhat lower fee schedule than for Medicare).  But for any HMO in the mid 1990s, the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow is capitation.  And Gekko institutes capitation with great relish during Phase 4.

Under his capitation plan, FTP primary care physicians (PCPs) get paid a fixed amount per month for every FTP patient they follow in their practice.  No matter how much or how little medical care they provide for that patient, the PCP makes only the capitated amount.  But Gekko doesn’t actually pay them the full capitated rate up front – they get only 90%.  He keeps the last 10% as a “withhold,” which he fashions as an additional incentive. 

Thus, at the end of the year, if FTP meets its financial goals and the PCP meets certain performance requirements, Gekko distributes the last 10%.  If not, FTP keeps the money.  It is possible, of course (if FTP’s financial goals are exceeded and the physician’s performance is rated “excellent,”) for the PCP to receive a bonus in addition to the 10% withhold.  And Gekko sees to it that at least a few PCPs get such a bonus each year, just to let his physicians know that such a thing is within the realm of possibility.  Capitation fee schedules are renegotiated each year with each PCP, based on how “well” the PCP has done in the previous year.

It’s a shame Gekko’s accountants can’t yet figure out a way to capitate specialists as well, but so far it’s too complicated. The accountants cannot guarantee him that he’d make money capitating specialists.  Some day they’ll have sufficient data to pull it off, but for now he continues paying his specialists on a modified fee-for-service basis.  Gekko knows he needs alternative measures to control the behavior of the specialists.

The performance measures that determine whether the PCP does or does not get the 10% withhold at the end of the year are a vital part of Gekko’s plan. There are a few token “health care performance measures,” of course, that monitor whether the doctors are aggressively treating hypertension and screening for high cholesterol and the like.  But Gekko wants to make sure his doctors know what he really means by performance, so he doesn’t try to disguise the fact that the bulk of FTP’s performance measures have to do with fiscal performance.

Each quarter, a dark-suited FTP representative (a “Practice Consultant”) visits each PCP with a “Performance Report.”  The Performance Report accounts for every dollar that FTP has had to spend during the past quarter on patients enrolled in the PCP’s practice. 

“Your patients cost us a mean of $439 apiece during the past quarter, Dr. Smith,” the Practice Consultant might say.  “That compares unfavorably with the mean of $348 achieved by your peer PCPs, and even less favorably with the target of $264 that would be required for you to receive your portion of the year-end withhold. Now, Dr. Smith, let’s examine this report in more detail to see if we can figure out where all that money is going.”

So Dr. Smith and the helpful Practice Consultant look things over.  They notice that Dr. Smith referred four patients to cardiology practices during the past quarter.  The Valley View Practice ended up spending $3429 on the two patients Smith sent them, but the Cormatic Practice only spent $2453 taking care of the other two.  They both agree that substantial savings could be realized by referring more patients to Cormatic, and fewer to Valley View.

“Of course,” the Practice Consultant says,  “we would never ask you to send FTP patients to an inferior group of cardiologists.”

“Of course,” Dr. Smith replies.

It is a thing of beauty.  Look what Gekko has accomplished here. By rapidly gaining control of physicians’ means of livelihood (i.e., their access to patients), he is able to essentially dictate the terms of their surrender. 

Those terms put fiscal pressure on doctors at several levels. 

Since they are paid a capitated rate, there is financial pressure on the PCPs to keep patients out of their office.  Office overhead is often figured on an hourly basis, so the more time a patient spends in the office (i.e., the more office overhead that patient consumes) the less profit (or the more loss) the physician realizes on that patient.  Under many capitation rate schedules, more than two office visits per patient per year will result in a net loss for the PCP.  This is why doctors now take great pains to head off office visits by requiring patients to go through a screening process before letting them in the door.

Over and above capitation, however, is the pressure on PCPs not to refer patients to specialists unless absolutely necessary.  While the specialists themselves are paid on a fee-for-service basis, the PCP is ultimately held accountable for whatever the specialist ends up spending in caring for a referred patient.  It will affect their end-of-year “bonus,” and will impact on next year’s capitation rates.

Since doctors really do want to take good care of their patients, most PCPs will refer when they think it’s necessary.  But to whom do they refer?  In the old days, they referred to the specialists they thought gave the best care, or who were the most congenial, or who invited them to the best golf outings, or who were their brothers-in-law.  The new fiscal incentives are so powerful that they tend to override any of these considerations.

And this is also how HMOs exert their control over specialists. A cardiologist whose referrals have fallen drastically is all ears when the friendly FTP Practice Consultant shows up in her office with facts and figures.  Learning that she is spending a lot more money than her peers in providing patient care (and that her referring PCPs also have been provided with the same data), leaves her with two choices.  Either cut out some of the services she is providing, or go out of business.  After all, she is forced to consider, coronary artery stents may give better results than just routine angioplasty, but routine angioplasty is probably okay too, and it’s a lot cheaper.

Gekko’s operational plan has at least one other major benefit.  Visualize what happens, if you will, when a patient with a chronic illness shows up for the first time in the office of a PCP.  Most likely the PCP immediately has visions of $100 bills flying out the window.  He gets paid no more for delivering care to that sick patient (who may require office visits at least on a monthly basis), than he does for a healthy 18 year old he will not see at all.  And, odds are he’ll end up having to refer the patient to at least a couple of specialists during the course of the year. The PCP has already seen his income fall by more than 10% each of the last two years, and has had to lay off office personnel to boot.  He just can’t afford to absorb any more cuts. 

So, is he happy to see that patient?  Or is he frustrated, and maybe even angry (at the patient, at the system, and at himself)?   Under such circumstances, it would only be human nature to begin sending the patient subtle messages that indicate she’s not really welcome. During office visits the physician is more likely to seem disinterested, distracted, or rushed – off-putting.  He may be a little less accommodating when she needs to schedule an appointment; he may drag his feet when she sends him a stack of disability applications to fill out.  He may be a little slower than necessary to return her calls.  And after a while, the patient is likely to get the message and switch PCPs, or better yet, to switch health plans altogether. 

By appropriately incenting his physicians, Gekko has thus established a highly effective adjunct to his cherry-picking program.  His physicians want just as badly as he does to avoid the sick, and by their words, actions and deeds are able to directly discourage the more expensive patients from staying with FTP.

Making destruction of the doctor-patient relationship legally binding - The Gag Clause

Gekko is happy with the results of his 18 month plan, but wishes to reinforce and formalize the message he has successfully delivered to FTP’s physicians.  He wishes to make that message legally binding.  When it is time for him to rework his physician contracts, Gekko asks his attorneys to come up with language that does just that, and they are happy to accommodate him:

“The physician agrees not to take any action or make any communication with patients or patients’ families, potential patients or potential patients’ families, employers, unions, the media or the public that would tend to undermine, disparage, or otherwise criticize FTP or FTP’s health care coverage.  The physician further agrees to keep all proprietary information such as payment rates, reimbursement procedures, utilization-review procedures, etc., strictly confidential.”

Gekko likes the language.  It is plain and straighforward.

His physicians, completely without choice, sign the new contracts with nary a peep of complaint.

Gekko has made an assertion to his doctors.  He has asserted, “You work for me, and me alone. You’re all mine.”  His doctors, by their legally-affixed signatures, have acknowledged that assertion. 

Gekko has sought a place at the table with FTP doctors and patients, and now he has it.  In fact, he is at the head of the table.

What Gekko has just done is to add a classic “gag clause” to his physician contracts.  The final insult to a doctor’s professional integrity, a gag clause prohibits the doctor from disclosing certain types of information to his or her patients.  The forbidden information is likely to be material to the patient’s ability to accurately assess the doctor’s medical advice, and therefore the lack of that information may impact on the patient’s health.  So from a purely practical standpoint, gag clauses are a threat to patients.

But from a more philosophical standpoint, what the gag clause represents – by the fact that HMOs use them with impunity and physicians sign them with little more than a whimper – is a formal death certificate for the physician-patient relationship.  It officially and legally certifies that the doctor’s first loyalty is to the integrity and reputation of the HMO, which supercedes any loyalty that might exist toward the patient.

Gag clauses have attracted a fair amount of criticism in the past few years, but essentially only from the standpoint of whether they really “gag” physicians from telling their patients what they need to know.  Little has been said about the implications of HMOs including and physicians signing such statements in a legal document.

In response to the voiced concerns over gag clauses, HMOs now say they have done away with them.  Indeed, the General Accounting Office recently conducted a study to assess their prevalence in HMO contracts, and concluded that gag clauses are not a problem, and for the most part they don’t even exist any more.

The reason “gag clauses” don’t exist anymore is that the HMOs, feeling the heat, have converted them to “business clauses.

Generically, business clauses require the signee (usually an employee) to agree not to disparage the business, not to encourage clients to use some other business instead, and not to break confidentiality with the business.  In other words, business clauses are merely gag clauses relabelled.

In this manner, HMOs have asserted that, since they are a business, they have a right to the same protections as any other business.  And if assertion of those business rights require the business’ contractors (i.e., doctors) to forego previous arrangements and understandings (i.e., the doctor-patient relationship), well, that’s business. The GAO, apparently, was swayed by this argument.

Various proposed Patients Bills of Rights require striking gag clauses from HMO-physician contracts.  Presumably (now that they are just business clauses), that has already been accomplished.  But even if all such clauses – whatever they are called – are struck from every contract tomorrow, the damage has been done.

For HMOs have asked physicians for a declaration of loyalty that superceded all other loyalties.  Removing gag clauses from contracts at this point doesn’t change the fact that, when asked, physicians gave.  The HMOs have more than made their point.

Outcomes? Well, what about them?

The fact is, nobody in our FTP scenario has any incentive to really want to know about clinical outcomes – except as they may be incidentally useful as a marketing tool.

Gekko, for one, doesn’t have any reason to care about clinical outcomes.  His outcome is measured by his profit.  So as long as he’s making money, his outcome is good – and data on clinical outcomes would only serve to threaten what is now a nice, clean picture.  Unless pushed, he sees no reason to invest his resources in collecting such data.

What about Dr. Smith – the PCP who has to decide whether to refer his patients with heart problems to cardiologists in the more expensive Valley View group or those in the less expensive Cormatic Group?  Wouldn’t he want to know which group has the better clinical results? Certainly he would, on a professional level.  But he doesn’t have the resources to collect data like that himself; he’d need FTP’s help.  And he just hasn’t seen fit to push FTP for the data.  Subconsciously, he realizes that if he had that data, it might give him the wrong answer – the more expensive group might indeed turn out to achieve better results.  That would certainly complicate his referral decisions. 

And what about the cardiologists of the thrifty Cormatic Group?  Do they really want outcomes data? Well, why should they?  They’re already getting the referrals. 

Members of the "profligate" Valley View Group are the only ones who really have a good reason to care about clinical outcomes since, if they turn out to have more favorable outcomes, it might help to exonerate their expensive ways.  But (even if they can even avoid being thrown off FTP’s panel altogether), they have become virtual pariahs, and have no clout at all with Gekko. 

So, while there is plenty of talk about outcomes in the Gekkonian HMO world, when you analyze the mechanics, it is difficult to find anyone slogging away in the trenches who really wants to know about them.

But surely, you might be thinking, somebody wants to know about quality.  What about the patients? What about the employers who are paying the bills? 

Gekko knows about patients. When patients are faced with a choice between an HMO that’s “free” or an indemnity plan that might cost them an extra $50 or $100 a month, he just knows they’re going to pick the HMO. And while they’re picking it, they want to feel good about it. They deeply, sincerely, and desperately want to hear that they’re making a good choice.  They want to hear what a high quality HMO they’re being forced to join. And that’s where quality and marketing come together. To Gekko, quality is marketing.

“It’s like this,” Gekko says one day to his Marketing Director. “When a young man walks into a car dealership with his heart already set on a sleek red convertible, both he and the salesman know what is needed to close the deal.  That young man doesn’t want to hear about that model’s safety record or repair history or its miles per gallon.  What he wants is for the salesman to tell him what a smart choice he’s making.  So the salesman does, and – even though they both know that beige sedan over there would be a safer, more reliable car – the deal is made. And they’re both happy.”

The Marketing Director understands. When the enrollees don’t really have much choice about their health plan, then simply make them feel good about the plan they've been given. It’s easy to do; they want to feel good about it.

This is why HMOs over the past few years have gotten away from advertising (and implying ready access to) their fancy, state-of-the-art, high-tech services. Instead, they’ve gone all fluffy, emphasizing warmth, concern, and caring, through filtered lenses and soft music.  When you join this HMO, it’s like joining a family.  What a good choice you’ve made.

Okay, you might reply, but what about employers?  Don’t they want to offer high-quality health care to their employees?  Well, sort of.  What most of them really want is to offer adequate health care without losing their shirts on it. 

My eyes were opened on this issue a few years ago when I attended a retreat, sponsored by my hospital, that featured a panel discussion by a group of prominent local employers.  When asked how they go about assuring themselves that the health coverage they buy for their employees provides high-quality care, the captains of industry responded thusly: “We make widgets, we don’t assess health care quality.  We don’t know how, and we don’t want to know how. So we’ve got to be practical about it.  To us, quality means quiet.  As long as we don’t hear more than the average number of complaints from our employees, the health coverage we provide is, by definition, good enough.”

Men and women like Gekko long ago figured out what their paying customers (i.e., the businesses that purchase health insurance for their employees) want.  And because of what his customers want, Gekko can define quality simply as keeping the volume of complaints down to an acceptable level (and, of course, keeping FTP out of the newspaper). Gekko even suspects that a complaint level that became too low that might become a problem - employers might begin to suspect that they were paying too much for their employee's health care if there were no complaints at all.

Now, to be sure, efforts are being made on several fronts to actually measure quality in health care, and some of these efforts are having an impact. But in general these efforts are not coming from Gekkonian-style HMOs, or even from health care providers.

FTP 2000 - The end game approaches

Things have gone well for Gekko.  Five years after assuming the helm, he has established FTP as the dominant HMO in 22 cities and is gaining ground in nine more.  FTP’s stock has split twice, and Gekko’s yearly personal bonuses have been rumored to be in the 10’s of millions. 

But Gekko sees the writing on the wall.  The vast preponderance of FTP’s growing market valuation has come from expansion into new cities, and especially from the acquisition of public assets.  But it’s getting harder and harder to find new areas in which to expand, and worthwhile community hospitals ripe for takeover are no longer growing on trees.  Worse, pressure groups have begun to make it difficult to negotiate favorably with state insurance commissioners.  Consequently, the valuations of public assets set by commissioners these days more nearly reflect their true market value.  It’s growing very difficult to make a killing through expansion.

Which means that if FTP is to continue making money, it will have to do so by delivering health care to actual patients.

This has turned out to be a lot harder than Gekko thought it would be.  Despite the fact that he continues to turn up the heat under his physicians – cutting their reimbursement schedule every year and raising the bar for getting their end-of-year payouts – FTP’s revenue from patient care is stagnant, and even shows signs of dropping. 

HMOs have penetrated the health care market so thoroughly that, in most of FTP’s cities of operation, the indemnity insurance plans are no longer players.  This means FTP isn’t competing against indemnity plans any more, so much as it is against other HMOs.  Consequently it has become very difficult for Gekko to keep his premiums as high as he’d like.  In a couple of cities, FTP has actually gotten into some very nasty bidding wars.  Gekko can’t count on artificially high premiums any more.

And now that the vast majority of Americans are already enrolled in HMOs, cherry-picking the healthy enrollees has become virtually impossible.  Even making the chronically ill feel unwelcome is no longer effective, since most sick people have finally realized that one HMO is pretty much like another. There’s no point in changing plans any more.

Patients in general are becoming more vocal, as are Congress and the state legislatures, about HMOs conducting themselves dishonorably.  Gekko fears that one or more of the various iterations of Patients Bill of Rights may end up taking away some of his remaining prerogatives for making money.

Even if the doctors can figure out how to actually manage health care efficiently, FTP will never be able to turn over the kinds of profits it’s enjoyed to this point.

Then there are the rumblings Gekko is hearing in high places about for-profit health care robbing society of its precious health care premiums.  It may be a long way off, but Gekko now thinks it’s possible that, some day, for-profits will be outlawed. That wouldn’t be fair, of course but Gekko’s a realist.  He doesn’t insist on providing fairness, nor does he insist on receiving it.  This is business, after all.

Gekko opens his desk drawer and pulls out that old report on “Risk Sharing.”  He has always felt risk sharing to be a dangerous game. If HMOs reduce themselves to serving only as middlemen – taking a big cut of the health care dollar as a “finder’s fee” but providing nothing of substance to health care itself – it will be only a matter of time before they are cut out of the industry altogether. 

But Gekko is rapidly coming to the conclusion that FTP and most other HMOs are reaching a point of diminishing returns. If risk sharing can garner for FTP three or four years more of high profitability before the end comes, he should go for it.

Gekko picks up the phone and calls a meeting.

HMOs - the end of the line?

No, not really.  But I personally wouldn’t buy any more stock in FTP.

I believe that HMOs will be around for a long time.  But I also believe that the heyday of the for-profit, Gekkonian-style HMO is coming to an end.

Some of the most prominent for-profit HMOs, organizations that were the darlings of Wall Street a couple of years ago, have been fading badly of late. In some cases, their failings have been attributed to poor management or even fraudulent practices.  If this were the whole story, there might be more hope for their recovery – bad management can be replaced, and fraud cases can be settled. 

But I maintain that whether or not their proximate difficulties can be worked out, the long-term prognosis of for-profit HMOs is grim.  Just considering the demographic facts of life outlined in Section 2, it is inevitable that, sooner or later, society will find it unconscionable for these organizations to continue siphoning off large proportions of the health care dollar as profit – especially when it is debatable whether they are contributing anything substantial to the actual delivery of health care.  Sooner or later, we will become very indignant about the for-profits.

But my guess is that the for-profit HMOs will fade from the scene on their own accord, well before the rest of us get exercised enough to do the job ourselves. Gekko has shown us why.

It is looking more and more as if there is a natural life cycle to for-profit HMOs. In their early years, their meteoric rise was not attributable to their managing health care, but instead to their rapid growth and subsequent consolidation, and to the acquisition and privatization of public assets.  As the opportunities for rapid growth dries up, as the opportunities to select the most desirable enrollees fades, and as public officials, government agencies, and the general public becomes wise to their ways, for-profit HMOs will find that their traditional methods for making money will no longer be feasible.  They will have no choice but to finally attempt to make a go of it by managing health care (that is, to go legit) – or to get out of the business altogether.

As is the case for FTP, very few for-profit HMOs have ever done well financially by managing the health care of their subscribers. My prediction is that they’ll find it so difficult to make a profit in this way  – at least enough of a profit to keep their shareholders happy – that that they’ll eventually get out of managed care on their own. 

This is especially likely, in my view, when you consider that the Clintonians have never gone away – they’re still there, still as active as they can be while waiting for their chance to assume their rightful, regulatory control of the health care system.  Imagine, if you will, the for-profits – seeing that their days are numbered – whispering in just the right places that, for the right price, they would be willing to consider selling their business to the government.  It wouldn’t be the first time the government assumed control of a formerly powerful industry, nor would it be the first time the owners of that fading industry would get one, final, huge windfall for their troubles. Remember the railroads?

So, if I'm right, we the taxpayers will get one last chance to contribute to the welfare of Gekko and his brethren.  If so, we should probably consider it a small price to pay for bringing the era of the for-profit HMOs to a close.

The meaning of the Gekkonian era

While acknowledging that the demise we’ve just predicted for the Gekkonians may be a bit premature, let’s examine their accomplishments over the past few years. 

On the positive side, the Gekkonians have focused the attention of everyone within the health care system squarely on the issue of costs.  Today, in any health care organization, no purchase of any sizeable item is made without first carefully considering how badly the item is needed, calculating the full cost of ownership, and defining clearly who will pay for the expanded services made possible by the new item.  This is a fairly radical departure from just a few years ago, when hospitals often purchased high-cost equipment of marginal value just to keep up with the rivals across town. 

Similarly, the fiscal pressures brought to bear on health care providers by the Gekkonians have resulted in many new efficiencies. This is because, when hospitals and doctors are squeezed financially, not all the cutbacks they make are in useful or worthwhile services.  A lot of wasteful endeavors are cut too. In fact (despite perceptions to the contrary), when providers are forced to cut back, they usually try preferentially to eliminate the inefficiencies.

Further, it’s not just the for-profits that are growing bigger in order to take advantage of the economies of scale – the non-profits are learning the fine art of merger and/or cooperation as well.  The general prospect of having to compete in the marketplace with the profit-mongers has made the remaining non-profit HMOs (which still account for approximately one-third of all HMOs) much more fiscally fit.  (The imperative for non-profits to behave like for-profits extends beyond merely having to compete with them for enrollees.  These days, non-profits must raise most of their funds not through community charity, but through the bond market.  And pleasing the bond market is very much akin to pleasing shareholders.)

So the Gekkonians have driven our health care system to become leaner, meaner, and more in fighting trim than we’ve ever seen it before.  We eventually would have made the same strides without the Gekkonians, of course, but it probably would have taken much longer.

On the negative side, Gekkonians have greatly expanded our capacity for covertly rationing health care.

It has been argued by several commentators that, despite the perfidies of modern managed care, egregious examples of rationing (i.e., providers blatantly withholding obviously needed health care) are still relatively rare.  I generally agree with this observation, but disagree with its implication.  Just because rationing is still practiced mainly on the margins, where it’s difficult to recognize, doesn’t mean that it isn’t significant. Besides, the economic pressures for rationing, as we have seen, are just beginning to build. The problem with the Gekkonian way of life is not so much that it already has caused egregious rationing to become rampant, but that it has caused us to abandon the principles that would prevent such egregious rationing.

I'm talking, of course, about the primacy of the individual.  Under the Gekkonian paradigm our resistance to violating this first principle has been significantly reduced.  This fact is best illustrated by looking at what we have already allowed to happen to the doctor-patient relationship.

Destroying that relationship was a requirement for Gekko; it was his number one priority. His basic operating rule, in fact, was that if you control the patients, you control the doctors; and his 18 month plan was designed to accomplish just that. The moment Gekko controlled the flow of patients, he himself replaced those patients as the doctors’ chief customer.  The doctors instantaneously became obligated to Gekko, just as Gekko was obligated to his shareholders.  And all the “gag clause” did at that point was to rub the doctors noses in the new reality.  Gag clause or no gag clause, Gekko owned them.

The patients themselves have not been entirely innocent victims of the carnage.  They had a choice to make, too, and they made it.  As health care expert David Mechanic has said,

“Enrollment in an HMO is really an agreement between the enrollee and the plan to accept a situation of “constructive rationing”. . . .For a lower premium, more comprehensive benefits, or both, the consumer implicitly agrees to accept the plan’s judgment as to what services are necessary.” Mechanic D. Trust and informed consent to rationing. The Milbank Quarterly. 1994;72:217.

Patients may not realize at a conscious level that they’ve made this implicit agreement, but we can be sure that the health care economists, academics, and HMO directors all realize it. And accordingly, patients and their health have become fair game.

So what’s happened here?  What’s happened is that both patients and doctors have allowed themselves to be shunted aside. The individual doctor and individual patient, together, no longer comprise the basic nuclear unit of health care.  Doctors and patients have been separated from one another; separated and marginalized, reduced to ciphers.  They have become mere commodities in the vast health care marketplace. 

And when a commodities trader is dealing in pork bellies, she’s only concerned about buying, selling and thus maximizing her profit on large quantities of pork bellies.  Concern for the careful handling of the individual pig never crosses her mind.

The change in focus from the individual to the group is more than just tacit.  While most professional codes of ethics and legal doctrine still hold the physician’s primary responsibility to be a fiduciary one to his or her patient, many health care experts and even ethicists are now explicitly proposing that this ideal be changed.  For instance, a 1998 article in the Annals of Internal Medicine had this to say about the physician’s traditional fiduciary role:

“It is untenable for the medical profession to continue asserting an idealistic ethic that is contradicted so openly in clinical practice. . . . We propose that devotion to the best medical interests of each individual patient be replaced with an ethic of devotion to the best medical interests of the group for which the physician is personally responsible.” Hall MA, Berenson RA. Ethical practice in managed care. Annals of Internal Medicine. 1998;128:395.

So, it would appear, sticking to ethical principles is supposed to be easy.  If it becomes difficult, you’ve got to get yourself some new principles.

When (if) the Gekkonians withdraw from the field, they will leave both us and our health care system very different from the way they found it.  They will leave us more cost-aware, more efficient, and less wasteful.

But they also will leave us much readier to sacrifice the individual for the sake of the group. And, with our principles softened by the Gekkonians, the inexorable escalation in health care costs will lead us to far more flagrant violations of individual rights and individual welfare than any we’ve seen to date.

Introduction

Considering the recent doings of the Gekkonians, by now we might feel quite sympathetic toward the Clintonian notion that our health care problems would best be resolved not by free market economics, but by new and better regulations. We might even be cheered by the fact that the Clintonians have not just been sitting idly by these past few years, wringing their hands in despair and wishing things had turned out differently.  Indeed, this time has been very busy and fruitful for them.

Unfortunately, in practice the Clintonians threaten to do as much damage to our health care system, to the doctor-patient relationship, and to fundamental American principles as do the Gekkonians.  The regulatory imperative, like the profit imperative, tends to takes on a life of its own, and to completely overwhelm the health care system’s mission to operate for the public good.

The anti-fraud imperative

In his 1994 State of the Union Address, President Clinton, still fighting hard for passage of his health care reform initiative, declared dramatically that that our health care system “is riddled with inefficiency, with abuse, with fraud, and everybody knows it.”  This line gained him a huge bipartisan round of applause. And why shouldn’t it?  Everybody hates abuse and fraud in health care.

The mandate to root out fraud in the health care system is an extraordinarily powerful one.  Everyone agrees that health care fraud is an inexcusable crime, and believes that perpetrators of real fraud should be tracked down vigorously and prosecuted fully.

Until recently, however, federal programs like Medicare were very lax about fraud detection, and did not have the will or the systems in place to look for fraud.  Thus, it was relatively easy for unscrupulous individuals to get away with even the most obvious fraudulent practices.  Many scam artists, organized crime syndicates, and drug-related money launders saw the $250-billion-a-year doled out by Medicare as a huge pot of unguarded money.  This historic laxity with public funds is inexcusable, and efforts to get tough with fraud should be and are a priority.

Unfortunately, the anti-fraud imperative also presents an irresistible opportunity for the Clintonians to gain control of physicians’ behavior, and thus of the health care system, through the regulatory process. The anti-fraud program that is being put into place today is virtually guaranteed to prevent doctors, whether they’re committing fraud or not, from making the patient’s needs their paramount concern.  Physicians who don’t keep the wishes of the regulators at the top of their list of priorities are risking everything.

Why fraud sells

There are good reasons that the very idea of health care fraud provokes a visceral reaction in most of us.  First, fraud is dishonest, deceitful, and illegal.  Especially at a time when the costs of health care are skyrocketing, anything that takes money out of the health care system, money that is supposed to be used for caring for the sick, is particularly reprehensible. 

Also, fraud is expensive. Ten percent of what the government spends on health care, the government argues, is being siphoned off by fraud.  Even if the actual proportion is not actually ten percent, fraud is still contributing to the threatened bankruptcy of Medicare, among other things.

Finally, there’s an even more compelling reason for much of the angry talk about fraud – namely, the idea that if we don’t root out this fraud, we may have to ration health care.  This notion follows directly from the fact that, as we saw in Section 1, there are only two ways of reducing the amount of money we spend on health care; eliminating waste and inefficiency (e.g., eliminating fraud), or rationing.  So if we don’t want to ration, we’d better find lots of fraud to eliminate.

In fact, because finding fraud and rationing are inversely proportional (i.e., the more fraud we find, the less rationing we’ll have to do), we have a deep and abiding need to find fraud under every rock.  We are more than ready to believe there is a lot of fraud out there, and more than ready to use drastic measures to find and punish it.

The Clintonians, of course, are ready to match our zeal ounce for ounce.  Accordingly, fraud has become their focal point for instituting aggressive regulatory action in health care.

For physicians like myself, this scenario has some very ugly overtones.  For there’s a substantial difference between trying to identify and root out real fraud, and defining fraud in such a way as to be able to find as much as you can (because the more fraud you find the better off society is).  Unfortunately, the Clintonians’ anti-fraud efforts are shaping up to look more like the latter than the former.

The Regulatory Speed Trap

The Clintonian philosophy, as we have seen, was not invented by the Clintons, nor is it exclusively a philosophy of the liberals or the Democrats. The first easily recognizable application of Clintonian anti-fraud methodology, in fact, occurred during the Reagan administration, in its crack-down on the defense industry.

 

When the Reagan Justice Department began its attack on fraud in the defense industry, that industry was slow to realize what was happening to it.  The industry did not understand for a year or two that the government had suddenly become deadly serious about regulations it had always treated quite benignly.  “Business as usual” had suddenly become felonious behavior.  Formerly tolerated activities were pursued relentlessly by federal prosecutors, who liberally applied sweeping new federal statutes – such as mail fraud and money laundering statutes – that were originally aimed at stopping racketeers and drug pushers.  By the time the defense industry had fully awakened to the danger – and began protecting itself by instituting expensive “compliance programs,” and spending billions on lawyers, consultants and accountants – the government had gained criminal convictions on more than 60 firms and individuals in the defense industry. 

In this effort the government recovered a lot of money in fines and penalties that, it said, had been misused.  But the defense industry simultaneously began spending huge amounts of new money on regulatory compliance, and that cost was quickly passed on to the consumers (i.e., to that same government). How much the feds actually “saved” at the end of the day is questionable.

Clearly there was fraud in the defense industry, and clearly it needed to be investigated and prosecuted.  Is there less corruption now?  Perhaps.  But it’s instructive to note that the famous $450 hammer incident that set the whole thing off resulted from a silly accounting practice rather than graft.  The Army actually paid only $5 for that hammer.  The other $445 was a standard unit charge for administrative overhead that the Army bookkeepers added to every item they purchased, whether a $5 hammer or a fifty million dollar tank. Likewise, a good bit of the fraud and abuse that was uncovered during the government’s crackdown on the defense industry was not fraud in the classic sense, but rather was misinterpretation of, ignorance of, or simply ignoring regulations that didn’t make much sense in the first place.

The methods used by the government in their crackdown on the defense industry suggests a pattern. We call this pattern the Regulatory Speed Trap:

The Regulatory Speed Trap -

1) Over a long period of time, regulators promulgate a confusing array of vague, disparate, poorly worded, obscure, and mutually incompatible rules, regulations and guidelines.

2) Individuals or industry, faced with the necessity of having to provide a service despite difficult to-interpret regulations, necessarily render their own interpretations (usually with assistance from attorneys, consultants, and the regulators themselves), and act according to those interpretations. 

3) By their apparent concurrence with (or at least by their failure to object to) the providers’ interpretation of the rules, over time regulators allow de facto standards of behavior to become established. 

4) After substantial time passes, regulators reinterpret (or “clarify”) the ambiguous regulations in such a way that the de facto standards now constitute grievous violations.

5) Regulators aggressively prosecute the newly felonious service providers. 

It is my contention that this five-step Regulatory Speed Trap represents an easily recognizable blueprint, a virtual modus operandi, for Clintonians (whatever their political party).  At the moment, it is the chief methodology by which they are attempting to wrest back control of the health care system. 

Basic to the Regulatory Speed Trap is an underlying set of complicated and often contradictory rules and regulations. This requirement, of course, is virtually a given, since regulations over time naturally evolve away from clarity and toward complexity.  Societies have functioned reasonably well despite complex regulations only because traditionally, bureaucrats allow de facto standards to form under their purview, thus preventing paralysis and allowing society to function within the bounds of normalcy.

Fundamentally, what the Clintonians have discovered is that the tangle of vague regulations underlying this “business as usual” provides them with an ample opportunity to achieve an end that otherwise might be unachievable.  By suddenly enforcing strict new interpretations of inherently confusing and traditionally ignored rules (“here is what we meant all along, and you should have known it”), they have found a powerful means of pressing their own agenda – and a means of doing it without all the inconvenience of having to advance a platform,  pass a legislative program, or engage in public discourse.

The Clintonians know that when people have learned to survive within a system of complex and contradictory regulations, then everyone is always guilty of something.  All they have to decide is whom they would like to be guilty, then go get them. Whether you’re a solid citizen or a felon, therefore, depends largely on whether the controllers of bureaucratic arbitrariness have decided to look in your direction.

HIPAA tales

One of the things that frightened doctors the most about the Clintons’ failed Health Care Reform Act was the Draconian program it proposed for combating health care fraud. It offered a very broad definition of fraud, arguably broad enough to include almost every practitioner. And the punishment it offered for perpetrators of fraud ranged from massive monitory penalties to hard time. So the largest sigh of relief when that bill was defeated emanated from doctors, who now thought the threat of overzealous punishment for innocent mistakes had passed.

Many physicians remain unaware to this day that the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (HIPAA, otherwise known as the Kassebaum-Kennedy Bill), resurrected many of those same anti-fraud measures, lifting large blocks of language from the Clinton’s original plan and making them the law of the land.

The laws themselves are accompanied by a clear mandate for the Department of Justice (DOJ) to make health care fraud a top priority.  This the DOJ has done; indeed, only violent crime has a higher priority today.  Further, in their zealous pursuit of fraudulent physicians, the DOJ has the strong support of the American people.  Some of the more notable provisions of HIPAA follow.

Creation of new federal health care crimes

HIPAA creates a new series of federal crimes, together called “health care fraud.”  These offenses make it a federal crime to defraud health care benefit programs – any benefit program, not just Medicare.

Defrauding health benefit programs may be accomplished by theft or embezzlement, obstructing a criminal investigation of health care offenses, making false statements or misrepresentations relating to health care matters, using the mail in the act of doing any of the above (mail fraud), or processing the proceeds gained from doing any of the above (money laundering).  These crimes are punishable by up to 10 years in prison, or even life in prison if a patient dies as a result of fraudulent activity. 

These new statutes give the Feds some very sharp teeth for rooting out real health care fraud, such as running phony medical clinics or laundering drug money through medical facilities. Prosecutors will have tremendous leverage in investigating and prosecuting criminals, thanks to the severe penalties mandated by sentencing guidelines for federal crimes, and by their new ability to immediately paralyze suspected violators by freezing their assets.

On the other hand, these new statutes also mean that, potentially, any doctor who makes a simple misstatement to an HMO can land in jail. 

New monetary penalties for civil offenses

It is likely that pursuing felony charges against doctors will only rarely serve the purpose of the feds.  Instead, the feds more likely will be interested in extracting monetary penalties for the violation of civil prohibitions.  HIPAA provides for such penalties in spades.

For instance, HIPAA prohibits billing for medical services “that a person knows or should know are not medically necessary.”  Anyone vaguely familiar with the practice of medicine understands that there are many gray areas in which experts will disagree about what is or is not medically necessary.  Ordering a mammogram in a healthy 38 year old woman who thinks she perceives a new breast lump that the physician cannot really feel, for instance, would be considered prudent by some, entirely wasteful by others. HIPAA apparently invites the feds to become the final arbiters of such disagreements, and provides for severe monetary penalties for those who wind up on the wrong side of the decision.

Such penalties include up to a $10,000 fine plus up to three times the dollar amount of the overpayment for each item.  Any more than a handful of violations will be prohibitively expensive for most physicians, thus creating a powerful incentive to “settle” with the feds at the first sign of an investigation.

Creation of a coordinated anti-fraud program and account

HIPAA creates a new anti-fraud program that has its own trust fund, the Health Care Fraud and Abuse Control Account, within the Medicare Trust Fund.  This provision in effect establishes a powerful new anti-fraud bureaucracy from units of the OIG and FBI, and provides it with all the money it needs to fund its efforts.  The fraud trust fund will receive appropriations of up to $2.5 billion over the first few years, but this is only seed money.  The anti-fraud units will be allowed to receive into this account the penalties, fines and settlements they collect as a result of the anti-fraud activities. In other words, what they collect, they keep.

Encouraging qui tam suits - The False Claims Act

Qui tam provisions, more commonly known as whistleblower provisions, empower private parties to sue in the name of the United States for “false claims.” These provisions were originally enacted during the Civil War to protect the government from bad horse trades, and were largely forgotten until the 1980s.  At that time, qui tam provisions were resurrected, strengthened and given new emphasis in the False Claims Act to bolster the DOJ's crack down on the defense industry. Whistleblower suits are now being actively encouraged as a way of finding health care fraud.

The False Claims Act provides powerful incentives for suing providers – in qui tam suits, the whistleblower gets to keep up to 15% of whatever is collected.  As one might expect,  whistleblowers often turn out to be disgruntled employees, ex-spouses, or competitors seeking either revenge or to get rich quick.  An entire industry has developed to encourage such suits – a simple search on the Internet readily turns up a host of law firms that now specialize in qui tam actions.

The proof is in the using

Anyone who may be inclined to criticize the anti-fraud activities of the government runs into a problem right away; namely, the existence of health care fraud is undeniable, it is inexcusable, and vigorous efforts to eliminate it are appropriate.  The provisions of HIPAA themselves can easily be viewed as simply giving prosecutors the weapons they need to go after the criminals that are robbing all of us.

The proof of the pudding will be in how these regulations are finally used.Will they be used to seek out and destroy those providers who are truly guilty of fraud in the classic sense (that is, the intentional and willful effort to procure funds illegally)?  Or will they be used as a Regulatory Speed Trap, to hound and intimidate the typical, honest practitioner who is confused about the regulations but who dearly wants to avoid even the appearance of impropriety?

To me, a physician whose self-interests incline me to paranoia on this issue, the answer seems clear.  I have already made the argument that our society has a deep, underlying need to find as much fraud as possible in the mistaken belief that doing so will allow us to avoid rationing.  Whether you buy that argument or not, however, a sober examination of how various provisions of HIPAA are actually being applied ought to reveal their true purpose.

Lack of clarity, and lack of desire for clarity

The best way to get rid of fraud is to promote clear and logical rules.  If the objective of an anti-fraud campaign were truly to eliminate fraud from the system, then the first job of the enforcers would be to make sure that the rules and regulations are simple enough that honest, well-intended people would know how to behave. 

Admittedly, this is easier said than done.  It is the nature of regulations to become constantly more complex over time. “Thou shalt not kill,” for instance, is a pretty straightforward regulation, but civilization cannot leave it alone.  Within a few thousands of years we find ourselves factoring in issues such as warfare, capital punishment, abortion, frozen embryos, withdrawal of life-support, physician-assisted suicide, the insanity plea, the definition of “brain-dead,” and cloning.  Pretty soon deciding (in a regulatory sense) whether it’s okay to kill, or whether one is even killing, becomes next to impossible.

So it is certainly unfair to blame the Clintonians for failing to provide us with a simple code that immediately simplifies all health care regulations.  Insisting on the impossible is never very useful.  Health care is inherently a muddy field of endeavor, and the regulations that have evolved to govern health care are necessarily even murkier than, say, banking regulations.

On the other hand, especially when they’re talking about punishing violators with massive financial penalties or hard jail time, it is fair to expect the Clintonians to clarify specific areas of regulatory confusion. They should act as if they are interested in helping the essentially honest to stay on the straight and narrow, not in entrapping them.

In this light, it is instructive to note that when Congress was deliberating on HIPAA, the only fraud-related provision that produced significant debate was the stipulation that the government should provide “guidance” to providers regarding the legality of certain proposed activities. Under this provision, providers could seek advice prospectively from the OIG on, for instance, what is prohibited remuneration, or whether a proposed partnership structure meets safe harbor provisions under the anti-kickback law.  Providers would be saying, in other words, “We don’t want to break the law, we want to be solid citizens.  Here’s what we propose to do.  If we do this, will we be in compliance with the law?” 

The Clinton administration, the DOJ, and the OIG vociferously opposed this seemingly reasonable proposal.  Their objections were based on the fear that issuing opinions before the fact would impinge on their ability to prosecute cases.  This argument seems to complain (revealingly) that clarifying the regulations would lead to more compliance and therefore less fraud to uncover.  In the end, the advisory opinion requirement became part of HIPAA only after Congress agreed to a compromise – the provision will automatically “sunset” after four years.  And even then, President Clinton himself called for rapid repeal of these provisions just a few days after signing the bill into law.

Obviously, the Clintonians do not consider the clarification of health care regulations to be a worthwhile endeavor.  Instead they see the requirement to do so as being burdensome and counterproductive to their true goal.

In any case, providers counting on these advisory opinions to keep them out of trouble are likely to be disappointed.  Submitting a question for an advisory opinion to the OIG is time consuming and expensive, and when the reply is finally obtained, it can be less than helpful.

To see how the OIG handled its first advisory opinion, click here.

Establishment of an anti-fraud bureaucracy

Nothing captures the true spirit of the HIPAA anti-fraud provisions more than the creation of a coordinated anti-fraud bureaucracy which gets to keep the penalties, fines and other recovered monies it collects, in order to fund ever greater enforcement activities.

In considering the implications of such an arrangement, one needs first to consider the nature of any bureaucracy. A bureaucracy is an organism that utterly depends on growth to sustain life. Every individual within a bureaucracy, whatever else she may be doing, strives every day to increase the number of people reporting to her. She must do this; it is how her worth is measured, and therefore it is her lifeblood.  This growth is accomplished by expanding work roles, or better yet, by subdividing work roles into ever more specialized components, each of which requires its own staff.  Bureaucracies accumulate layers as naturally as trees; you can age them by taking core samples.

The anti-fraud program creates a new federal bureaucracy with a unique new twist. Since it keeps what it collects, its rate of growth (i.e., its life-force) will be determined not by how much funding it can wheedle out of Congress, but by how much fraud it can uncover. This arrangement virtually guarantees that its fundamental motivation will not be to root out fraud, but to identify as much fraud as possible.  Stamping out fraud, in fact, would be to commit bureaucratic suicide.

Descriptions of how success will be measured within this new bureaucracy reflect this fundamental reality.  While lip service is given to wiping out health care fraud, the real enthusiasm within the anti-fraud units comes from their projections of the expected rate of return from their anti-fraud efforts, which is expected to be between $10 and $23 for every dollar spent.  One suspects they will do whatever is necessary to achieve and maintain these projections.

If further incentive were needed, the anti-fraud bureaucracy can expect to enjoy significant public support for a long time. Especially in light of the notion that the more fraud we uncover, the less rationing we’ll have to do, it will be exceedingly difficult to incur the wrath of the people by uncovering too much health care fraud.

To go along with these powerful motivating influences, the anti-fraud bureaucracy has been granted sweeping investigative and enforcement powers.  It has been given broad subpoena powers.  It can acquire virtually any and all financial and medical records in existence, and can immunize those supplying the records (to assuage their fear of breaching physicians’ or patients’ confidentiality).  It has the ability to freeze the assets of individuals suspected of health care fraud.  Providers suspected of fraud can now be threatened with tough new federal sentencing guidelines for “white-collar” crimes. Federal prosecutors will routinely add to their list of charges such white-collar crimes as mail fraud and money laundering, both of which carry extraordinary sentences and have extremely broad applicability.  Both of these charges could apply, for instance, if a provider mails to an HMO a bill containing a misstatement, then deposits the resultant check in a bank. 

The anti-fraud bureaucracy will not really want to send very many doctors to jail, since jailing perpetrators will not directly benefit their anti-fraud account and thus will not contribute to their continued growth.  They’ll want to send just enough to jail to make their point, then they’ll be happy to negotiate settlements with most of the other doctors who come under their scrutiny.  (Most doctors who find themselves under the spotlight will be strongly incented to settle since, given the confused state of the regulations, it is almost inconceivable that the feds would come up entirely empty-handed after a reasonably thorough audit of any physician’s records.)  The settlements themselves are likely to be astronomical in magnitude, given the extraordinarily high fines and penalties stipulated for health care abuse.

Meanwhile, the False Claims Act will assure that the anti-fraud bureaucracy has many leads to pursue for a long time to come.  A year after HIPAA was passed, the American Hospital Association (AHA) was compelled to send a letter to the Secretary of HHS and the OIG asking for a cease-fire on whistleblower actions, pleading that almost 5000 hospitals were already under siege by federal law enforcement and investigative personnel.  The climate of accusation and allegation, the AHA said, was out of control. They asked for a six-month moratorium on further actions under the False Claims Act, and to use the time to initiate a joint effort with the government to institute voluntary compliance programs, and to establish clear criteria for distinguishing simple error from genuine fraud. 

The OIG did not see fit to grant the Association’s request.

When federal investigators went after the defense industry in the 1980s, they conducted a sufficient number of prosecutions to get the industry’s attention, then squired the industry through the development of an adequate compliance program, then finally moved on to something else (many of these investigators moved on to health care, as a matter of fact).  Given the unique structure of the new anti-fraud efforts in health care, however, it is difficult to imagine any scenario in which this powerful new federal bureaucracy would be willing to declare success and move on.

The exact shape the anti-fraud bureaucracy will eventually take has yet to be determined.  But the will, the weapons, and the public support are in place to allow the formation of a bureaucracy so powerful as to make the IRS look as benign as the local visitor’s bureau – at least, to doctors.

A case study - The PATH audit

The first large-scale application of the new provisions of HIPAA is now underway in an OIG operation deemed the Physicians at Teaching Hospitals (PATH) Audit.  The PATH Audit will almost certainly serve as a model for future federal operations aimed at fraud and abuse in health care. The methodology being used in the PATH Audit serves as a stark warning to doctors and hospitals as to how deadly serious, and how far-reaching, these anti-fraud efforts will be.

In mid-1996, the feds adopted a new set of regulations governing how physicians should bill Medicare for services performed in teaching hospitals.  These new regulations indicated that in order to bill Medicare for a service provided to a patient, an attending physician must either provide that service directly, or must be physically present when the resident physician (the “trainee”) performs the service.  Furthermore, the new regulations spell out strict requirements for documenting that physical presence in writing. 

At the same time, the OIG announced a series of nationwide audits of how well physicians at teaching hospitals complied with those rules.  The audit would cover the six-year period from 1990 – 1995.

Alert readers will spot the problem right away – the audit was to be conducted to check compliance with rules that had not yet been promulgated.

Prior to 1996, the rules governing when a teaching physician could bill Medicare for patient services performed by residents were extremely ambiguous.  The most authoritative document prior to the new rules was Intermediary Letter 372 (IL372), written in 1969.  IL372 appeared to require the physical presence of the attending physician for billable services only “when a major surgical procedure or a complex or dangerous medical procedure is performed.”  Regarding the required documentation of billable services, IL372 was ambiguous.  One paragraph states that adequate notes documenting these billable services could be “either written or countersigned by the supervising physician.”  In a different paragraph, however, billable services must be “substantiated by appropriate and adequate recordings entered personally by the physician. . .    (This discrepancy is just one example of how even a single regulatory document can give conflicting advice on a key issue.)

Over the years the ambiguous nature of these regulations was acknowledged by teaching physicians, medical schools, and the government, all of which talked about (some day) initiating clarification efforts. But life must go on, so a de facto standard of behavior was established.  In most teaching institutions that standard was as follows: for routine (i.e., non-surgical and non-emergency) services performed by residents, it was okay to bill as long as those services were clearly overseen by an attending physician.  Further, the attending physician’s countersignature of the resident’s note was considered adequate evidence of such oversight (and of acceptance of legal responsibility for the resident’s actions).

This de facto standard was adopted not only as a matter of convenience, but also as a vital part of the teaching process.  In training good physicians, it is important to allow trainees some degree of independence – with oversight, of course, by an experienced clinician.  A resident must learn to assess patients’ problems and to reach tentative clinical decisions on his own. Committing those assessments and decisions to writing in the medical record forces him to carefully consider all the important clinical parameters, and to concisely summarize the patient’s clinical problems, the objective findings, the assessment, and the plan for diagnosis and therapy. The attending physician, after performing her own assessment of the patient, then discusses the case with the resident and reviews his progress note.  If there is a deficiency in the resident’s analysis, it is corrected.  If there is a discrepancy of opinion regarding the diagnosis or the management of the patient, the discrepancy is discussed and a resolution negotiated (keeping in mind that the attending physician has the last word). The attending physician’s countersignature of the resident’s note (most often with an addendum that makes corrections or underscores issues of importance) indicates that all of the above has occurred.

This has proven an extremely effective training method for decades.  Thus, the de facto standard was adopted not only because it appeared to comply with IL372, but also because it was philosophically the right thing to do.

When the new “clarified” regulations became effective in June, 1996, the resident’s independence was significantly reduced.  Under the new guidelines, the attending physician now has to be present for even routine patient services. Further, only the attending physician’s own progress note can legally describe those services.  The need for the attending physician to write her own extensive progress note (essentially duplicating the resident’s note) automatically devalues the efforts of the resident, and also reduces the attending’s motivation (and time) to carefully critique the resident’s efforts.  This requirement dilutes the opportunity for teaching and learning. But rules are rules, especially when violating them constitutes a felony.  So, while most teaching physicians viscerally disagree with these new regulations, at least they are clear enough.

The obvious problem with the PATH Audit is that not only does it apply these newly “clarified” regulations retrospectively to events that took place during a time when the existing rules were ambiguous and unclear, but also that the new rules require actions that stand in marked distinction to the “usual operating procedures” used in the nation’s best teaching institutions prior to 1996.

The audit “model” being established by the feds in their PATH initiative, therefore, is none other than the Regulatory Speed Trap.  The first four steps of the Speed Trap were successfully completed with the publication of the new 1996 regulations; 1) formulation of ambiguous regulations; 2) establishment of de facto standards; 3) long-term acceptance of those de facto standards by the feds; and 4) sudden reinterpretation (i.e., “clarification”) of ambiguous regulations. 

Up to this point, of course, the motives of the feds might still be viewed as being essentially benign. It is only the aggressiveness of the retrospective application of the new regulations (the fifth and most telling step of the Regulatory Speed Trap), that reveals the true motivation of the OIG. 

That level of aggressiveness became apparent immediately. The first audits occurred at the University of Pennsylvania and Thomas Jefferson University.  After conducting these audits, the OIG extracted settlements from these two prestigious institutions of $30 million and $12 million, respectively.

The amount of these settlements grabbed the attention of the academic community, which then listened in stunned silence as the OIG explained its plan for the broader PATH Audit (both in writing, and in a particularly chilling videotape distributed to academic centers).  Those plans were, to say the least, extremely intimidating:

1)      All academic centers in the U.S. would be audited during the next few years.

2)      Centers would have a choice between two methods of conducting the audit, neither of which was attractive.  “PATH 1” would involve the OIG itself conducting an on-site audit.  The potential danger here, the OIG pointedly warned, was that many times federal auditors will notice things – peripheral issues aside from the main event – that will cause one thing to lead to another.  Once a federal auditor arrives at an institution, the OIG implied, no telling when he or she will leave.  “PATH 2” would allow the teaching hospital, at its own expense, to engage an external auditing firm that is acceptable to the OIG.  However, the hospital electing this method would surrender certain legal and accounting privileges (such as attorney-client privilege), and would be required to see that a representative of the OIG be present at all meetings related to the audit. 

3)      Whichever method was selected, only approximately 100 charts would be audited from each hospital.  The “error rates” in billing (based on the new standards retrospectively applied) would be determined from this sample, and extrapolated across all billing from the hospital during the six-year period in question, to calculate the total amount “overbilled.”  (Any underbilling that is discovered, of course, would not be deducted from rates of overbilling.)  The False Claims Act would then be invoked to allow the OIG to recover up to three times the extrapolated overbillings during this six-year interval.  Because the total likely to be owed to the government can easily run to the tens of millions of dollars, institutions, it has been suggested, may want to consider an early settlement.

Step five of the Regulatory Speed Trap thus has clearly been fulfilled in the PATH audit, and in a distressingly aggressive and unforgiving manner.

The Association of American Medical Colleges and other organized groups have tried to appeal to reason, and have gotten some response. Two former Secretaries of HHS (Bowen and Sullivan) wrote in a letter to Congressman John Porter (R-IL) that, “Really since the inception of the Medicare program HHS has had a difficult time in setting forth a bright line standard that could be used to separate the services provided by an attending physician that are strictly teaching in nature and those that involve care to a specific patient. . . . Given the contorted history of [IL372] through the years, it would appear to be an unlikely candidate for an OIG investigation." Background Paper – Physicians at Teaching Hospitals (PATH) Intitative. American Medical Association and Association of American Medical Colleges, October 20, 1997.

Harriet Rabb, General Counsel of HHS, has stated in a July, 1997 letter that “the standards for paying teaching physicians under Part B of Medicare have not been consistently and clearly articulated by HCFA (Health Care Financing Administration) over a period of decades." Letter on PATH Initiative from Harriet S. Rabb to Jordan J. Cohen, President, Association of American Medical Colleges and P. John Steward, Executive Vice President, American Medical Association. 

Yet, the PATH Audit goes on unabated, and the OIG continues harvesting tens of millions of dollars from a succession of financially strapped medical schools. The nature of the PATH Audit speaks for itself.  And what is says is that the feds are not fooling around.  They’ve got the weapons, as well as the motivation and the public support to use those weapons, and they will use them to the fullest extent possible. 

The PATH Audit can properly be considered merely a shake-down cruise for the new federal anti-fraud bureaucracy.  It has gone well.  Despite organized efforts to stifle the PATH initiative, despite congressional ears sympathetic to those efforts, and despite statements coming from even HHS officials (present and former) decrying the essential unfairness of the process, the OIG has pressed forward to great effect.  Having set this precedent, the anti-fraud units will be very difficult to stop, or even slow, as they initiate their future “operations.”

This is an important point, because the PATH Audit affects only a small minority of physicians and institutions.  Most physicians are not teaching faculty, most institutions are not medical schools, and most have given only passing attention to what is happening to their academic colleagues.  Most of them don't understand yet what is coming.

More examples of what is coming:

1. See how the Feds are attempting to regulate the details of every single physician-patient encounter - The ongoing saga of the E&M guidelines.

2. See why DrRich became a radical.

Criminalizing health care - the downside

Once again we see the irony of trying to avoid the rationing of health care by eliminating waste and fraud. Whether those efforts are made through market forces or through federal regulations, the result is simply to increase covert rationing.  Just as the HMO incents physicians to withhold services by threatening loss of income or loss of jobs, the anti-fraud initiatives incent physicians to withhold services by threatening potential fines or jail terms.  Either way, the physician is compelled to withhold services.

All signs point to the continued escalation of the use of the Regulatory Speed Trap.  The Clintonians have amply demonstrated their zeal for using this tool to bring physicians to heel, and if the public and Congress continue cheering them on, there is no reason for them to stop. 

We're not saying, however, that the feds will allow their pursuit of physician fraud to accelerate to orgiastic proportions.  That would be counterproductive.  When a shark is preying on a school of mackerel, it does not allow its feeding to become so frenzied as to wipe out or disperse the school.  It makes quick, terror-inducing strikes, grabs a few fish, then retreats, allowing the mackerel to re-form themselves in serene, piscatorial calm.  The shark is thinking long-term. 

We believe physicians will have to resolve themselves to a mackerel-like mentality.  “The shark probably won’t get me. But it’s always out there, and it’s always hungry.  It will continue to strike now and then, viciously and at random. I’ll try to stay in the middle of this school, away from the edges, and do nothing to draw attention to myself.  And I’ll always be alert for it, always watching, even as I try to fulfill my own mackerel-needs.”

We can almost hear a few of you dear readers saying something like, “Nuts to the doctors.  Couldn’t happen to a nicer bunch.”

I’ll be the first to admit that doctors have probably – by virtue of their longstanding and exuberant embrasure of a runaway fee-for-service health care system – lost much of their moral authority.  It is partially the ostentatious and avaricious behavior of many doctors, the outright fraudulent behavior of some others, and the inability or unwillingness of the profession to police itself, that has made the feds’ fraud argument sound so persuasive in the first place. So if doctors have to rely on the sympathy of the public to relieve them of the burden of excessive fraud and abuse charges, they’d better pack their toothbrushes.  They’re going to jail.

The reason the general public should be concerned is not because of what is happening to the poor doctors.  It is because of what is happening to them.

For what can more effectively separate the interests of doctors from the interests of their patients than the threat of a career-ending federal conviction, loss of all personal assets, and hard time in a federal prison?  Consider – what is a physician to do when faced with a decision on whether to offer a medical service he believes is needed, but which he knows to be controversial?  In the old days a disagreement with the payer over such a service might result in a withholding of payment.  Now it might result in federal charges.

The physician’s wariness of the feds is not merely an occasional thing, either.  It promises to become an ever-present and pervasive concern that colors each and every meeting between a doctor and a patient.  The desire to avoid the scrutiny of the anti-fraud bureaucracy will become as important to every health care decision as avoiding the scrutiny of the IRS is to every financial decision. The major impact of the E&M regulations, in fact, will be that they guarantee the physician will have to spend substantial time thinking about how to avoid a fraud rap with each and every patient encounter.  It’s the law. 

Avoiding fraud is not what patients want their doctors to be thinking about when they’re describing the characteristics of their chest pain, or asking advice about mammograms.  It is no more in their best interest than it is in the doctors’ best interest.

What we have to do, we patients and doctors, is to figure out how to rededicate ourselves to our commitment to each other.  Until we do, the wedge wielded by the anti-fraud and abuse crowd will continue driving us apart, leaving each of us to flounder on our own in a health care system that has marginalized us, commoditized us, and criminalized us.

Coincidence?

Is it merely a coincidence that the first state to approve a program of explicit health care rationing is also the first state to approve physician-assisted suicide?  

Perhaps this is not a fair question, especially if you’re an Oregonian.  Oregon is the only state whose citizens have had the courage to openly address the issue of health care rationing, (their efforts in this regard are discussed in detail in the Section 8), and perhaps it is not surprising that such a people would also have the nerve to take up a second highly contentious issue related to health care.  So we concede the possibility that Oregon’s passage of laws related to both of these issues may indeed be a coincidence of courage.

At the same time, coincidence or not, one must admit that it is at least interesting to find the first operational assisted suicide law so plainly juxtaposed against the first openly acknowledged system of rationing health care. I believe that this juxtaposition neatly illustrates the relationship between the increasingly urgent “end-of-life” movement and the need to limit spending.

There are actually three areas of hot contention related to “end-of-life” medical care (the care of patients at or near the time of their death) – these issues are advance directives, physician-assisted suicide, and the delivery of futile care.  All three areas of controversy involve legitimate ethical dilemmas, about which respected ethicists have argued and continue to argue on either side.  In each case the ethical point of contention is the same – that of individual autonomy.  In essence, all three ask this question – how much control will a patient have over the events that surround his or her own death?

The end-of-life controversies - Autonomy, or cost?

As we have seen, the autonomy of the individual – a person’s right of self-determination – is the cornerstone of the American belief system.  Yet, individual autonomy is not perfect even in concept; it has inherent limitations.  For instance, in the pursuit of life, liberty and happiness, no person has the right to limit or jeopardize the rights or welfare of other individuals (i.e., of society.)  This limitation creates an unavoidable tension between the rights of an individual and the rights of society.  Indeed, the general problem of how to protect individual autonomy without sacrificing the legitimate needs of society accounts for many of the domestic conflicts that have taken place during our nation’s history. 

Not surprisingly, the issue of autonomy is central to the end-of-life disputes. Returning the authority to make end-of-life decisions to the dying patient can restore a measure of control, and add a final measure of dignity to his or her life.  To the “end-of-life” movement, the battle is for affirmation of the individual autonomy of the dying patient, and against a technocratic health care machine that seems geared toward extending life by all possible means.

But also central to these disputes, though much less openly discussed, is the issue of cost.  In virtually every plea for the expansion of end-of-life autonomy is an aside (often in parentheses) as to how much money is being spent today caring for patients in the last few months of life.  Up to 35% of Medicare expenditures in any given year, they might say, will go to the 6% of enrollees that die within that year.  The clear implication is that, by honoring individual autonomy, as an extra bonus we also stand to save countless millions of dollars.  It is therefore not surprising that those who cut the checks, health insurers and the government, have generally expressed sympathy and support for the end-of-life movement.

In this Section it is my intention to demonstrate how, in all three end-of-life controversies, the ethical issue of autonomy is inextricably entwined with the practical issue of cost, and how society's insistence on operating in a milieu of covert rationing sweeps away any hope of resolving these issues equitably.

The purpose of advance directives 

Advance directives allow patients to establish beforehand (usually by means of a written document), what kinds of medical treatment they would want and not want, should they fall victim to a serious, life-threatening illness that leaves them unable to express their wishes.  Advance directives can be either a statement of very general desires (e.g., “I do not want my life prolonged by any artificial mechanical means”), or a list of specific wishes (e.g., “I do not want to be attached to a mechanical ventilator”).

Advance directives and autonomy

By allowing patients to make such choices ahead of time, advance directives potentially can spare them from being subjected to treatments that they would consider demeaning, undignified, painful or otherwise undesirable, should they become incapacitated at a later date.  Thus, well-constructed advance directives should always operate in the direction of preserving individual autonomy, and there should be little ethical argument against them.

Accordingly, the dispute with advance directives is not so much ethical, but practical – what have advance directives actually accomplished, and what can they realistically be expected to accomplish?  For, while advance directives sound like a very good idea, and while they indeed can be very helpful in some circumstances, they have proven to be much less so than one might think.

Advance directives are supposed to work by providing guidance to physicians who, in their fiduciary capacity, are charged with acting in their patients’ best interests, even if the patient can no longer express a preference. Unfortunately, however, advance directives only go part way in determining what actions the physician should take to best honor the wishes of the incapacitated patient at the time they are incapacitated. The problems are twofold; advance directives express imperfect knowledge, and they are imperfectly expressed.

It is virtually impossible for a healthy, robust individual to know precisely how he or she will really feel several years from now when illness strikes, and it becomes time to actually exercise an advance directive. Every doctor who cares for critically ill patients has seen more than one who, despite advance directives to the contrary, unhesitatingly choose to be attached to a ventilator (for instance) when the time comes, rather than face certain imminent death. Experienced doctors know that advance directives do not always indicate what a patient will actually choose when the time of choice is upon them.  They also know that, while conscious patients have the opportunity to repeal their advance directives, unconscious patients don’t.  So in executing an advance directive in an incapacitated patient, the conscientious physician will also take into account many other factors – her personal knowledge of the patient, the opinions of the family as to what the patient would want done, and the chances of long-term recovery if the therapy being considered is used.  Let us illustrate with a case study.

Bruno's advance directive

Bruno, a previously healthy man of 68, has just suffered a stroke. He becomes comatose, and two hours later he develops respiratory distress.  Dr. Smith, Bruno’s neurologist, expects his respiratory condition to improve over time.  But right now Bruno needs to be attached to a ventilator or he will die within hours. The problem is, Bruno has signed an advance directive that appears to prohibit ventilators under most circumstances.

Dr. Smith is not sure what to do.  How much weight should she give to Bruno’s advance directive? If she withholds the ventilator, Bruno will die.  If she puts Bruno on the ventilator, chances are he will recover, but with at least some permanent neurological deficit. Which would Bruno choose if he were able to express his choice now?

Dr. Smith talks to Bruno’s family about the situation.  Bruno’s daughter says the advance directive speaks for itself and should be honored, but his son expresses doubt as to whether this was precisely the kind of circumstance Bruno meant when he indicated he didn’t want the ventilator.  Bruno’s wife is simply distraught, and while she cannot offer advice about the advance directive, she obviously is not ready for Bruno to die.

Then, of course, there’s the interpretation of the language in Bruno’s advance directive.  Bruno’s daughter had downloaded it from the Internet for him, and it’s pretty boilerplate. In fact, Dr. Smith has seen this language before; she doesn’t believe that Bruno changed anything in it – apparently he just signed it.  For Dr. Smith, this calls into question how much Bruno had even thought about it before signing; maybe he was just trying to please his daughter.  In any case, this particular directive is distressingly vague about its prohibitions.  Regarding the ventilator specifically, it appears to prohibit its use “unless there is a reasonable expectation of a meaningful recovery.” 

Dr. Smith tries to evaluate the wishes expressed in Bruno’s directive in light of his current situation. With aggressive therapy she expects that Bruno has perhaps a 60% chance of surviving this hospitalization.  Is that a “reasonable expectation?”  If Bruno does survive, he may be permanently paralyzed and unable to talk.  Is that a “meaningful recovery?”  She has seen many patients with devastating strokes eventually achieve a level of satisfactory, often happy, recovery. Yet, she knows, few of them would have predicted ahead of time that they’d be willing to live with such a condition. The definition of a “meaningful recovery” depends heavily upon whether one is a robust young man thinking about a stroke in the abstract, or an elderly man actually living it and whose only other option is death.

Bruno’s three family members intently study Dr. Smith’s face, awaiting her recommendation – the wife pleadingly; the son expectantly; and the daughter challengingly.  What will Dr. Smith do?

Before Dr. Smith tells us, let’s examine some of the other considerations she might have to entertain.

Advance directives and cost

The federal government, under the Patient Self-Determination Act, requires Medicare-certified hospitals to inform all patients about the availability of advance directives at the time of hospital admission.  All 50 state governments have passed statutes that further encourage this effort.  HMOs have jumped on the bandwagon, encouraging patients to adopt advance directives and incenting doctors to discuss them with patients.

One would have to be very credulous indeed to believe that the enthusiasm with which HMOs and state and federal governments have embraced advance directives arises primarily from a fervor for increasing patients’ autonomy.  Most patients, apparently, are not that credulous, as the majority have withstood the onslaught of encouragement to adopt advance directives.  Perhaps they feel the big payers protest too much about their lack of end-of-life autonomy.  My guess is that patients are suspicious.

It is next to impossible to catch the government or HMOs coming right out and saying that their enthusiasm for advance directives actually has to do with saving money.  But if autonomy were their chief concern, would they really designate the hospital admissions clerk as the point person for soliciting advance directives?  We have already seen how critical it is for patients to carefully consider the circumstances under which they would want therapy withheld, and to carefully spell out those circumstances.  Clearly, it would be better not to have an advance directive at all than to have one that misleads doctors about something as important as one’s wishes for end-of-life care. Asking someone to fill out an advance directive at the time of hospital admission, likely without appropriate guidance and possibly under duress, is a clear indicator of whether the true motive is guaranteeing the patient’s autonomy or cost-cutting. 

HMOs have been disappointed so far by the lack of cost savings from advance directives. This failure is due both to the low percentage of patients who have adopted them, and to the fact that, apparently, physicians insist on “interpreting” advance directives when they do exist.  To address this latter problem, it has been suggested that perhaps HMOs should support patients’ autonomy by simply refusing to reimburse providers who provide care against the expressed wishes of an advance directive.  Such a policy, obviously, would save the HMOs money directly.  It would also have the effect of making the advance directive the final arbiter of a patient’s wishes – wise patients would then have to think even harder before adopting one.

Advance directives - role of the physician advocate

The easy way out for Dr. Smith would be to “honor” Bruno’s advance directive, and withhold ventilator therapy.  That decision would certainly fall within the parameters of the directive, would be acceptable (albeit reluctantly) to Bruno’s wife and son, and would be welcomed by Bruno’s daughter.  It would also be welcomed by her hospital and the HMO that owns it.  And Dr. Smith realizes that she certainly invites less official scrutiny by following an advance directive than by going against it.

But she takes a deep breath and tells Bruno’s family she thinks they should use the ventilator. “I think he has a pretty decent chance of making an acceptable recovery,” she says, “although I can’t guarantee anything. But the way I read the situation, I think he’d want us to try.”

Bruno’s wife and son are clearly relieved that the doctor thinks it would be okay to keep trying. Bruno’s daughter is angry, and mutters something about how Dr. Smith had better hope her father doesn’t end up as “a vegetable,” but she doesn’t try to veto the ventilator. As Dr. Smith leaves Bruno’s family, she prays that Bruno himself will agree with her decision when he recovers – if he recovers.

Most people, one suspects, would want a physician like Dr. Smith, who takes her patient’s advance directive seriously, but does not treat it as a binding legal document.  For many reasons, advance directives can never be perfect representations of a patient’s future desires under all circumstances.  They need to be interpreted according to the situation at hand. They can offer strong clues as to how to honor a patient’s autonomy, but cannot be the only arbiter.

The appropriate use of advance directives requires the physician to act as a true advocate, to selflessly place the desires expressed in the directive in context with everything else that might affect the patient’s wishes, and then make a recommendation that, to the best of his or her ability, honors that patient’s autonomy. 

For our purposes, the important point is this: To the extent that doctors can no longer act primarily as their patient’s advocate, advance directives become less an instrument of autonomy and more an instrument of covert rationing.

A compelling question

Aside from abortion, no there is no controversy in medicine more contentious or polarizing today than the controversy over physician-assisted suicide.  Yet, it is not immediately obvious why this issue has become so acutely important.

Proponents of assisted suicide usually invoke a prototypical scenario to illustrate their position: Consider the patient riddled with widely metastatic cancer, facing imminent death, and suffering from severe, uncontrollable pain.  Does not such a patient have a right to ask his or her physician to give them the means to end their suffering once and for all?  And does the physician not have the right to respond without committing a crime?

It is an extremely compelling question.  Accordingly, this scenario is the one that has been posed to the public in most polls whose results appear to show that the majority of Americans are in favor of physician-assisted suicide. Few would argue that this terminal, pain-wracked patient does not have a right to expect his physician to do whatever it took to relieve his suffering.  Few would expect that physician to deny the desperate pleas of the patient.  Most would believe it unethical for a doctor to deny those pleas.

But in real life, this very difficult clinical problem is dealt with frequently and effectively without having to invoke assisted suicide.  What most knowledgeable and compassionate physicians do in such cases is simply to give as much pain medicine as it takes to make the pain go away, even if doing so runs the risk of hastening the patient’s death.

This course of action is not only ethical, it is also legal. Aggressive pain control in terminal patients is almost always effective in reducing pain to tolerable levels.  It is entirely consistent with professional standards. It honors individual autonomy, and does so without impinging on the rights of society. Furthermore, the Supreme Court, which in 1997 unanimously struck down a constitutional right to assisted suicide, took that opportunity to stipulate specifically that physicians are encouraged to use aggressive pain control measures in terminal patients when necessary, even if those measures have a chance of hastening death.

Granted, there will be occasional cases where even extremely aggressive pain management fails to adequately control pain, and leaves the patient asking for death.  So current medical science, laws and ethics do not adequately answer all possible situations.  But fortunately, with adequate management these cases are very rare. (And in cases where management is not adequate, the solution is to better educate the physicians, not to kill the patients.)  So, given that the prototypical scenario is uncommon, this leads us to wonder – why all the passion, at this particular time, about legalizing physician-assisted suicide?

Why all the passion?

In examining this question we should look at how assisted suicide is actually practiced.  Consider the clinical practice of that celebrated pathologist, Dr. Kavorkian. For the most part patients with unrelenting pain are not the ones who have requested his assistance. Most who have sought him out wanted to end their life for other reasons, commonly because they suffered from disease-related depression, loss of control, or fear of becoming a burden to their families.  Few had intractable pain, and some did not even have terminal illnesses. This is a pattern that holds up in Holland, too, where assisted suicide and euthanasia are acceptable as a matter of public policy.  Pain is the motivator in a decided minority of Dutch patients who ask for assisted suicide.

Seeing this, one must conclude that the passion in the end-of-life movement for assisted suicide cannot reside primarily in the desire to relieve pain in terminally ill patients.  One suspects that instead, the prototypical pain-wracked patient is invoked primarily to garner sympathy for their position.  Their passion more likely derives from a general sense, within that movement, that individual autonomy needs to be rescued from the clutches of the unrelenting, unfeeling, smothering bio-medical-technical machine. 

But these sentiments have been rumbling along in the background for decades, and never drew more than amused glances from the “establishment.”  What’s new is that, for some reason, the “establishment” has seen fit in recent years to give voice to these sentiments, and to bring the issue of physician-assisted suicide (and its mate, euthanasia) to the fore. Obviously, I am suggesting that the reason for this is financial.

So in examining the assisted suicide issue, we need to consider not only the ethical debate (i.e., the rights of the individual to demand assisted suicide versus the rights of society to hold such activity illegal), but also what it means that this issue has become so urgent at this particular time.

The ethics of physician-assisted suicide

On the surface, the issue of physician-assisted suicide does appear to be a simple question of individual autonomy.  But while I have stressed the importance of individual autonomy throughout this discussion (indeed, one of my major themes is that individual autonomy needs to be saved from the ravages of covert rationing), close examination of the ethical question in this particular case suggests that here, the unbridled endorsement of end-of-life autonomy threatens to lead us where we don’t want to go.

I am not trained in ethics, so my qualifications for interpreting the ethical arguments here may be legitimately questioned.  At the same time, I believe that, since the rest of us are expected to act in accordance with what is deemed ethical, one of the jobs of ethicists is to render ethical arguments that are intelligible to the masses.  To couch ethical opinions in jargon and arcane twists of logic places the rest of us in the position of having to accept the ethical bottom line without understanding how that bottom line was reached.  It reduces ethics to “received knowledge,” and the brotherhood of ethicists to a priesthood.  Advancing unintelligible ethics is, well, unethical.

So here, to the best of my understanding, is how most ethicists regard the issue of end-of-life autonomy:

Point 1) We as a society have already decided that autonomy is a deciding factor in making decisions on ending life.  We did this formally when we asserted the individual’s right to refuse treatment for medical problems, even life-sustaining treatments, and even if the disease for which treatment is being refused is curable. This was the critical ethical choice for us, and we have made it.

Point 2) There is no ethical distinction between assisted suicide and euthanasia. Handing the patient the switch that triggers the suicide machine, and actually flipping the switch for patients who may be too weak to do it for themselves, are ethically the same act.  In fact, once it is agreed that hastening a painless death is the proper course of action, then it would be unethical to deny patients such a painless death just because they are too weak to flip the switch themselves.  Physician-assisted suicide and euthanasia are ethically identical acts.

Point 3) Likewise, there is no ethical difference between “passive” and “active” euthanasia.  That is, there is no difference between “letting nature take its course” and helping nature along a bit.  In one case, the doctor acts to remove or withhold life-sustaining therapy, thus hastening death.  In the other case, the doctor acts to administer the means of hastening death.  In either case, the doctor has taken an action that hastens death – the two acts are ethically equivalent. 

Conclusion) Since we have already asserted the right of the patient to refuse life-sustaining therapies (Point 1), then it follows from Points 2 and 3 that ethical consistency also requires us to allow both physician-assisted suicide and euthanasia.  In other words, if withdrawal of life support is deemed ethical, then physician assisted suicide and euthanasia are ethical.

As nearly as I can tell, many if not most ethicists believe the Supreme Court was wrong in 1997 when it denied a constitutional right to assisted suicide (saying that each state should decide the issue for itself).  Some were scandalized that the Court made a clear distinction between “letting nature take its course” and hastening death, especially since it did so in the face of strong arguments from the ethics community to the contrary.

Is there an ethical argument that allows withdrawal of life-supporting therapy without also legitimizing euthanasia?  Yes, but it is decidedly a minority opinion among ethicists.  As long as the withdrawal of life-supporting therapy is made by the same actor who provided that life-supporting therapy in the first place, the argument goes, the withdrawal of therapy would not really constitute killing.  The patient would be losing only that which was provided by the continuing support of another individual, and no one has the right to demand the continuing support of another individual (since it would be a violation of that person's autonomy).  Unfortunately, accepting this argument also requires accepting something called a “nonempiricist notion of causality.”   I have no idea what that means, but to your average ethicist accepting it is apparently equivalent to a physicist accepting cold fusion.

The bottom line is that, if you're waiting for the ethicists to tell you physician-assisted suicide is not permissible, you'd best prepare for a long wait.  From the standpoint of most ethicists, the preservation of the individual autonomy that rendered the refusal of life-sustaining therapy ethical also renders physician-assisted suicide (and euthanasia) entirely ethical.

The cost-saving aspects of physician-assisted suicide

Just as in the case of advance directives, the cost-saving aspects of physician-assisted suicide are rarely discussed openly. Yet, these aspects reside just beneath the surface of many passionate arguments for legalization of assisted suicide.  It’s purely an issue of autonomy, these arguments go, but hey, as it turns out it’s also a win-win for both sides.  The individual gets his autonomy, and society saves a little money to boot.

In this case, the government and the HMOs have wisely stayed on the sidelines.  It would be unseemly for them to become big boosters of assisted suicide, and besides, so far the ethicists are doing a good job of carrying the ball.  Patience is the order of the day.

It would be too much, however, to expect that such reticence would persist even after assisted suicide became widely available.  After all, once our society decides that assisted suicide is a legitimate means of expressing autonomy, wouldn’t it be the duty of government and insurers to establish smooth processes by which such autonomy could be expressed?

Already the enthusiasm for potential savings occasionally bubbles to the surface. In an article in The American Journal of Economics and Sociology (1993;52:275), for instance, Fung (citing the familiar statistic that 35% of Medicare spending goes to the 6% who are about to die), argues that tremendous cost savings could be realized by using financial incentives to induce patients with terminal illnesses to end their lives. His plan, blandly called “physician-assisted death with benefit conversion,” would pay such patients a very nice sum (based on a percentage of what otherwise would be spent on their health care), to instead opt for a voluntary, painless, and dignified death at the hands of their doctors and at a time of their choosing.  Thus, it is not enough that we make voluntary physician-assisted suicide legal; to save as much money as possible we also ought to do everything we can to encourage patients to make this choice. 

While such a proposal might look totally outlandish to many of us, it simply places a logical Gekkonian spin on what is more typically a Clintonian issue. The only reason such a scheme may seem shocking to us is that our thinking has not yet “evolved” sufficiently.  We just need a little time to get used to the idea.

This example points out the corrupting influence that covert rationing will have on what otherwise is an issue of ethics. In weighing the relative merits of expanding individual autonomy in end-of-life decisions against the effect that expansion of rights will have on society, the influence of rationing has a heavy hand. Physician-assisted suicide as an occasional and extraordinary solution to a rare, intractable clinical dilemma is one thing; institutionalized and encouraged as one of several health care options, however, it will be quite another.

Without going into flights of imagination, one can easily visualize the promotion of assisted suicide as an attractive choice, as a new individual freedom, hard-won from the paternalistic health care system.  Magazine adds and pamphlets (included with your hospital admission packet) will tell how you have the power to save yourself from the clinching grasp of the medical automatons, to be rescued from their needles, biopsies and scans, to take control of your destiny, and remove yourself to a place where, free from pain and enveloped by peace, you can be eased into the next life.  You no longer have to suffer. You no longer have to worry about being a burden to your family. It’s in your power to do one last thing for yourself and for the ones you love.  It’s your choice, you are told lovingly – and expectantly.

And you can be sure that, even if you choose not to listen to this stuff, your children and grandchildren will.  And even if they don’t say it, sooner or later they’ll be thinking, “ Well, it’s sort of getting to be about that time, isn’t it?”

And before you know it, the choice for assisted suicide will become the duty for assisted suicide.

Devaluing end-of-life care

In our health care system today, we pay a lot of attention to those who are dying.  The hospice movement is strong, and medical research in the past decades has helped immensely with caring for the physical and emotional needs of the dying.  Resolution of many personal, emotional, and family issues are facilitated in the last days of life, thanks to the recognition that these things are of vital importance not only to the patient, but also to those the patient will leave behind.  Yet, such efforts are expensive and emotionally taxing, even for those who have developed expertise in end-of-life care. 

If an easier (and cheaper) way were available, careful and compassionate end-of-life care would be de-emphasized.  “We don’t need it any more,” HMOs would say.  “People are choosing suicide, in celebration of their autonomy.” And by making good end-of-life care harder to come by, they indeed would be rendering assisted suicide a more attractive choice. 

Making society callous to suffering

While nobody likes to talk about it, suffering people are, to at least some extent, insufferable. In their emotional and physical pain, they can be demanding, self-absorbed, and sometimes abusive.  They often need constant, difficult, and highly unpleasant care. No matter how compassionate we caretakers may be – health care workers and family alike – there is always some element of wishing the sufferer would be gone. 

Insightful health care workers recognize this “dark side” impulse as a natural one; and this recognition helps them to work through their own ambivalence about the suffering patient. More importantly, it also helps them to council members of the patient’s family, who often have deep feelings of guilt because of the same kinds of ambivalent feelings. The prohibition against euthanasia and assisted suicide makes the bedside a “safe” place to work through these issues – we can recognize and deal with our darker impulses, knowing that, no matter what, we don’t have the option of acting on them.

And working through such impulses is ultimately healthy.  By doing so, we learn to understand and live with the suffering of others; we learn compassion for the human condition; ultimately, we learn to be more accepting when it is our own turn to suffer.

But if there were an alternative, if we didn’t really have to deal with watching our loved ones suffer, or with the feelings their suffering caused within us, then wouldn’t it be easy to simply to take advantage of that alternative? Over time, it would become difficult for us to understand why anybody would tolerate suffering (and why they would be so unfeeling as to expose the rest of us to the discomfort of having to watch them suffer), when there was such an obvious, painless and commonly-used alternative. After a while we would learn to apply this solution to more and more forms of suffering, and our tolerance for any form of suffering, real or perceived, would erode. Suffering would no longer teach us compassion for the human condition; it would merely provoke disgust.

This is not just a prediction.  It has, you’ll remember, happened before.

Inviting lawyers to the bedside

There’s no way we’ll ever tolerate physician-assisted suicide without “safeguards.”  The legal safeguards, in fact, are the main reason proponents give as to why assisted suicide will never be abused. Consider what such laws will do, however. They will directly inject lawyers, for the first time on a routine basis, into the process of end-of-life care. And when we remind ourselves that the only other model we have for legal killing in our society (outside of warfare) is capital punishment, we get a flavor of what such legal wranglings might mean.

Coming to terms with death is hard enough on everybody as it is.  Do we really want to add lawyers to the mix of family, friends, medical personnel and clergy at the bedside?  Do we really want to turn the process of dying into just another (particularly difficult) legal process?

The slippery slope argument

The slippery slope argument is dismissed out of hand by most in the end-of-life movement.  It simply doesn’t hold water, they say.  It is illogical to argue that something as affirming of individual autonomy as assisted suicide can ever lead to the abuses of individuals by society. And if, in reply, one tries to describe to them how it already has happened in recent memory, they tend to become horribly indignant and shut off all conversation.  “If we can’t discuss this without you calling me a Nazi, then we have nothing to talk about.”

People in the end-of-life movement are not Nazis.  The vast majority are good, compassionate, well-meaning people who have the best interests of dying patients at heart. But if you examine the facts coldly and logically, and if you factor in the depth of our increasing economic crisis in health care, the slippery slope argument, I believe, becomes compelling.

Let’s deal first with the Nazis.  The Nazis were obsessed with the purity of race, with removing all imperfect humans from the breeding pool. That was their ideology, and we don’t have that ideology.

Yet, the evolution of the arguments advanced by the Germans to justify their actions sound eerily familiar.  Long before the Nazis came to power, German scholars were calling for legal euthanasia as a means of promoting mercy and personal choice in the face of intractable suffering, using language identical to the language we are hearing today.  This movement steadily gained steam, and during the economic crisis of the post-World-War-I era it was recognized as a way of controlling spending on individuals who were seen as burdens to society.  Eugenics nicely added the imprimatur of the scientific community to the humanitarian and economic arguments made by proponents of euthanasia.  By the time the Nazis came to power, the groundwork had been laid for their handiwork.  It had been laid not by fiends, but by scientists, doctors, lawyers, and economists. 

To dismiss those events as irrelevant to our culture is foolish.  The arguments the Germans used in beginning this process were identical to the arguments for legalizing assisted suicide in our country today.

Also relevant to the slippery slope argument is the Dutch experience with euthanasia.  The Dutch have not actually legalized euthanasia, but have developed an official policy under which laws governing euthanasia will not be enforced as long as certain guidelines are adhered to. These guidelines require intolerable suffering on the part of the patient, suffering that leads them to a persistent request to be allowed to die; the patient must have a good understanding of what he or she is requesting; no other reasonable solutions can be apparent; and at least one other physician needs to be consulted and must concur that euthanasia is the only good choice. 

Recent reports on the Dutch experience have been mixed.  Proponents of assisted suicide see a shining example of the societal benefits of permitting end-of-life autonomy of choice.  Opponents see a series of terrible abuses, including an utter disregard of the prescribed guidelines.  To me, the most undeniably striking feature of the Dutch experience (and the most relevant to the slippery slope argument) is the admission that thousands of cases of “active involuntary euthanasia” are occurring each year.  In other words, patients are being killed at the hands of their doctors and without their permission.  All, it is said, are leading insufferable existences, and all are being euthanized solely for humane reasons.

What do ethicists say about such a thing?  Not all agree, of course, but it turns out that it is fairly easy to derive an ethical argument for involuntary euthanasia from the starting point of upholding individual autonomy.  It goes like this: the principle of autonomy demands that patients be allowed to refuse therapy; refusal of therapy is the ethical equivalent of voluntary euthanasia (as we have seen); since voluntary euthanasia is a right of individuals with intractable suffering, it follows that it would be unethical to withhold euthanasia from suffering individuals who are incapacitated, just because they are unable to give their permission. Hence, involuntary euthanasia is ethical for suffering patients who are unable to give their permission. 

Where this leaves us is at a place where others can decide for an individual both what constitutes intractable suffering, and when that individual is too incompetent to make such a determination for him or herself.  Where these “others” end up drawing the line on whether a person’s existence is of value or whether a person is competent, of course, can be influenced by all sorts of external factors.

In Nazi Germany, those external factors included a belief in the purity of the Arian race, and that belief led to horrible excesses.  We don’t have that belief here. 

What we do have is an imperative to ration health care, which means that potentially beneficial care is going to have to be withheld from somebody, somewhere.  Can we be sure that, once we start down the road of allowing patients to choose death, we will be able to withstand our external influences, and stay our hands from ending the suffering of some who might not be so sure of their choice or who are incapable of making a choice – especially when, by so doing, we will make more health care available to others?

I believe the slippery slope argument holds a lot of water. 

Erosion of the doctor-patient relationship

Imagine yourself at age 75 in a hospital bed with a critical but potentially treatable illness.  Your doctor walks in, smiling.

If physician-assisted suicide and euthanasia are still illegal, you can be reasonably sure he’s smiling with confidence. He thinks he can cure you, and his smile tells you so. You relax. You feel better already.

But what if they are legal?  What would his smile mean then? He still might be smiling with confidence, of course.  But maybe he’s smiling as a means of beginning a conversation with you about some choices.  Maybe he’s about to pull up a chair, shake his head a bit, and say, “Well, you know, things don’t look so good this time, Charlie.”  He’ll pause, smiling wider now. “But the good news is, we can make it all pretty easy on you.”

Or worse, he might not say anything.  He might leave you guessing about how hard he’s really working to make you well. You’ve even heard – well, you’ve heard they don’t always tell you beforehand.

It’s hard to imagine anything more destructive to the trust between a doctor and a patient than knowing that your doctor, at some point, may shift from trying to cure you to trying to usher you into the next life as cheaply as possible (by encouraging suicide, by offering euthanasia, or by simply doing the euthanasia because you’re so incompetent you can’t see it’s the only thing to do).

If people want to commit suicide, and if the ethicists agree that assisted suicide is entirely okay, then let the ethicists do the assisting. I have relatively little to say against ethicist-assisted suicide. But leave the doctors out of it.

So what should we do about physician-assisted suicide?

It is very revealing that we should be so ready to create a universal right to die before we’ve created universal access to health care.  That fact, if nothing else, should tell us how deeply we’ve embraced the covert rationing of health care.

We should keep physician-assisted suicide and euthanasia illegal.  The potential for abuse is simply too high, especially in the milieu of covert rationing. Institutionalizing and popularizing these procedures will carry too high a price for society, a price that would not be outweighed by the supposed expansion of individual autonomy they would bring. Society has a right to refuse to start down this path.

Does this mean we’ll need to abandon our suffering patients? On the contrary, as we have seen, turning our backs on the “easy way” will cause us to redouble our efforts to find ways of relieving the physical and emotional suffering of patients approaching the end of their lives. Indeed, we’ve already made a lot of progress in this area. 

But what about those rare cases where terminal patients really do have intractable pain despite all efforts, and are begging to be given final relief?  I think there clearly will be times when assisting suicide (or even performing voluntary euthanasia), is the correct course of action.  In those cases, the physician’s fiduciary duty to the patient should cause him to act for the patient’s benefit, despite the law and despite potential consequences. A substantial minority of American physicians admit to having taken such action on a patient’s behalf at least once.

This sort of heroic action, of course, depends on a trusting relationship between the doctor and the patient.  It is ironic that covert rationing, which is clearly one of the forces behind the push to legalize assisted suicide, is destroying the trust between doctors and patients that makes such moral actions possible.

The ethical flip side

Those who still believe that the rise of the end-of-life movement is solely due to the quest for increased patient autonomy, and that it has nothing to do with cost, need look no further than the issue of “medical futility.”  From the standpoint of autonomy, medical futility is the flip side of advance directives and physician-assisted suicide. For medical futility is the issue of what to do about the patient who is demanding care that the medical establishment has deemed “futile” (i.e., extremely unlikely to be beneficial).

For medical futility to have become an issue at all, then obviously there must be reasonably frequent disagreements between the medical establishment and patients as to when medical care is really futile. The majority of these disagreements occur in critically ill patients with little chance for recovery, and typically the treatment in question is very expensive. Furthermore, in most cases that treatment is not absolutely 100% unquestionably futile, but merely extremely unlikely to be effective. Yet, the patient (or the patient’s family) in these cases feels as strongly about not giving up as the patients requesting assisted suicide feel about dying. Accordingly, the patient asserts her autonomy by insisting that “everything” be done.

If autonomy were really the only issue, then the people who stand foursquare behind the autonomy of the patient when urging her to establish an advance directive or when she seeks physician-assisted suicide would also strongly support her when she wants to express her autonomy by asking for more care. But that’s not what is happening. Many supporters of the end-of-life movement are strangely silent on the issue of medical futility.

When autonomy and cost both support the same side of an issue, it’s easy for everybody to say they’re supporting autonomy.  It’s only when autonomy and cost are on opposite sides of an issue that we can see what’s really the principle motivator. 

The cost considerations of medical futility are not subtle.  Every struggling hospital has the facts and figures to show that a substantial proportion of their losses come from taking care of patients who are critically ill and who have relatively little chance of a full recovery.  While it’s easy to tell in retrospect how much of that care was futile (the money spent on patients who died was money spent futilely), hospitals and HMOs are extremely anxious to come up with ways of predicting ahead of time which patients are unlikely to survive, and to establish the legal and ethical basis for withholding care from those patients.  The money at stake is enormous. In fact, some have argued explicitly that medical futility is the ideal method for covertly rationing health care, because the savings potential is so high.

So doctors, hospitals, insurers and the government are all very anxious to limit spending on futile care.  I'm not saying this is unreasonable.  We shouldn’t spend millions on futile health care (if we’re sure ahead of time which care is really futile).  It’s just that their strong pronouncements supporting autonomy in the other two end-of-life issues makes things a little awkward for them when they come out against autonomy on the issue of medical futility.

Once again, covert rationing and the lack of trust between doctors and patients preclude a solution to this problem.  For it is the duty of the trustworthy physician, whose first obligation is to be his patient’s advocate, not to offer futile care.  Offering futile care presents the patient with a false choice, a choice that can only raise erroneous hopes, and subsequently keeps the patient from making truly appropriate and meaningful personal decisions. The trustworthy physician understands that giving the patient false hopes in this way, therefore, is itself a violation of the patient’s autonomy. Further, since the physician is trustworthy, the patient accepts his opinion that no useful therapy exists, and moves on to the next phase of her illness. In the healthy doctor-patient relationship, futile care is not offered, nor is it requested. 

But this sort of relationship is becoming more rare by the day, thanks to covert rationing.  Patients are becoming ever more reluctant to accept the doctor’s pronouncement that there are no useful therapies for their condition. How do they know the doctor isn’t just trying to save money by limiting their choices? They are much more likely to demand that no stone be unturned.  And the only way they can be sure that everything reasonable is being done is by demanding that everything possible be done.

The end-of-life controversies – conclusion

The issues surrounding end-of-life medical care are of vital importance both to individuals and to society. Perhaps more than any of the other issues we have discussed in this exposition, the way we handle end-of-life care will determine what kind of a people we will become in the 21st century.

Insisting on autonomy in end-of-life decisions presents something of a paradox.  For what is death if not the ultimate reminder that the right of self-determination is, at best, a temporary gift? Wherever feasible, we should allow the dying person to make decisions about the kind of medical care he will receive during his final days, but for us to declare autonomy the overriding concern during this time ignores reality and calls into question our real motives.  (Are we really trying to help the dying individual by insisting on his autonomy, or are we trying to prove to ourselves that, despite all appearances, humans actually do have control of their own destiny?). 

Instead of worrying so much about autonomy in the dying patient, we should strive to provide the things that patient really needs – relief from physical and emotional pain, help in resolving remaining issues of family or personal conflict, and spiritual support. We should let the dying person know that he won’t be abandoned, that we will be there for him until the end.  We should let him know that, because dying is part of the human condition we all share, the fact of his dying does not make him different from us. We are embracing him, not culling him from the herd. It is by such an affirmation of that person’s continuing importance, and not by coercing him (overtly or subliminally) to exercise false autonomy by taking the easy way out, that we truly honor his value as an individual.

Covert rationing precludes any such trust-based end-of-life care. It destroys the trust between doctors and patients, and makes any solution to end-of-life care that is dependent on mutual trust utterly impossible. 

We have just completed our brief survey of The Problem.  First, we looked at why the rationing of our health care is necessary in the first place (whether we want to admit it or not); and then we examined some of the consequences of our decision to do that rationing covertly. 

We have seen that covert rationing – whether manifested by Gekkonian HMOs, the Clintonian Regulatory Speed Trap, or the appropriation of “individual autonomy” to the hastening of death and devaluing of life – is causing us two significant problems. 

First, it is slowly eroding the basic principles on which our culture is based, especially the primacy of the individual. If we lose that, we lose our cultural identity – and what sort of a people we may become if that happens is frightening to contemplate.

And second, it has caused virtually every aspect of our health care system to become geared toward separating the interests of doctors from the interests of patients.  For doctors, the loss of their advocacy role removes them from the rank of professionals, and retrospectively justifies their subjugation by the Gekkonians and the Clintonians. For patients, the loss of their advocates, just at the time when they are most vulnerable, places them at the mercy of powerful forces whose only motivations are cost, profit and power.

This all sounds pretty bad, and it is.  That’s why we need to figure out what we can do about it.

In Section 8, we are going to consider the only possible alternative we have to covert rationing (since ration we must).  We are going to consider open rationing.

First, we will examine the proposition that that a well-designed system of open rationing ought to have inherent benefits that stretch far beyond merely vanquishing the perfidies of covert rationing.

Then, we’ll discuss six principles we need to consider in designing such a beneficial system of open rationing.

Next, we’ll look at what we can do today, both to encourage a more general public discussion on the rationing of health care, and (in the meantime) to protect the health and safety of our loved ones and ourselves in an increasingly hostile health care environment.

Finally, for those who are interested, in the Appendix we will discuss in more detail how we can actually develop a workable methodology for open rationing.

Open rationing?

The open rationing of health care (i.e., adopting an official public policy requiring the rationing of health care, and an official methodology for conducting that rationing) tends to be a very scary prospect.  It certainly scares the bejeebers out of those who ought to be discussing it publicly – economists, health policy experts, politicians, and medical thought leaders. 

The scariest thing for public officials about initiating a discussion on rationing is the prospect of having to admit that we need to ration in the first place.  It may not be very long, however, before some smart politician figures out that the roiling public discontent with the current health care system, a discontent that is growing every day, is at its root caused by covert rationing.  And perhaps an increasingly angry public is almost ready to listen to a logical explanation of what’s really causing all the problems within our health care system.  

If the day arrives when the public finally understands that rationing is already happening, and will continue to happen no matter what, then (after they’ve strung up a few hundred public officials) they may even be ready to listen to a well-formulated proposal on open rationing. To gain the support of the public, however, such a proposal would have to provide substantial benefits, and those benefits would have to be clearly articulated.

Before embarking on a discussion of what those benefits might be, we need to list six basic principles that must be taken into account by any system of open rationing.  Unless these principles are explicitly considered and decided upon, open rationing would likely end up being as bad, if not worse than covert rationing.

 

Principles for designing a system of open rationing

Principle 1: The goals of health care (and therefore the scope of services that society expects from the health care system) are clearly spelled out.

Principle 2: The amount of money that society spends on health care is decided upon in an open process that prioritizes health care services in relation to all other essential public services.

Principle 3: As many rationing decisions as possible are left to the patients who are directly affected by those decisions.

Principle 4: Coverage for essential health care services is universal to all Americans. 

Principle 5: The rules for rationing are determined through an open, public process, and are made as explicit and as clear as possible.

Principle 6: Prioritizing health care services for inclusion in the universal health plan is done according to clearly articulated ethical standards.

Soon, we’ll examine these six principles more closely, and discuss why they are so vitally important in designing a rationing plan. Right now, let’s examine what we stand to gain in the first place by adopting such a rationing plan.

Benefits of open rationing?

How can there possibly be benefits to open rationing?  As we conceded at the very beginning of this exposition, rationing health care is bad, and ought to be avoided if at all possible.  So how can we talk about open rationing as if it's a basket of goodies?

The answer is, open rationing, like all rationing, is indeed something we'd want to avoid if at all possible. But since rationing is impossible to avoid, what we really need to do is compare the pros and cons of rationing openly versus rationing covertly. Only in comparison to covert rationing and its consequences can the "features" of open rationing be considered benefits. 

We've looked at covert rationing already. To me, it looks very, very bad. When viewed in this light, open rationing (if conducted according to the six principle introduced on the previous page, and to be discussed in detail on the next page) actually shows considerable promise. 

Potential benefits to open rationing are listed here:

Recognizing limits

Shining a bright light on nefarious activities

Making efficiency a moral imperative

Emphasizing mutual responsibilities

More fairness

Refocusing our research agenda

Encouraging benefits of "classic" managed care

Encouraging a more balanced view of life

Restoring the doctor-patient relationship

 

Recognizing limits

We have seen the problems we have caused ourselves by holding to our American health care myth.  This myth was founded on an inherently unstable system of health care reimbursement that hid the cost of health care from both doctors and patients.  Because nobody saw the costs, inefficiencies went unpunished.

Abandoning our health care myth, by explicitly recognizing that there are indeed finite limits to what we can afford to spend on health care, will itself have immediate and far-reaching effects.  Once we recognize that every wasted health care dollar means that some person (perhaps even you or I) will have to go without a potentially beneficial service, many “routine” behaviors that we now take for granted suddenly will be seen in a whole new light.

Shining a bright light on nefarious activities

Imagine how a typical Gekkonian HMO will look to a public that has accepted the need to ration health care.  Will the public continue to tolerate diverting insurance premiums (dollars meant for health care) to shareholder profit, to marketing, or to multi-million dollar salaries and bonuses for executives?  Imagine how a typical set of cumbersome, expensive Clintonian regulations (the E&M guidelines discussed in Section 6, for instance) will look to a public that understands the ramifications of any requirement that reduces the productivity (and thus increases the expense) of the health care system.

Making efficiency a moral imperative

The health care system is extraordinarily complex, and in any complex system there will always be wasteful efforts and inefficient processes.  Doctors and hospitals, squeezed from all sides, have been making an effort in recent years to eliminate as much waste and inefficiency as they can.  But given all the other pressures upon them, this effort is not their top priority.

Under open rationing, however, everybody will have a major stake in reducing the number of wasted dollars spent, since those wasted dollars will now be seen as directly and personally detrimental to everybody in our society. The incentive to dig deeper to reduce waste, and the expectation that waste will be reduced, will grow exponentially.

The imperative toward efficiency would especially apply to our government. Since the amount of money available for health care under a system of open rationing would need to be balanced against all the other services provided to society, the relationship between wasteful government services and health care rationing would become immediately apparent.  Waste in the defense department, or in transportation, or in education would suddenly be seen as more than just a problem with inefficiency in that particular area – it would also be seen as reducing the amount of money available for our rationed health care. Waste in government would immediately take on new moral overtones.

Emphasizing mutual responsibilities

Under a system of open rationing, George’s health habits would be seen to impact on Sally’s for more reasons than just second-hand smoke.  People who engage in bad health habits, by voluntarily placing themselves in a position of needing more health care resources, would be reducing the resources available to others.  Of course, that’s true today (since we’re already rationing).  But under open rationing, the relationship between one’s personal habits and the effect of those habits on everyone else would immediately become clear. 

Admittedly, this “benefit” could go either way.  The community would now have an impetus to institute laws for good health habits (or disincentives for bad habits), thus encouraging the “behavior police.”  More optimistically, the realization that our personal health habits impact everyone around us would increase the sense of mutual responsibility we all, in fact, have toward one another, and encourage the strengthening of our moral code (as opposed to our legal code) of behavior.

More fairness

A system of open rationing (if designed according to the six principles listed above) would be inherently much more fair than the system we have now. Consider that under our current system, the most effective rationing measure we have is the exclusion of growing millions of Americans from the health care system, by virtue of the fact that they do not have health insurance.

This medical disenfranchisement is an artifact of the method by which Americans receive their health insurance – through their employer.  If you are between jobs, if your employer chooses not to offer insurance, or if you’re self-employed, chances are you’re not able to afford insurance.

Such a system was not planned; as we have seen, it simply evolved.  There is no a priori reason that your health insurance should be related to who you work for.  In fact, when you think about it, it’s not even a very logical way of providing insurance.

But it is well entrenched – though not because employers are inherently magnanimous, or even because of the power of labor unions.  It’s well entrenched because that’s our public policy – the federal government encourages the practice by offering huge tax breaks to employers who provide health insurance for their workers.

 What this means is that anybody who pays taxes to the government is buying health insurance for workers lucky enough to receive that insurance through their employers.  And what that means is that workers who do not receive health insurance (and who therefore are essentially shut out of the health care system) are helping to buy insurance for the rest of us who do (not to mention that they’re also buying insurance for the elderly through their Medicare payroll taxes).

That’s unfair.  Any family that is paying taxes has a moral claim to health care coverage.  The fact that we have allowed the present system to persist is a moral outrage. An inclusive system of open rationing, with everybody sharing the benefits and risks, would be infinitely more fair than the system we have now.

Refocusing our research agenda

Open rationing of health care would do two immediate things to our research agenda.  First, it would induce us to redirect research dollars to carefully studying the short term and long term outcomes we can attain with various treatments, and the cost of achieving those outcomes. Such studies, which are necessary if we are to figure out just what we’re getting for our money, are sorely lacking today. Outcome studies are vitally important in an era of health care rationing; open rationing would force us to refocus our research efforts in this direction.

Secondly, open rationing would induce the biomedical industry to take costs into much greater account when developing new or improved therapies.  Open rationing certainly will change the rules of competition within the biomedical industry. To successfully bring a new therapy to market, not only will that therapy need to be effective, but also it will (more than ever before) need to be cost-effective.  But American ingenuity in pursuit of profit is a wondrous thing to behold.  The competitive advantage afforded to a company that comes up with a cheaper way of treating a medical problem will be a powerful motivator. 

It is likely that biomedical companies have significant resources they could divert to this endeavor. Such resources might come, for instance, from the massive efforts now being expended to develop expensive “me-too” drugs. This new, more productive endeavor would promise to be much more rewarding both to the industry and to society.

More specifically, the biomedical industry would suddenly see the immense rewards that await them if they were to come up with truly effective treatments for the chronic illnesses that plague our elderly, and break our health care budget.  Finding ways to prevent stroke, Alzheimer's, osteoporosis, and other chronic debilitating illnesses will not only make the last years of our increasingly elderly population immensely happier and healthier, it will also make those years immensely cheaper. Such breakthroughs will save countless billions of dollars - which, in turn, will dramatically reduce the amount of health care rationing we actually have to do. There would be rich rewards for the companies whose research efforts achieve this end.

Encouraging benefits of "classic" managed care

Under a system of open rationing, managed care can return to its roots – applying, where appropriate, the efficiencies of standardization and continuous quality improvement to the processes of health care.  The term “managed care” has received such a black eye under its bastardization by the Gekkonians that we may need to come up with a new name for it, but its basic underlying premises are still valid.

Encouraging a more balanced view of life

This is admittedly a “soft” benefit, but it is a potentially important one.  There is nothing more discouraging than to see a 75-year-old who is struck with utter terror at the prospect of his or her own approaching death.  Aside from the fact that such a state of mind produces unreasonable demands on the health care system, it also reflects an attitude that devalues life. 

At some point in the maturing process, people are supposed to realize that death is the currency that gives worth to life.  The knowledge that some day we will die forces us to prioritize, to strive, to notice that some things are precious and others are not, and to cherish the precious and ignore the rest.  It causes us to seek to find meaning in life, to seek to make our own lives meaningful, and to respect the lives of others.  It allows us to try to avoid death as long as possible, but when death comes, to accept its inevitability and its ultimate validation of that which has gone before. And by so accepting, we show those who come after us “the secret.”

For a person, especially a person who has reached a certain age, to face death with stark existential panic is a real tragedy.  It suggests much more than the emotional discomfort of the moment.  It suggests a life that has not been lived fully. 

Such an unhealthy attitude – that there should be no limits to life, that death is ultimately unnecessary – is, of course, entirely reflective of the American myth of health care.  It is, in fact, its ultimate manifestation.  Abandoning that myth will encourage us to lead lives that are fuller, more reflective, and more valuable to us and to those we love.

Restoring the doctor-patient relationship

Perhaps the most immediate benefit afforded by a system of open health care rationing is that it will no longer be necessary for the health care system to drive a deadly wedge between doctors and patients.  Rationing decisions either will be made up front, as a matter of public policy, or the bedside with the full participation and knowledge of both the doctor and patient.  Doctors will be able – indeed, will be expected – to resume their traditional role as patient advocate.  Within the rules and constraints imposed by the rationing system, doctors will be able to advocate for the maximum benefits due to their individual patients, without any conflicting influences.  Given that such a lack of conflict was never present even under fee-for-service medicine, open rationing, in fact, may allow the doctor-patient team to achieve a “purity” it has never seen during modern times.

The four arguments against open rationing

Those who insist that open rationing can only be disastrous have used four major arguments. 

1. Rationing is unfair

This argument implies that we have a choice about whether to ration health care at all.  We don’t.  We’re rationing right now, and as I have tried to make plain, covert rationing is as unfair as it gets.  What we’ve got today is an “every man for himself” mentality, with every faction within the health care system in a mad scramble that rivals the great Oklahoma Land Rush in its desperate grab for turf.  Patients, meanwhile, are left at the starting line with nothing but empty assurances.

Open rationing, of course, also has the potential to be unfair.  But it presents us with an opportunity to devise, openly and publicly, a health care system that strives for fairness – as opposed to a secretive system of covert rationing, that systematizes unfairness.

2. We shouldn’t ration until we’ve eliminated all the waste and inefficiency

This is a typical response when the issue of health care rationing is raised. It rests, first of all, on the fallacy that eliminating waste and inefficiency would allow us to avoid rationing.  As we have seen (in Section 2), it wouldn’t. 

Further, open rationing itself will become a powerful motivator – possibly the ultimate motivator – for identifying and eliminating inefficiencies within the health care system (and also outside the health care system, since waste within all social programs will impact on the health care budget). With open rationing, in fact, we should be able to achieve a level of efficiency we could never achieve without it.

3. Open rationing means the Clintonians will win in the end

It may seem as if our discussion so far has implied that a single-payer, government-run (i.e., Clintonian) rationing plan will be the only viable option for developing a system of open rationing.  Fortunately, this is not the case.

Indeed, according to Principle 3, an optimal rationing plan will minimize the amount of rationing that must be “imposed” by third-party bureaucrats, and instead will maximize the amount of rationing done “voluntarily,” by the patients who are directly affected by rationing decisions.  Such a system of open rationing can be founded on changes in governmental policies that eliminate the bizarre incentives that exist today, that empower individuals and provide them with incentives to consider for themselves the cost/benefit ratio of optional medical services, and that encourage the health insurance industry to provide new, fairer and more efficient products.  The details of how this can be accomplished is discussed in the Appendix.  Suffice to say here that open rationing does not have to represent an ultimate victory for the Clintonian school, and indeed, if we adhere to Principle 3, it cannot. 

4. Open rationing will be too disruptive to society

It’s difficult to make a definitive statement refuting this one.  There is no doubt that any debate on how to do open rationing will be painful and difficult.  And any process that requires abandoning basic premises (such as the American health care myth) tends to be disruptive.

But the choice here is not between open rationing and no rationing at all.  It’s between open rationing and the covert rationing we’re already doing.  We’ve seen how covert rationing does many things that are destructive to us as a society and as individuals.  It is difficult to visualize any way in which covert rationing can be made significantly less so.

Open rationing, on the other hand, at least has the potential of becoming a force for good.  It is inherently honest instead of inherently dishonest.  It openly acknowledges a limitation that truly exists, and places trust in our citizens to find a way of dealing with that limitation fairly and equitably. Accomplishing a just system of open rationing will require us to acknowledge our duty to one another.  It will require us to reaffirm the importance of the individual, but at the same time to acknowledge that our own freedoms, rights and well-being are interconnected and dependent on the freedoms, rights and well-being of the other individuals in our society.  It will require us to re-articulate our basic principles and to re-establish communal priorities.

Goaded on by the reality of having to acknowledge rationing, we may even find that we can actually improve the level of health within our society. Open rationing will require us to enfranchise those who are now disenfranchised from the health care system.  It will require us to work together to assure that the money we have available to spend is, to the fullest extent possible, used to deliver effective and efficient medical services to patients who need them.  With single-minded efforts to this end, we may even find that beneficial health care services will actually not be restricted nearly as much as we may think.  By acknowledging rationing, we will actually be able to minimize rationing.  If we can figure out how to do it well, open rationing may lead us to become a stronger people, and a healthier people, than we are today.

Designing a system for rationing - where to start?

Designing a system for openly rationing our health care will be difficult. By definition, rationing requires us to deny beneficial medical therapy to some individuals.  So right up front, open rationing forces us to create “winners and losers.”  Of course, covert rationing also creates winners and losers, but by not noticing the rationing we also afford ourselves the luxury of not having to notice the losers.  (That, of course, is what makes covert rationing “less disruptive.”)  With open rationing, on the other hand, we will not only have to recognize the losers, but we will also have to explicitly decide on the process that selects them.  There’s no way we can reduce this to an easy and painless operation.

In fact, it sounds so awful that we ought to remind ourselves right now what we are trying to accomplish with open rationing.  In addition to eliminating the sins of covert rationing that we have discussed at length, we hope to achieve, to the furthest extent possible, a fair distribution of health care resources and a maximization of the overall health benefit our money can buy.

Thus, our primary concern in designing a plan for open rationing should be to distribute our health care resources fairly, while at the same time optimizing the benefits we achieve with those resources.  Previously, we listed six basic principles that, we asserted, ought to be followed in achieving this goal.  We should now take a closer look at those principles.  Most of them are debatable, at least to some extent.  But while ultimately we may chose not to adopt one or more of these principles as we present them here, we need at least to consider each of them explicitly before any methodology for open rationing becomes feasible.

Six Guiding principles for a system of open rationing

Principle 1: The goals of health care (and therefore the scope of services that society expects from the health care system) are clearly spelled out.

Principle 2: The amount of money that society spends on health care is decided upon in an open process that prioritizes health care services in relation to all other essential public services.

Principle 3: As many rationing decisions as possible are left to the patients who are directly affected by those decisions.

Principle 4: Coverage for essential health care services is universal to all Americans. 

Principle 5: The rules for rationing are determined through an open, public process, and are made as explicit and as clear as possible.

Principle 6: Prioritizing health care services for inclusion in the universal health plan is done according to clearly articulated ethical standards.

Principle 1 – We need to define clearly the purpose of “health care.”

Until now, our American health care myth (i.e., that there are no limits) has made it unnecessary for us to agree on a definition of the purpose of health care.  But as soon as we admit that there are limits to what we can spend, it suddenly becomes important to define such a purpose very clearly.  We will need it in order to decide on the range of activities that our limited health care dollar will have to cover.

I will approach this problem by proposing what I believe to be a reasonable definition of the purpose of health care, then considering the implications of this definition as it relates to rationing.

The purpose of health care is a) to maintain or restore health when possible, and b) to optimize functional capacity and compensate for restrictions in the face of disease or disability that cannot be cured or prevented.

What this definition does

This definition implies that the overriding goals of health care are to prevent and treat disease, and to provide individuals who cannot be rendered disease-free or disability-free with the optimal opportunity to enjoy the fruits of life.  It charges “health care” with a public health task (searching for ways to prevent and treat diseases that afflict humans), and with an individual health task (to optimize the health and functional status of individuals, whether or not they have diseases that can be “cured.”)

What this definition does not do

This definition would be considered subversive by some, for it removes from the province of health care certain activities that many would want to include.  For instance, it does not require doctors to prolong life as long as possible, whatever the cost in dollars or in suffering.  It does not charge health care with the task of altering the normal progression of life (e.g., halting the aging process). It does not charge health care with seeking out or administering treatments that enhance the lives of people in the absence of disease or disability (e.g., face-lift surgery or hair transplants). And under this definition, health care would not be expected to compensate individuals for certain social ills, such as poverty.  This definition acknowledges limits in what health care can do, and in what it should be expected to do.

Many would like to see a broader definition of the goals of medicine that might include all these things and more.  For instance, many would propose a definition that includes the imperative to provide individuals with complete physical, mental, and social well-being. 

Such an inclusive definition actively encourages the growing phenomenon of the “medicalization of society,” whereby various ills not traditionally considered diseases are being redefined as such. Medicalization presents a real difficulty for us in the context of rationing. For instance, shyness might be considered (and is, by some) an illness that reduces a person’s capacity for complete social well-being.  But do we really want people with cancer to have to compete with the shy for health care resources? (Not that the shy are all that competitive.)

If we must ration health care, in my opinion we ought to try to limit the scope of health care to real, honest-to-goodness diseases and disabilities, and resist including the growing list of “boutique” illnesses our society has been creating lately.

You may or may not agree on this issue, and I respect your opinion either way.  The point is, before we can even begin devising a fair and equitable system for open rationing, we have to establish a clear definition of the scope of health care, whether restricted or expansive.

Principle 2 – There should be open competition for resources between “health care services” and all the other services society must provide.

Having defined the goals of health care, we now need to prioritize those goals in relation to all the other services society is expected to provide its people.  These include, among others, national defense, the interstate highway system, education, the criminal justice system, and garbage collection.  For those who tend to think in terms of the American health care myth, it can be difficult to regard health care as having to compete with the B1 bomber for our limited public resources.  Yet, that is exactly the way it is, and optimal rationing requires us to recognize it.

Prioritizing services should be accomplished through an open budgetary process, in which dollars allotted to health care are considered in relation to all other necessary expenditures.  We can always increase health care “benefits” by allotting more dollars to health care, but only at the expense, for instance, of increasing the class sizes in elementary schools.  Having to consciously make such trade-offs will cause us to reevaluate all our priorities. It will also, as we have noted, powerfully incent us to reduce waste across all public services.

Principle 3 – To the greatest extent possible, rationing decisions should be left to the patients who are directly affected by those decisions.

Rationing decisions will be inherently more fair, and inherently more acceptable, if they are made by patients themselves instead of imposed by a distant bureaucracy. 

As we have seen, “traditional” post-World-War-II American health care insulated both doctors and patients from the cost of their health care decisions.  Thus, there was no incentive whatsoever for patients to forego the most expensive testing or the very newest therapy available, whatever the cost, and no matter how little the expected marginal benefit. 

A system of open rationing should remedy this “disconnect” by incenting patients to take the cost of medical services into account when making health care decisions.  The more cost-efficient the decisions patients make, the less rationing will have to be forced by a third party.

One way to provide such incentives would be to integrate Medical Savings Accounts (MSAs) into our rationing system.  MSAs provide a strong incentive for individuals to reduce nonessential health care spending, and will thus reduce the overall level of imposed rationing we will have to do.

Under MSA plans, subscribers (or their employers or the government) pay premiums for a health insurance policy that carries a high deductible amount (several thousand dollars), and that is therefore relatively cheap.  The money that is saved on insurance premiums is deposited (either by the individual, the employer, or the government) to each subscriber’s Medical Savings Account (deposits to which would be tax-deductible).

An employer who today spends $5000 per year on health insurance for a worker might, under an MSA plan, spend only $2000 to buy the worker a catastrophic insurance policy with a deductible of $3000.  The money the employer has saved by buying cheaper insurance (i.e., the extra $3000) would be deposited into the worker’s individual MSA.  The worker would then use the money in his MSA to pay for his own non-catastrophic health care needs; in other words, he would pay any bills falling under the $3000 deductible of his policy.  If he spent less than $3000 for the year, the money he did not spend would accumulate in his MSA.  And, after his MSA grows to a certain amount, the money would become his.  He could then withdraw some of the MSA money to use as personal income, for instance, or to deposit into an IRA.

Because patients would have to pay out of their own accounts for any non-catastrophic care they received (and because they would get to keep the money they did not spend), they would have a strong incentive for demanding efficient care, and would have a real incentive not to insist on care that wasn’t truly necessary.  Thus, MSAs would eliminate the disconnect that exists today between the health care that people demand, and paying for that care.  MSAs would restore to the health care system many of the checks and balances of the normal marketplace, and erode the notion that health care is free and limitless.  In so doing, MSAs would reduce society’s overall health care expenditures.  They would render much of the rationing we have to do “rationing by individual choice,” and thereby would reduce the amount of externally-imposed rationing that would be necessary.

Later we will see how MSAs might be integrated into a system of open health care rationing.

Principle 4 – Coverage for essential health care services is universal.

This is more than just a matter of fairness (though it is that).  All citizens, and all tax-paying non-citizens, have the right to be included in our new health care system. The reasons for this should be clear by now.  First, all taxpayers support the health care system with their dollars, and deserve to participate in it.  Second, under open rationing the limitations that the health care system imposes on all other public services, as we have just seen, become quite explicit.  All citizens have to live with those now-obvious broader limitations, and so they clearly deserve to participate in the health care system that produces those limitations.

Furthermore, all citizens (even the rich – and even Congressmen!) should be required to participate in our system of rationing. Only by including the rich and influential will the rationing system be designed with the care and consideration it deserves. 

This is not to say, however, that we should prevent the rich from purchasing health care services outside the rationing system.  We should not; any system we devise simply will not work if we artificially restrain people of means from exercising their fiscal freedom.  However, we can mitigate any disruption that might be caused by such a freedom. First, we can strive to assure that truly “essential” services will be included in the rationing program, so, to the furthest possible extent, those who choose to go outside the system will be doing so for services that really are “non-essential.”  If it appears that the rich are, in fact, receiving essential health care by going outside the system, that fact would be an incentive to increase the priority of those services within the rationing system, or to increase the health care budget to allow coverage of those services. In this way, the rich can function as volunteers for “testing” the efficacy of services that society has deemed “borderline.”  Second, we would be entirely within our rights to charge individuals a stiff “external care tax” whenever they choose to go outside the rationing system.  The dollars thus collected could be added to the health care budget, and used to expand the services available for everyone else.  This tax would provide a disincentive for individuals to go outside of the system (so while they are not forbidden, they also will not be particularly anxious to do so). Such a disincentive should keep everyone, including the rich and influential, interested in assuring that truly “essential” health care services are covered under the rationing program. 

Principle 5 – The rules for rationing should be decided upon in an open, public forum, and should be as explicit and as clear as possible.

Decisions on the rules of rationing health care should be made from the perspective of patients (that is, of the public), not of experts.  Experts of every stripe will be inherently conflicted. Health care economists will be conflicted in wanting to sacrifice fairness in favor of maximizing good (more on this below).  Medical experts will be conflicted in wanting to include whatever services and procedures they perform for a living.  Policy makers will be conflicted in wanting to include services they can easily regulate. And who knows what the ethicists will want to do?

Only the public has the right to make these determinations.  This right derives from two facts.  First, they are paying for the services (through insurance premiums and tax dollars).  Second, they are the ones who will have to live with the results.

Thus, whatever rationing methodologies are to be used, they will have to be open, widely discussed, and based on a broad consensus.

Principle 6 – Prioritizing health care services should be done according to clearly articulated ethical standards.

The open rationing of health care must be grounded in ethics, since, if we were not primarily concerned with maintaining our fundamental ethical principles, we might as well let the “every man for himself” milieu of covert rationing persist.  So it is important to clearly articulate the ethical precepts we will strive to adhere to as we do the actual “dirty work” of rationing – that is, as we prioritize services to determine what will be covered and not covered.

The problem is, rationing itself creates ethical dilemmas.  Specifically, as we consider how to ration ethically, ethical precepts, instead of giving us clear guidance as to how to go about prioritizing health care services, create conflict.  When we articulate our ethical standards for rationing, then, we are going to have to make some difficult decisions.  These ethical decisions will be the most difficult step we’ll have in devising a system for rationing, and potentially will be the strongest determinant of our success or failure. We should therefore consider them in some detail.

Fundamental ethical precepts

There are three basic ethical precepts that are supposed to guide the activities of health care professionals: individual autonomy, beneficence, and distributive justice.

Individual autonomy we have discussed at length.  The right of self-determination is not only an important principle of medical ethics, but also is the founding principle of our culture.  But autonomy has its limits.  When a patient demands that “everything be done,” for instance, he is exceeding the bounds of autonomy if doing everything means that some other individuals would be deprived of what otherwise would be rightfully theirs.  Hence, the principle of autonomy itself does not negate the legitimacy of rationing, as some have claimed.  This principle merely indicates that, within a system of rationing and bound by the limits of that system, individuals have a right to self-determination.

Beneficence is the precept that requires health care professionals to assure that their activities provide benefit for patients.  In terms of rationing, beneficence implies that rationing ought to be done in such a way as to maximize the good (i.e., the total public good) that can be achieved from the limited health care resources available.

Distributive justice is the precept that requires the benefits of health care to be distributed fairly, that is, in such a way as not to discriminate against individuals or groups based on who they are.  Distributive justice implies that under rationing, all individuals ought to have equal opportunities to receive medical services, and that such opportunities should not be withheld on the grounds of race, ethnic group, gender, or any other feature that could be used to create a unique category of individuals.

Assuring fairness v. maximizing good

The first thing we need to recognize is that the rationing of health care immediately presents us with a difficult ethical dilemma.  (Ethical dilemmas occur when two or more ethical precepts appear to be in conflict.)  In the case of rationing, the conflicting precepts are those of beneficence and distributive justice.

If we have to ration health care, we want the rationing process to do two things.  We want it to be fair (i.e., we want to adhere to the precept of distributive justice), and we want it to yield the maximum amount of health care benefit for the dollar (i.e., we want to adhere to the precept of beneficence.)  Unfortunately, maximizing these two goals is mutually exclusive.

To see why, consider the following illustration.  Two men, both age 50, are diagnosed with the same rare form of cancer.  We have the means to cure this form of cancer, but unfortunately, we can only afford to treat one of the two men.  The first man is otherwise healthy and if cured can be expected to recover fully. The second is bedridden with severe multiple sclerosis, and if cured of cancer will still be severely disabled and will almost certainly have a reduced life expectancy due to that disability. Which man do we treat?

Some would say that, obviously, we should treat the man who is otherwise healthy, since we would be buying him a high-quality life of substantial duration. This would clearly maximize the good we achieve with our money.

Others would point out that the second man (the one with MS) wants to live just as badly as the first man, and that withholding therapy from him just because of his MS is unfair.  It is unfair because it would be exposing him to double jeopardy (first jeopardy – he was afflicted with MS; second jeopardy – his MS precludes his receiving cancer therapy). And it is unfair because discriminating against people with MS is, a priori, a violation of the principle of distributive justice.  Fairness dictates that all individuals should have an equal claim to the benefits of therapy.

How we decide to distribute our resources in this case (and in every case) depends on how we prioritize these two conflicting ethical principles.  Say we were determined to completely maximize fairness.  The only way to do this would be to withhold therapy from both men (since this would be the only option that would “equalize” the results). But then they would both die, and our method of distribution would reduce the good we’ve achieved to zero.  On the other hand, if we decided to maximize beneficence we would obviously treat the otherwise healthy man; but choosing to do this (since we would be removing the patient with MS from all consideration) would reduce fairness to zero. 

Or, we may decide to choose which man to treat by lottery (perhaps even a weighted lottery, giving the man who is otherwise healthy a higher probability of being chosen, in proportion to his better quality of life.) This would split the difference between maximizing fairness and maximizing good. But we would need to understand that, spread out over a large population, this solution (while preserving a degree of fairness) would significantly reduce the overall good we would be able to achieve with our health care dollars.

No matter what we do, then, we cannot both maximize good and maximize fairness.  We’ve got to choose between them.

The individual vs. society.  The essential dichotomy between maximizing fairness and maximizing good perfectly reflects the conflict we’ve touched upon many times in this book – that between the individual and society.  To emphasize fairness is to emphasize the essential worth (i.e., the essential equality) of individuals.  To emphasize the overall public good is to emphasize the claims of society.  The conflict arises because the claims of both the individual and of society cannot be absolute.  Somehow, we need to strike a balance.

In any case, it should be apparent that the basic ethical dilemma inherent in devising a rationing scheme is more than just of theoretical importance.  How we deal with our choice of fairness vs. good will go a long way in determining whether open rationing ends up being a significant improvement in what we have now, or whether it ends up as badly as many fear it might.

An argument for giving primacy to fairness

While we certainly ought to try to get as much bang from our health care buck as possible, we should not do so the expense of sacrificing distributive justice. In rationing health care we should strenuously avoid discrimination against individuals or groups by virtue of (in addition to the traditional discriminatory factors of race, gender, nationality, etc.) their genetic makeup, or diseases and disabilities imposed on them by nature.

Why should assuring fairness predominate over maximizing good?  Because once we set the precedent of assigning comparative values to human lives based on disease or disability, it will be difficult to turn back but easy to advance.  Especially since the stakes are high, the temptation will always be to expand the categories of individuals whose lives are judged to be relatively valueless. We should not assume that we will be significantly more resistant to such behavior than other advanced cultures have proven to be in the recent past.

On the other hand, if we limit good in the name of fairness, we can always come back later (when new data is available, when new treatments are available, when new efficiencies arise, or when budgetary constraints are eased) to expand the list of covered services, and thus expand the good.

Since withheld “good” can be returned whereas “fairness,” once gone, is extraordinarily difficult to regain, the precept of fairness should take precedence.  We should try to optimize the benefits our health care system provides to society, but only within the constraints imposed by our belief in the primacy of the individual.

The FCEO standard

We would like to propose, in light of the foregoing, an ethical standard upon which to base our rationing decisions.  We will call it the Fair Chance, Equal Opportunity (FCEO) standard:

All individuals should have a fair chance for an equal opportunity to enjoy the fruits of life, within the constraints imposed on them by nature.

This proposed ethical standard is a reformulation of the principle of distributive justice, dressed up for the purposes of rationing.  It is designed to allow us to optimize the good we obtain for our health care dollar, but only within the constraints of fairness.

Thus, while we ought to let “fairness” (i.e., the needs of the individual) predominate, we also ought to constrain it to allow society to accrue an optimal amount of good.  The FCEO standard constrains the individual’s claims on society in the following ways.

It acknowledges that the principle of fairness does not require equivalent outcomes (i.e., equivalent enjoyment of the fruits of life) among individuals.  It strives only to gain for individuals an equal opportunity for those good outcomes.

Further, it recognizes that not even an equal opportunity is possible among all people.  Opportunities are limited by the vagaries of nature.  A boy born with a shriveled arm does not have the same opportunity to become a major league pitcher as a boy born with two normal arms. If the one-armed boy decides to become a pitcher, we can encourage him and cheer him on, and if he succeeds we can rejoice with him. But we are not obligated to change the rules of baseball to accommodate him, nor are we obligated to divert whatever health care resources we must to provide him with sufficient physical compensation to allow him to compete effectively. Similarly, there will be circumstances where a person’s illness or disability will significantly reduce their opportunity to respond to a therapy.  Society is not obligated to spend whatever it must to provide them with such a therapy.

Finally, equal opportunities are limited by chance.  A person born in Watts certainly doesn’t have the same opportunities in life as a person born in Brentwood.  But society is not obligated to move the child from Watts into Brentwood, or the child from Brentwood into Watts in order to provide equal opportunity.  What society is obligated to do is to offer a fair chance (not an equal chance) at an opportunity to enjoy the fruits of life. Thus, for instance, society is obligated to assure that both children have access to a reasonable public education.

In summary, under this formulation of distributive justice, a system of health care rationing is not obligated to assure that all individuals have equivalent outcomes, or even that they have equivalent opportunities, but merely that they have a fair chance at equivalent opportunities within the constraints imposed on them by nature.  In rationing under the FCEO standard, then, the distribution of resources would not be based on either attempting to maximize the overall good produced to society, or attempting to equalize outcomes among all individuals.  Instead, it would be based on attempting to attain a reasonable equalization of opportunity for individuals.

Thus, while we should aim to optimize the opportunities of those who are burdened by disease or disability, we are not obligated to strive to return them to “normalcy” at any cost.  On the other hand, the presence of a disease or disability does not diminish in any way their claim to a fair chance at an equal opportunity to optimize their enjoyment of life, within the constraints of that disease or disability.

The FCEO standard would imply, for instance, that if we were able to restore eyesight to a blind woman, but only at a cost equivalent of performing coronary artery bypass grafting on twenty others, we are not obligated to do so.  We are only obligated to consider it fairly, as we would any other medical procedure.

The FCEO standard does not make the problem of maximizing fairness vs. maximizing good go away, but it changes the question.  Instead of saying, “Saving which of these two individuals will be better for maximizing overall good,” we will be saying, “Given these two equally worthy individuals, how can we best achieve a fair optimization of opportunity?”

Some implications of the FCEO standard

The FCEO standard would also present us with other opportunities, admittedly controversial, to optimize beneficence without compromising fairness. 

For instance, we may decide that patients whose diseases or disabilities are self-induced have a less compelling claim to health care resources than those whose illnesses are caused by “nature.”  Patients who choose to smoke, for instance, choose an action that predictably will require expensive medical care, thus potentially causing other patients who chose not to smoke to forego beneficial care. It would not be unethical, therefore (nor a violation of the FCEO standard) to ask smokers to sacrifice a degree of their priority for medical care.  Such a provision, if chosen, to be fair would have to be enacted prospectively – that is, we may choose to apply it, say, only to smokers born since 1985, so they would most likely have plenty of time to “unchoose” smoking before they developed smoking-related illnesses.

Even more controversial, but still consistent with this principle, would be to use age as a factor in determining priority for health care resources.

The use of age as a rationing parameter has been widely debated among ethicists. Most who argue for it base their arguments on the principle of maximizing public good. The duration of benefit of a life-saving procedure, they would say, would be greater in a younger patient than in an older patient (since saving the life of a 70 year old might “buy” only 10 years of additional life, whereas saving the life of a 20 year old might buy 60 years of life at the same cost.)  This reasoning, clearly, is in violation of the FCEO standard.  It also opens up the slippery slope argument – if you can devalue the elderly in the name of maximizing good, then you can devalue the handicapped, the chronically ill, and virtually any other group you can think of in order to maximize public good.

Yet, the FCEO standard still allows a rationing system to prioritize according to age.  Under this standard, saving the life of a 20 year old might take precedence over saving the life of a 70 year old not to increase overall good, but simply because the younger person has had relatively little opportunity to enjoy the fruits of life - an opportunity we should strive to optimize.  By giving priority to the younger person, we come closer to achieving a “fair chance for an equal opportunity” between these individuals than if we had given priority to the elder.

Further, the “discrimination objection” to age-based rationing does not hold here, because under the FCEO standard, every individual should have a fair chance at an equal opportunity to enjoy the fruits of life, and the 70 year old has already had 50 more years of opportunity than the 20 year old.  Nor does the slippery slope argument hold. That argument, you will recall, says that if we differentiate between individuals based on age, we can differentiate based on anything we choose. But under the FCEO standard, rationing by age does not, in fact, differentiate among individuals at all. What it does do is attempt to equalize opportunities between individuals over the course of their lives.  Thus, each individual, during the course of their lives, will at some point enjoy the priority of the young, and (if they are lucky) also the priority of the old.  Unless early death ensues, every individual over the long term will share the same distribution of age-related risk. 

We are not saying here that we must use age as a factor in determining rationing priority, or even that we should.  While my own belief is that optimizing “fairness” implies taking age into account when rationing health care, we are merely arguing here that we could use age as a factor if we chose without violating the principle of distributive justice as formulated under the FCEO standard – and without starting down a slippery slope.  The Appendix shows how the FCEO standard can be used in calculating priorities for health care services.

A possible rationing scheme:

A system of open health care rationing based on these six principles might take one of several forms.  This figure shows one possible rationing scheme that takes into account all of the features we have discussed so far.  A brief outline of this scheme, for illustrative purposes, will suffice for now.  A more detailed treatment of such a plan, and how it might be developed without provoking street riots, will be presented in the Appendix. 

The hallmark of this illustrative rationing system is that it is tiered, and the tiers are established according to cost-effectiveness scores of the medical services provided.  Every individual will be covered for health care services lying within the first two tiers of this system; coverage within the third tier is optional. 

Under such a plan, Tier 1 therapy is provided through a Medical Savings Account (MSA), which will be established for every individual.  The first several thousand dollars of a person’s yearly health care expenses ($3000 in this example) will be paid for from her MSA.  If a person spends less than $3000 on her health care in a given year, the money remaining in the MSA will accumulate, and the amount remaining at age 65 will be treated as an Individual Retirement Account (IRA). 

Once an individual’s health care expenses during a given year exceed Tier 1, the Universal Basic Health Plan kicks in to provide coverage of expenses within the Tier 2. The Universal Basic Health Plan will cover every health care service that has a sufficiently favorable cost-effectiveness score.  (In the example shown, all health care services will be ranked according to the gain in Quality Adjusted Life Years [QALY] they provide.  Tier 2 will provide all services that cost less than $50,000 per QALY.  QALYs and how they can be measured are discussed in detail in the Appendix.) 

Finally, individuals may choose to buy optional, additional health insurance that would cover health care services in Tier 3.  Such optional insurance would be privately administered and competitively priced, based on the QALY scores that are covered under the policy.  Thus, as shown in the figure, Optional Health Insurance Plan A would cover health care services costing up to $70,000/ QALY; whereas Optional Health Insurance Plan B would take the coverage up to $90,000/ QALY.  The premiums for these optional health insurance plans would include an “affluence surcharge,” which could be used to help fund (or to expand) the Universal Basic Health Plan for the less wealthy.

 

Such a scheme would a) provide universal coverage, b) include both private and public sectors in its administration, c) minimize the cost of insurance premiums, d) give individuals control over as much of the rationing as possible, and e) minimize externally applied rationing. 

Deciding on the basic principles for a scheme of open health care rationing is the most important, and possibly the most difficult, step.  Without explicitly considering each of the six principles discussed in this chapter, any attempt at developing an open rationing plan would dissolve almost immediately into chaos.  On the other hand, armed with these principles – fully considered and widely agreed upon – an equitable and civil system for openly rationing health care becomes eminently possible.  In the Appendix, I consider in more detail just how these principles might be used to forge a workable methodology for open rationing,

For now, however, we have a more important question to address.  Namely, even if you and I (and perhaps a few others) are now willing to explore the notion of openly rationing health care, just how are we to engage the rest of our society – the huge majority still paralyzed by the American health care myth – in such a discussion?  This is perhaps the most intractable issue of all, and it is the one we will take up now.

So where do we stand?

Let’s say that, after reading this far, you’re willing at least to consider the notion of openly rationing health care.  Of course, that even if this were the case, it wouldn’t necessarily mean you’re completely convinced that a fair and workable system for open rationing is possible, or even desirable.  More likely, it would merely indicate that you realize how truly destructive covert rationing – the only other alternative – really is.

We’ve taken a long look at how it’s destructive. We’ve seen how, in attempting to avoid openly addressing the need to ration, we’ve placed our health care in the gentle hands of the Gekkonians, thus changing the driving mission of our health care system from “doing good” to “making profit.”  All of the seemingly counterintuitive and counterproductive behaviors of modern HMOs make eminent sense when viewed in light of their true mission. Covert rationing has caused us to bend health care to the needs of the market, instead of the other way around.

We’ve seen how covert rationing has lent itself to the natural inclinations of the Clintonians as they attempt to gain control of the health care system through stifling regulations.  Our determination not to notice the rationing permits them much latitude.  The result, among other things, is their rapidly expanding use of the Regulatory Speed Trap to distract and intimidate the health care workers who decide how our health care dollars are spent.

We’ve seen how covert rationing is causing us to start down the dangerous road of assigning value to human life, ironically under the banner of “autonomy.”

Thus, we’ve seen how covert rationing is undermining the basic precepts of our society.

We’ve seen something else, too.  We’ve seen how covert rationing is placing each of us and our loved ones in imminent danger, any time we get sick.  For when we do get sick, every aspect of the health care system we rely upon to make us well is concerned only with not having to spend too much money on us.

To some extent, of course, a deep concern about spending is to be expected – and, it is necessary.  We want the regulators to be concerned about maximizing the benefits of health care for society.  We want HMOs to be concerned about maximizing benefits for their subscribers.  We want everybody to be concerned about spending our limited resources wisely.

What we don’t want is for our doctors – as they sit at our bedside and make decisions about our health – to be primarily concerned about the needs of society, or about their continued ability to earn a living if they spend too much.  We want them to be primarily concerned about our needs. Just like the citizen accused of a felony, we need that highly trained professional who takes up our cause, and jealously protects our rights and welfare in the face of all opposition. For, as long as our doctors fail to assume their traditional roles as our personal advocates, we will be completely at the mercy of a vast and complex health care system that is geared primarily toward saving (or making) money. Thus, the deterioration of the doctor-patient relationship occurs only at our own immediate peril.

It should be clear by now that the destruction of this relationship is not merely one of the many unfortunate side effects of covert rationing.  In fact, it is not a side effect at all – it is absolutely central to the process.  Covert rationing, by all its mechanisms, operates primarily by separating and marginalizing patients and doctors within the health care system.

What needs to happen

So, let’s say we’re ready to support a general public debate on the open rationing of health care.  How do we get such a discussion started?

Any movement toward open rationing certainly won’t be initiated through the political process.  A politician would probably be in less trouble for standing up at an AARP convention and endorsing Social Security cuts than he would be for speaking out publicly about rationing health care. The process of changing the health care system, of course, will have to be largely political. But before politicians will ever initiate or even permit such a process, they will have to understand, on no uncertain terms, that change is necessary, desired, and demanded by the people. Politicians won’t lead us there.  They won’t even be led there until they know it is safe. 

Nor will a public discussion on open rationing be initiated through the market forces.  As long as the Gekkonians are making money running health care, there is no reason for them to push for some other system.  And when they stop making money, they’ll just get out of the business.

The medical profession won’t be able to get things started, either.  I am convinced that most doctors, deep down, understand fully that we’re rationing our health care, and that the way we’re doing it is wrong.  Many doctors are greatly disturbed by this, and would be quite ready for a radical change in the health care system that restored a measure of equity and sanity.  But doctors have been systematically marginalized within the health care system, and today have little authority on policy matters.  Worse, by virtue of the fact that they actively participated in driving up the costs of health care over the past several decades (by adopting and encouraging the use of expensive therapies and technologies without insisting on reasonable scientific rigor, helping to create unreasonable expectations on the part of patients and society, and, in many cases, engaging in extravagant, ostentatious, out-and-out profiteering), they have lost much of their vaunted moral authority.  When doctors complain today about the state of the health care system, their motives, understandably, are highly suspect.  Just whose welfare are they concerned about, anyway?

Ultimately, any real impetus to change the health care system can come from only one place – from patients, that is, from the public. Only the public has the real power to demand change.  The public is paying for the whole show (and the government and the employers that normally get the “credit” for paying for health care merely serve as agents for passing along the public’s money).  And it’s not only the public’s money, but also the public’s health that is at stake.  So, while patients have been systematically marginalized just like doctors, they have retained both the fiscal and the moral authority to demand change.

If the public should ever begin really clamoring for change, their power would be utterly irresistible.

How can such a public passion be engaged?  How can we even begin to bring “the public” around to any sort of consensus on health care?  What will cause the public to demand the sort of open discussion we really need – a discussion that genuinely addresses the real problems of the health care system, and what we should do about those problems?

There is probably only one way to begin to accomplish this. First, the public needs to be made aware of what already has been lost.  And then, once aware, they will need to demand the return of what is traditionally, legally, morally and rightfully theirs – they will need to demand that their doctors be allowed to return to acting primarily as their advocates.

That demand, if firm enough and persistent enough, will bring the entire house of cards crashing down.  Covert rationing relies utterly on rationing at the bedside, and simply will not be able to survive a restored doctor-patient relationship. And if covert rationing falters, then we will have no choice but to finally, openly and explicitly decide how we really ought to ration our health care. That all follows naturally.

Firmly demanding restoration of the doctor-patient relationship is all it will take.

So the answer, in concept, is really quite simple. Patients and doctors will have to forge a new pact with one another, a pact based in mutual need and mutual trust – like allies fighting a deadly mutual enemy. Patients will need to insist that doctors act primarily as their advocates, guarding their personal rights and welfare to the best of their abilities, within the bounds set by society.  They will need to demonstrate their willingness to protect the medical profession’s advocacy role from external attack, whether from Gekkonians or Clintonians.  And doctors, in return, will need to agree to return to their primary role as their patients’ advocates, leaving all other professional concerns to only secondary importance.  These secondary concerns include income, job security, and prestige.  

Both doctors and patients will have to embrace anew the sanctity of the doctor-patient relationship, and place it at the center of all health care.  And any earthly power that tries to drive a wedge between them will have to understand it will have hell to pay.

It should be clear that such a new pact between doctors and patients does not have to (nor will it) arise from civic-mindedness, moral outrage, or a belief that openly rationing health care is the right thing to do. The new pact, if it occurs, will arise out of a very primitive (and very reliable) instinct – the instinct for self-preservation.  For without such a pact, the rights and welfare of each of us as patients, and the very survival of medicine as a profession, are doomed.

So, if I'm right, all that needs to be done is to get the message out: The doctor-patient relationship is being systematically destroyed, and if it is destroyed, each of us individuals is in big trouble.

To get that message out, I have a modest proposal.

Personal Health Care Advocates

My proposal is this.

A cadre of doctors from around the country needs to quit the practice of medicine in order to establish a new profession, the profession of Personal Health Care Advocates. 

Personal Health Care Advocates (PHCA) will fill the advocacy vacuum that now exists within the health care system.  They will provide individuals with an opportunity to retain their own personal advocates – professionals who work for them, and who place their interests above all others – on matters related to their health care, just as they might retain an attorney on legal matters. 

In fact, based on the premise that patients have just as much right to a strong advocate as do accused felons, PHCAs will model themselves not after the medical profession, but after the legal profession. 

Accordingly, PHCAs will not practice medicine.  Instead, they will practice medical advocacy, doing whatever is necessary to guard the rights and welfare of their clients in all their interactions with a hostile health care system. 

How PHCAs would work

Before we consider the specific services that PHCAs might offer, or even why successful physicians might be willing to quit a steady-paying job to embark on such a venture, let’s speculate on a possible mission statement, and a potential code of ethics, for this new profession.

Personal Health Care Advocates – A Suggested Mission Statement

Personal health care advocates will perform the same service within the health care system that attorneys perform within the legal system. We will be our clients’ advocates and advisors, assuring that a dedicated and knowledgeable professional is representing them, protecting them, and advancing their rights and welfare within the health care system.  We will accomplish this by: a) assisting our clients in choosing, understanding, and interacting with their health insurance providers; b) educating and “coaching” our clients to become more effective health care consumers; and c) at the discretion of our clients, monitoring the decisions of and negotiating directly with health care providers on their behalf.  Our relationships with our clients will be built on trust; we will hold their confidences in private, will assiduously avoid conflicts of interest, and will work directly for them, and for no one else.

Personal Health Care Advocates – A Suggested Ethical Code

1.   We will always work to protect the rights and welfare of our clients within the health care system

2.  When engaged as PHCAs, we do not practice medicine, nor do we represent ourselves as practicing medicine.

3.  We will avoid actual or apparent conflicts of interest; as PHCAs our clients are our only professional interest.

4.  We will keep the content of all interactions with our clients strictly confidential.

5.  We will work to see that our clients are fully informed at to their medical options, and that they are offered all medical services that are reasonably likely to benefit them.

6.  We will not encourage false or miniscule hopes, nor nurture unreasonable demands, nor engage in deception on our client’s behalf.  We will not work to gain medical services for our clients that are highly unlikely to benefit them.

7.  Our purpose is to strengthen, not weaken, our clients’ relationship with their physicians. We will always aim work with our client’s physicians, instead of against them, in assuring that our clients’ best interests are fully protected. 

8.   We will charge rates that are within the grasp of the average working family, and will strive to make our services available to those who cannot afford to pay.

This mission statement and code of ethics establish several things. They establish that PHCAs do not practice medicine, but instead serve in an advisory and advocacy role aimed solely at protecting the rights and welfare of their clients. They establish that PHCAs will model themselves after lawyers, rather than doctors. (Note: “Client” is used instead of “patient,” both to reinforce the “attorney-client” paradigm, and specifically to reinforce the notion that PHCAs do not practice medicine.)  They establish a fiduciary relationship between the PHCA and the client, assuring that the PHCA will always act with the client’s best interests in mind.

What services will PHCA's provide?

The potential services of PHCAs can be divided into at least three categories.

Category 1 Services – Dealing with HMOs and insurance companies.

We have seen how HMOs systematically make it difficult for patients who need expensive care to get that care. Their goal in making it difficult is twofold.  First, of course, they don’t have to pay for care they deny.  Second, by discouraging and frustrating sick people, they provide incentives for the sick to leave their health care plan to seek “greener pastures.”

While doctors truly want to act as their patient’s advocates in dealing with insurance companies and HMOs, the process is often so frustrating and time consuming, and the consequences so onerous if they make a habit out of fighting too hard and too often for their patients, that in practical terms they cannot.   PHCAs, on the other hand, can fearlessly assist their clients in dealing with health insurance companies.  They can help clients to assess their insurance options before choosing a plan, so that they fully understand the limitations of their plan and are less likely to be surprised when they become ill.  PHCAs can help in expediting the approval of visits to specialists, and of tests and procedures to which their clients are entitled.  And if their clients are denied reasonable services, PHCAs can argue their case as aggressively as is necessary to see that justice is done.  HMOs are likely to pay attention if they know that a well-informed and persistent professional advocate is operating on the patient’s behalf.

PHCAs can also assist their clients in interpreting medical, hospital, and insurance bills, and assuring that the charges that appear on those bills are in line with the services that were actually provided.

Category 2 Services – Education and administrative services

The best way to minimize the impact of covert or bedside rationing on a particular patient is for that patient to know what ought to be happening with his or her health care.  This is because, obviously, bedside rationing is easiest when patients don’t know what to expect. The most common way for a doctor to conduct bedside rationing is simply not to mention an available option that he doesn’t want to provide. With relatively uninformed patients, doctors can do such “rationing by omission” without raising any suspicion.

In this regard, PHCAs can assist their clients not only by helping them to become truly informed about their diseases, but also (and equally importantly), to seem informed. Doctors will be more likely to review all therapeutic options with patients who display significant knowledge about their disease and/or the health care system in general.  Thus, PHCAs should aim to educate their clients to understand their diseases, the health care process, and how the two interact.  Using a combination of personalized instruction, literature, references, videos, audio tapes and web sites, PHCAs can train their clients to anticipate what their doctors ought to be thinking about and what they ought to be doing for them, and to demonstrate to their doctors that they are well-informed. 

PHCAs can conduct brief “coaching” sessions with their clients prior to important doctors’ visits, so the client will be entirely clear on what should be accomplished during that visit.  For instance, clients should know what questions need to be answered during the visit, and what medical decisions ought to be made.  Similarly, PHCAs can offer “debriefing” sessions following these doctors’ appointments to critique what happened, to make sure all the essential goals were met, and to assess the need for the client to follow-up with their doctor prior to the next scheduled appointment.

PHCAs can engage their clients in discussions of living wills, advanced directives, and organ donor options, so that such decisions can be made leisurely, with a full understanding of all the implications, and not under duress.

PHCAs may also serve as a centralized clearing house for maintaining complete copies, from all sources, of their clients’ medical records. By this means, they can assure that when their clients are seeing new doctors, they will be able to provide them with a complete set of their records. Such services can be provided 24 hours a day, so that, for instance, emergency room doctors will not make serious errors in treating their clients simply because they were unable to access records.

Category 3 Services – Monitoring and negotiating health care

PHCAs will be available to monitor, in person, the care their clients receive during a “health care episode” (such as a hospitalization or a visit to the emergency room).  PHCAs will not supervise or oversee the care; rather, they will observe it, monitor it, assess it, and advise their clients as necessary.  On request and with the client’s permission, the PHCA can communicate or negotiate directly on their behalf with physicians, hospitals, or insurers.

The function of the PHCA during these health care episodes would be entirely analogous to the function your sister would serve if she were a doctor and you were hospitalized.  She would not manage your care, nor would she be actively involved in your care. But she would be watching everything that was done to you, and would be quick to step forward (with a gentle question, a probing question, or a firm hand, depending on the situation) if she saw something amiss.  She would make sure you understood everything that was going on, and that the decisions you made regarding your care were well-informed decisions. She would be a knowledgeable, dedicated advocate, concerned only for your safety and welfare.  And the mere fact that your doctors knew she was there would cause them to take that extra little bit of care, to make sure they consider all the appropriate alternatives, and are doing the right thing.

Having a PHCA would be like having a doctor in the family.

Where will PHCAs come from?

Take my word for it.  There will be plenty of PHCAs once the concept catches on. 

Doctors like me – the middle-aged kind, the kind who once were able to practice medicine relatively unencumbered by MBAs, intimidating federal regulators, and high-school graduates reading from lists of covered procedures – are ready to leave the practice of medicine in droves. If we’re not actually leaving at the moment, it’s not because we’re not frustrated enough to leave, or because we think the problems the profession is having now are temporary. It’s because we can’t afford it yet, or we don’t want to abandon our patients to the tender mercies of the Gekkonians or Clintonians, or we’re not quite ready to leave medicine (the center of our lives for decades) altogether. 

Why are doctors so unhappy?  There are lots of reasons, including all the ones you’ve heard – the drop in income, the mounting paperwork, the oppressive regulations, and the loss of control over our practices.  They’re all good reasons, too.

But without a doubt, the major reason doctors are frustrated is their keen sense that the doctor-patient relationship is being destroyed due to factors out of their control.  Doctors understand, deep down and better than patients, that without that relationship, their worth as professionals is fatally devalued; their profession is, in fact, ended.

Plenty of doctors will be attracted to the PHCA profession, and soon.  PHCAs will be able to shed all the encumbrances of modern medicine, and to concentrate on the one thing doctors ought to be concentrating on but cannot – advocating.  Many, many conscientious doctors will find this prospect extremely attractive, even at a substantially lower income.

Where will the clients come from?

This is actually a greater concern.  How many patients sufficiently understand the danger in their increasing isolation within the health care system?  How many would be willing to pay, out of their own pockets, for a dedicated personal advocate?

Certainly it’s a minority of patients.  It is frustrating to many doctors that, as concerned as they are with the state of the doctor-patient relationship, survey after survey show that patients themselves are much less concerned.  A majority of patients think they have a good relationship with their doctors, and most actually do.

But problems with the doctor-patient relationship do not become manifest until patients become sick, often until they become very sick or chronically ill.  That’s when the health care system ratchets up the pressure on doctors, and that’s when the problems begin to occur.  That’s when patients begin to feel that perhaps concerns other than their well-being are driving their doctors’ thinking.

The surveys that show how famously doctors and patients are getting along are similar to the polls that show that most patients love their HMOs.  The vast majority of insured patients are healthy, and HMOs specialize in keeping healthy patients happy.  So when you ask all the patients in an HMO how they like things so far, most of them turn out to like things just fine.  The doctor-patient relationship is a big part of that equation.  It tends to look pretty good when the patients are healthy and the doctors are getting paid.

The clientele of PHCAs will not come from the majority of healthy patients, at least not at first.  Initial clients, for the most part, will be from the minority who have battle scars.  They will be the ones that understand their precarious position from personal experience.  Only after PHCAs demonstrate their worth to these patients will the larger population of patients begin to consider them seriously.

What will happen when the health care system notices the PHCA movement?

Two guesses. 

If the health care system is entirely geared up to covertly ration health care, if covert rationing requires destruction of the doctor-patient relationship, and if PHCAs are a sneaky way of re-establishing that relationship outside the present system, then there is only one way for the health care system to respond.

The threat will be recognized immediately, and everything possible will be done to kill the PHCA movement.

There will be a battle.  Attempts will be made to declare PHCAs’ activities illegal, to block PHCAs from having access to their client’s medical records and from maintaining a bedside presence.  PHCAs will be threatened with liability suits. Attempts will be made to assert that PHCAs are actually practicing medicine, and therefore their activities fall under the same guidelines, regulations, laws, and constraints as “real doctors.”  If any of these attempts take root, the PHCA movement will die on the vine.

Those attacking PHCAs will be many, and they will be powerful.  They will likely include every entity threatened by such a thing – the insurance industry, the government, and organized medicine.

While these entities are exceedingly potent and may appear to hold all the cards, they have a potentially fatal flaw.  For, in order to kill the PHCA movement they will have to argue, in effect, that allowing patients to hire their own advocates is a very dangerous thing, a thing that needs to be stifled – or at least regulated and controlled (like the medical profession) to the point of uselessness. The whole point of creating this new profession, of course, is to move the doctor-patient relationship – rather, the PHCA-client relationship – to a new realm, to allow that relationship to flourish again, unencumbered by all the things designed to encumber it within the present health care system.  When all the great powers argue that such a thing is bad, well, that will be a very risky argument to make.

What ultimately happens will depend on one thing.  It will depend on how patients react when they see all the mighty forces aligning to rob them of their right to hire their own, private, personal consultant on health care matters. It will depend on how patients react when they see the vigor with which their attempt to protect their own safety is attacked.  If patients understand the stakes, and if they become outraged enough at a crass attempt to eliminate what ought to be a simple consumer’s right (not to mention a simple patient’s right), then all those powerful forces will be vanquished.  For an aroused public will be invincible.

And the battle will expose, once and for all, and for all to see, the extent of the systematic destruction we have permitted of the doctor-patient relationship, and the extent of the covert rationing that has required it.

And once the people recognize this fact, once the veil of subconscious collusion is lifted, we will have no choice but to soberly and objectively address the root problems of health care, and to begin an attempt to design a system that fairly and effectively distributes the resources we all own together.

In the end, it doesn’t much matter whether the PHCA movement survives intact in a redesigned health care system.  Indeed, it would be much preferable for that redesigned system, by restoring the sanctity of the doctor-patient relationship, to render PHCAs obsolete. The important thing is that the public, by clearly and firmly insisting on their right to an advocate in matters related to health care, will start a chain of events that can do no less than cause us to finally and openly address all the problems we have been studiously ignoring. 

And the doctors who begin the PHCA movement, who leave their profession in order to save it, will provide the catalyst, the centering point, the means of focusing and concentrating the attention of the broader public on where exactly we are going with our health care system, and what we need to do to bring it back to where it ought to be.

A basic structure

In Section 8, we examined in some detail the six basic principles we need to take into account in devising a system for open rationing.  Based on our discussion of those principles, we proposed the following basic structure for open health care rationing: 

Our scheme has three tiers.  Tier 1 incorporates Medical Savings Accounts (MSAs), which strongly incent patients to weigh the relative benefit of a medical service against its cost before asking for that service.  Thus, MSAs encourage voluntary cost consciousness among consumers,  and thus limit the amount of health care rationing that will have to be imposed externally.

Tier 2 consists of a Universal Basic Health Plan.  All Americans are entitled to receive health care services that are covered under this universal health plan.  The services to be covered are determined by establishing a ranking order of all possible health care services, according to their cost-effectiveness.  All medical services that achieve a specified target level of cost-effectiveness will be covered.

Tier 3 consists of optional health plans that individuals may purchase if they wish.  These optional plans will allow individuals to receive, if they choose to pay for it, health care services that are less cost-effective than those provided to everyone under Tier 2.

In the three sections of this Appendix, we will consider in more detail how we might develop such a methodology for the open rationing of health care.  In Appendix A, we will discuss the policy changes we need to make in order to establish a basic structure for rationing.

In Appendix B, we will consider some of the nuts and bolts of rationing, namely, specific methodologies for prioritizing health care services under a rationing plan.  Prioritizing health care services, of course, ultimately establishes which of those services are covered and which are not.

In Appendix C, we will take a closer look at the cost-effectiveness calculations that allow us to rank health care services in the first place, emphasizing how those calculations depend explicitly on the ethical precepts we choose to follow.

Why we need to make policy changes

As we saw in Section 3, dysfunctional public policies have contributed greatly to the problems we are experiencing in our health care system, especially now that we are faced with the need to ration.  Those policies have maintained an almost complete dissociation between the consumption of health care services on one hand and the paying for those services on the other.  They have fostered the now-counterproductive American health care myth, encouraging a “no limits” attitude by both patients and doctors at a time when limits are more and more necessary.  Paradoxically, those same “no-limit” policies have contributed greatly to the ever-growing numbers of Americans with no health insurance at all, and who therefore face severe personal limits on what the health care system can offer.  Our policies have encouraged an expansive view of health care, bringing an ever-widening circle of life’s annoyances and disappointments under the purview of the health care system, along with all the expectations that such inclusion implies.  And, as we have seen, our policies have systematically eroded the doctor-patient relationship.

Establishing a basic structure for health care rationing will therefore require many explicit and difficult changes in our public policies.

What policy changes are necessary?

Clearly and publicly acknowledge the need to ration health care. 

Acknowledge that health care is not an independent societal need. 

Make a non-negotiable commitment to universal health care coverage.

Establish governmental fiscal policies that create powerful incentives for efficiency, fairness, and as much “voluntary rationing” as possible. 

Clearly articulate the ethical standards under which rationing decisions will be made.

Re-sanctify the doctor-patient relationship. 

 

Clearly and publicly acknowledge the need to ration health care.  The necessity of publicly acknowledging health care rationing may seem obvious to some of us, but it will not be obvious to many policy makers.  Their natural tendency will be to continue to assert that rationing health care is entirely unnecessary; that all we need are some “changes” to our health care system.  This, of course, is what we are doing now.  It’s called covert rationing, and we have seen its fruits.

The public needs to understand that what we are really talking about here is deciding how and from whom to withhold beneficial medical services.  Acknowledging this painful fact clearly and publicly is a necessary first step.  Without this acknowledgement, we cannot even begin to make the kinds of radical changes in our thinking and in our actions that are necessary in devising a fair and equitable way to ration health care. 

Fortunately, Americans are not as delicate as some public officials and health care economists seem to think.  We’ve risen to meet serious challenges throughout our history, and we’ll do it again.  After hearing the truth, once we get through an initial period of anger and denial, we can begin to find ways to deal fairly with the real limitation we face, to stabilize our health care system, to optimize our public health, and to re-commit ourselves to our bedrock belief in the worth of the individual.

Acknowledge that health care is not an independent societal need.  The American health care myth treats health care as if it is completely independent of all other societal concerns, that has (or at least, ought to have) unlimited scope and unlimited resources.  We must make it our policy to acknowledge that, on the contrary, health care is merely one part of our social structure, and not an entity unto itself.  We must, in other words, formally abandon the American health care myth.  Only in this way will we find the impetus we need for two prerequisites to a fair system of rationing: a) to define clearly the purpose (and therefore the limitations) of “health care;” and b) to prioritize the needs of the health care system in relation to all the other services our society must provide for its citizens.  These two prerequisites constitute the first two principles for rationing discussed in Chapter 9.

Make a non-negotiable commitment to universal health care coverage.  A formal commitment to include every American in the new health care system ought to be the first step in actually designing a system for open rationing.  One way or another, every American today is paying for health care, whether they have access to it or not.  We pay insurance premiums, we are subject to Medicare payroll deductions, we pay other taxes and fees, and we sacrifice services and benefits that would otherwise be forthcoming if our tax structure were not so committed to supporting a runaway health care system.  Thus, every American has a legitimate claim to be included in a universal health care system.

Perhaps from a more practical viewpoint, universal coverage also will be the primary rallying point for encouraging citizens to buy into a new health care system.  The realization that no one will be excluded from the benefits of this system, nor excluded from its inherent risks, will create a sense of investment.  Every citizen will be vitally interested in creating a system that is as fair as it can be – and the resultant sense of community, that “we’re all in it together,” will be extremely important (as we will see) in devising a means of prioritizing health care services.

Establish governmental fiscal policies that create powerful incentives for efficiency, fairness, and as much “voluntary rationing” as possible.  It is unlikely that a rationing system completely imposed by the government (or any third party) will ever be acceptable to Americans.  As much as possible, the government’s aim should be to create fiscal and tax policies that encourage behaviors that will minimize the amount of imposed rationing that is necessary. 

Governmental policies are needed to create a program of MSAs for each individual, in order to render as many rationing decisions as possible voluntary instead of imposed.

Further, governmental policies ought to encourage the participation of the insurance industry in the new health care system.  Not only will inclusion of the powerful insurance industry bring pricing competition into the picture, but also it will help enlist the support of that industry (and of certain key politicians) for the needed changes in health care.

Under the basic structure for rationing we have proposed, private insurance companies would be invited to offer Tier 2 Universal Basic Health Plans.  These Tier 2 plans will have to include a specific, prescribed book of benefits, in order to assure that all Americans had the same basic coverage. (How these prescribed benefits will be determined is taken up in Section B of this Appendix).  Any company offering Tier 2 policies, however, will also be invited to offer the additional, optional insurance plans included under Tier 3.  Companies could become as creative as they wanted in devising these optional plans.

John Goodman and Merrill Matthews of the National Center for Policy Analysis have recently proposed a complete set of policies designed to align governmental incentives and tax programs to optimize efficiency within the health care system. (Goodman J and Matthews M. Reforming the U.S. Health Care System. National Center for Policy Analysis, Policy Backgrounder 149.  April, 1999.)Their proposals are quite comprehensive, and taken together constitute nearly a complete reform of the American health care system.  Such proposals deserve careful consideration, as they would go a long way toward reducing wasted expenditures and minimizing the amount of rationing that will have to be imposed by third parties.

Clearly articulate the ethical standards under which rationing decisions will be made.  In Chapter 9 we surveyed the possible ethical standards under which we can develop a system of open health care rationing.  Whether we finally adopt a standard similar to the Fair Chance, Equal Opportunity set out in that chapter, or some other set of precepts, it is vital that we decide explicitly what our ethical standards will be.  A formal public debate on ethical standards, and a formal decision on them, will be mandatory.

Only clearly stated ethical standards can provide an adequate justification for the rationing decisions we make.  Without explicit standards, rationing decisions will be considered by many to be arbitrary – and with good reason.  But it is important to realize that our choice of ethical standards goes far beyond merely being philosophically useful.  In Section C of this Appendix we will see how, as we make the cost-effectiveness calculations that establish which health care services will be covered and which will not, our ethical standards actually determine how we do the math.

Re-sanctify the doctor-patient relationship.  A major theme of this book has been the vital importance of the doctor-patient relationship.  Under any system of rationing, patients have a particularly acute need for an advocate, a trained professional who is primarily concerned with their rights and well-being.  Open rationing merely makes the competing needs of society more evident; it does not eliminate those competing interests.

The covert rationing we have done so far has significantly harmed the doctor-patient relationship.  A generation of physicians has been trained under the notion that their obligation to society supercedes their obligation to individual patients.  We should not assume that adopting an open rationing system will automatically repair the damage. 

 We need to publicly and explicitly re-sanctify the doctor-patient relationship, to make it clear  public policy that the primary role of physicians is to ensure the well-being of their individual patients.  Our system of open rationing will set out the